Friday, September 4, 2026

Is OpenAI the Achilles’ Heel of the US Economy? | The Weekly Wrap

OpenAI's potential failure could expose the US economy's growing dependence on AI capital spending, according to Steve Eisman.

NVDA $5.5TMETA $1.6T

Steve Eisman Sep 4 15 clicks

Sep 4 RYN $6B

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

The Value Road 32 clicks

Sep 4 AVGO $1.7T

Spare a Thought for Broadcom Shareholders

MBI Deep Dives 15 clicks

From X

@majgeoinvesting Aug 29 3 clicks

Maj Soueidan on X

With OCC, using historical backlog, conversion multiples, the backlog implies that they can report $.25 EPS. The wildcard here is two things. 1. Have operating expenses stabilized? 2. Will backlog remain strong so that the company can at least hold that new level of EPS if they achieve it? To be clear, a bullish EPS outlier scenario could occur because I used the historical low-end backlog to revenue multiplier. I haven’t modeled $RFIL. I’m just using their shareholder letter as a barometer, where they talk about stronger markets and more visibility. It’s worth noting that both companies are moving into their seasonally stronger quarters. They’re also both benefiting from a recovery in their legacy telecom markets. Furthermore, I don’t think either of them have seen much contribution from their data center business. So, hopefully, you have this perfect storm situation where their legacy markets, along with new markets are hitting it in stride at the same time Personally, I think RFIL is the better company, long-term, but that OCC can have the biggest wow factor for the quarter. RFIL has done a better job at addressing its entire business plan to reduce cyclicality, even within its legacy markets. I’m not convinced OCC has done that.

@P_Remarks Aug 29 4 clicks

Prepared Remarks on X

$meta https://t.co/1JqV0PLtqm

@majgeoinvesting Aug 29 4 clicks

Maj Soueidan on X

Man, I hope the @InfoArbMonitor calendar is wrong on $OCC & $RFIL ‘s estimated Q3 earnings dates. What are the odds that 2 stocks in the same industry with shaky pasts both deliver on the same day? I’m putting 2 dinner reminders on my calendar: Ruth’s Chris +Taco Bell.🥳 https://t.co/Bn6Pt4EoUV

@RagingVentures Aug 29 3 clicks

Raging Capital Ventures on X

@gamesblazer06 $GEV bulls probably didn’t see this coming… https://t.co/rVRcNDE52K

@ChrisCamillo Aug 29 2 clicks

Chris Camillo on X

zero surprise $TTWO https://t.co/weuPg4PxZ7

@negligible_cap Aug 29

Negligible Capital on X

How many $META users do they really see being willing and/or able to pay $200 per month for Hatch? I’m pretty good at ordering Doordash and scrolling Reddit on my own thank you very much https://t.co/2Oyf2hoyw4

@ChrisCamillo Aug 29 1 click

Chris Camillo on X

Well, that escalated quickly. $TTWO https://t.co/J56bmG6WiS

@irbezek Aug 29 3 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

$TEAM was at $56 just a few months ago, such efficient markets. Reminder, people only care about SBC when stonk prices are going down. Beware folks fitting a narrative onto price action. https://t.co/FaPZr8c7dn

Investor Letters

All letters

Equinor: Positive Fundamentals Could Be Stifled By EU Emergency Measures (Rating Downgrade)

Equinor’s H1 2026 net income doubled to $7.94 billion as European gas prices rose, but EU energy-crisis measures could curb profitability.

EQNR $101B

Zoltan Ban Sep 4 7 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Costco’s $4.99 chicken supply chain, Celsius’s 20% energy-drink share, and California utilities’ wildfire…

CELH $8BCOST $410B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 4 6 clicks

[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA

Veeva targets CRM share gains from Salesforce migration delays while Falcon agentic labor expands its reach into life-sciences safety,…

VEEV $46BCRM $214B

scuttleblurb Sep 3 33 clicks

Intuit: The Recovery Is Only Beginning

Intuit targets 9.1% FY2027 revenue growth and 23% EPS growth after Q4 revenue rose 13.7%, supported by Global Business Solutions, Credit…

INTU $94B

Treading Softly Sep 3 4 clicks

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

CME perpetual-futures activity is tested against more than 240,000 CFTC data points on open interest and dealer positioning.

CME $101B

First Strike Research Sep 3 16 clicks

Selling Where They Ain’t

Dollar General’s Q2 FY26 comparable sales rose 3.5%, beating Walmart U.S.

DG $29BWMT $845B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 3 3 clicks

A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?

Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the…

SMPL $1BBRBR $1.2B

The Value Road Sep 2 22 clicks

AVGO US - Do Nothing Pending The Close On Thursday 3 September - Q3 FY10/26 Earnings Review.

Broadcom reported $29.6 billion Q3 revenue, up 86%, with AI semiconductor sales up 221% to $16.7 billion, and guided Q4 revenue to $34.8…

AVGO $1.7T

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 2 3 clicks

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

DoorDash’s delivery economics rely on customer tips and flexible labor, while rising courier costs make autonomous delivery central to…

DASH $96B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 2 16 clicks

IREN's Customers Are Starting To Fund The Build

IREN’s AI contracts now include customer prepayments covering 45% to 55% of GPU CapEx, while three-year pricing has risen 125% since…

IREN $18B

Quantryon Capital Sep 2 10 clicks

Top 8 Rebound Stocks for Sep’26

Genuine Parts Company is one of eight potential rebound stocks on RC’s September 2026 watchlist.

GPC $19B

Rebound Capital Sep 2 3 clicks

Sangamo Bankruptcy (SGMOQ)

Sangamo Therapeutics’ Chapter 11 asset sales leave common equity tied to $100 million in PTC Fabry therapy approval milestones and a…

SGMO $71M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Sep 2 15 clicks

Amazon $AMZN: The Company That Became Impossible to Ignore — and Finally Possible to Model

Amazon reported $200.6 billion in quarterly revenue and $27.5 billion in operating income as AWS grew 36.7% and advertising 26%, making its…

AMZN $2.8T

Substack von Philipp Sep 2 7 clicks

Reddit: Rapid Earnings Growth With Room For An AI Expansion

Reddit's advertising automation, proprietary data and Reddit Max are driving rapid revenue growth and margin expansion, while AI licensing…

RDDT $30B

Krzysztof Bogdanski Sep 2 6 clicks

An ATM that starts to spit out cash

Andrada Mining’s Uis ore sorter targets higher tin grades and lower unit costs after FY26 operating cash flow reached £4.7 million, but…

ATMTF $185M

The Oak Bloke Sep 2 13 clicks

Tectonic Therapeutic: Competitor Data Strengthens The TX45 Bull Case

Tectonic Therapeutic's TX45 CpcPH-HFpEF program gains support from Merck's CADENCE data; Phase 1b hemodynamics and cash through Q1 2029 set…

TECX $601M

Equity Eagle Sep 2 4 clicks

EVC Update

EVC reported a solid second quarter and outlook.

EVC $782M

Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter Sep 1 25 clicks

$LMB: Limbach missed the data center boom. Is that the opportunity? | 1 Main Capital

Limbach's EBITDA fell 30% as organic revenue declined, but 1 Main Capital calls the weakness temporary and views CYMCOR as its first…

LMB $591M

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 1 19 clicks

IEH Corporation: Research Note

IEH Corporation won $6.5 million of APKWS orders, lifting backlog above $45 million as defense connector demand drives capacity expansion.

IEHC $81M

Atrium Research - Equity Research Sep 1 2 clicks

Lumen Technologies - Accumulate $6-$8.30; STP<$6; PT >$12 - Q2 FY12/26 & Outlook

Lumen is shedding consumer lines for data-center services; $9.2 billion of deferred revenue, up 72%, supports its enterprise order book…

LUMN $6.6B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 1 1 click

Friday, September 4, 2026

Is OpenAI the Achilles’ Heel of the US Economy? | The Weekly Wrap

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

Spare a Thought for Broadcom Shareholders

From X

Maj Soueidan on X

Prepared Remarks on X

Maj Soueidan on X

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Chris Camillo on X

Negligible Capital on X

Chris Camillo on X

Ian Bezek on X

Investor Letters

Equinor: Positive Fundamentals Could Be Stifled By EU Emergency Measures (Rating Downgrade)

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA

Intuit: The Recovery Is Only Beginning

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

Selling Where They Ain’t

A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?

AVGO US - Do Nothing Pending The Close On Thursday 3 September - Q3 FY10/26 Earnings Review.

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

IREN's Customers Are Starting To Fund The Build

Top 8 Rebound Stocks for Sep’26

Sangamo Bankruptcy (SGMOQ)

Amazon $AMZN: The Company That Became Impossible to Ignore — and Finally Possible to Model

Reddit: Rapid Earnings Growth With Room For An AI Expansion

An ATM that starts to spit out cash

Tectonic Therapeutic: Competitor Data Strengthens The TX45 Bull Case

EVC Update

$LMB: Limbach missed the data center boom. Is that the opportunity? | 1 Main Capital

IEH Corporation: Research Note

Lumen Technologies - Accumulate $6-$8.30; STP<$6; PT >$12 - Q2 FY12/26 & Outlook

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