Friday, September 4, 2026

Is OpenAI the Achilles’ Heel of the US Economy? | The Weekly Wrap

OpenAI's potential failure could expose the US economy's growing dependence on AI capital spending, according to Steve Eisman.

NVDA $5.5TMETA $1.6T

Steve Eisman Sep 4 15 clicks

Sep 4 RYN $6B

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

The Value Road 33 clicks

Sep 4 AVGO $1.7T

Spare a Thought for Broadcom Shareholders

MBI Deep Dives 15 clicks

From X

@leevalueroach Sep 4 3 clicks

Lee Roach on X

The egg market is getting killed and I am tempted to play this cycle bottom. Anyone up to speed on $VITL? This thing is looking so beaten down. https://t.co/wUgfMUorWW

@ChrisCamillo Sep 4 2 clicks

Chris Camillo on X

@topazbenj he saw a video. if u been following me u know id love nothing more than to go all in on $TSLA with real optimus intel. believe me im on it

@TidefallCapital Sep 4 1 click

Trevor Scott on X

$TAP A quarter century and zero capital gain. Now being kicked out of the S&P https://t.co/RM49KQJm36

@TheBenSchmark Sep 4 1 click

JabroniCoin.USD on X

The bottleneck play on this is $COMP? 🧭 https://t.co/1ClFMI3z4d

@eriksen_tim Sep 4 3 clicks

Tim Eriksen on X

Anyone get the dividend from Gravity $GRVY yet? I expected a bit of a delay.

@TidefallCapital Sep 4 3 clicks

Trevor Scott on X

He's NOT going full Big Short here but @realsteveeisman walking a much closer line than in the past. "A demise of OpenAI could push the US into an immediate recession." He recommend low vol and P&C ETFs in that scenario. $LVHD $SPLV $KBWP https://t.co/mx8SxT9iRd

@irbezek Sep 4 1 click

Ian Bezek on X

It's Tecnoglass time $tgls. https://t.co/5gjN6emyo1

@ChrisCamillo Sep 4

Chris Camillo on X

hell of a week to own the future. $BE https://t.co/Un6jGv7rrR

Investor Letters

All letters

Equinor: Positive Fundamentals Could Be Stifled By EU Emergency Measures (Rating Downgrade)

Equinor’s H1 2026 net income doubled to $7.94 billion as European gas prices rose, but EU energy-crisis measures could curb profitability.

EQNR $101B

Zoltan Ban Sep 4 7 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Costco’s $4.99 chicken supply chain, Celsius’s 20% energy-drink share, and California utilities’ wildfire…

CELH $8BCOST $410B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 4 6 clicks

[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA

Veeva targets CRM share gains from Salesforce migration delays while Falcon agentic labor expands its reach into life-sciences safety,…

VEEV $46BCRM $214B

scuttleblurb Sep 3 33 clicks

Intuit: The Recovery Is Only Beginning

Intuit targets 9.1% FY2027 revenue growth and 23% EPS growth after Q4 revenue rose 13.7%, supported by Global Business Solutions, Credit…

INTU $94B

Treading Softly Sep 3 4 clicks

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

CME perpetual-futures activity is tested against more than 240,000 CFTC data points on open interest and dealer positioning.

CME $101B

First Strike Research Sep 3 16 clicks

Selling Where They Ain’t

Dollar General’s Q2 FY26 comparable sales rose 3.5%, beating Walmart U.S.

DG $29BWMT $845B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 3 3 clicks

A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?

Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the…

SMPL $1BBRBR $1.2B

The Value Road Sep 2 22 clicks

AVGO US - Do Nothing Pending The Close On Thursday 3 September - Q3 FY10/26 Earnings Review.

Broadcom reported $29.6 billion Q3 revenue, up 86%, with AI semiconductor sales up 221% to $16.7 billion, and guided Q4 revenue to $34.8…

AVGO $1.7T

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 2 3 clicks

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

DoorDash’s delivery economics rely on customer tips and flexible labor, while rising courier costs make autonomous delivery central to…

DASH $96B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 2 16 clicks

IREN's Customers Are Starting To Fund The Build

IREN’s AI contracts now include customer prepayments covering 45% to 55% of GPU CapEx, while three-year pricing has risen 125% since…

IREN $18B

Quantryon Capital Sep 2 10 clicks

A Growing Business at a Discount to Its Own Cash

GrabAGun’s $68 million market capitalization sits below $98.5 million net cash, while PEW Logistics and ammunition subscriptions target…

PEW $68M

XIX Value Jun 28

$FOX dropped 25% buying $ROKU. Is the market wrong? | Simeon McMillan, Accrued Interest

Fox’s $22 billion Roku deal cut FOXA 25%, but Simeon McMillan argues Roku’s streaming-TV reach, advertising upside and synergies make the…

FOX $25B

Yet Another Value Blog Jun 28 3 clicks

Under The Hood, Wingstop Inc. ($WING)

Wingstop generates most of its $697 million revenue from franchise royalties across a 3,153-restaurant, 98%-franchised system while…

WING $3.1B

Bearhold Research Jun 28 2 clicks

Staying the course on H&R REIT

H&R REIT’s renewed talks with Blackstone cover some assets, following office and U.S.

BX $103B

Nugget Capital Partner's Substack Jun 27

Tidewater (TDW): a first-pass look

Tidewater’s $22,600 average day rate and $598 million FY2025 EBITDA rest on an aging OSV fleet, scant newbuilds and fleet acquisitions…

TDW $5B

Stock Thoughts Jun 27

The Biggest Bull Signal On Entravision

Entravision’s lost Meta relationship reset its business model, setting up a bullish case for the company’s recovery.

EVC $782M

The Value Road Jun 26 6 clicks

SAP: DCF Valuation

SAP’s DCF valuation sets a $260 base-case target versus a $155.09 ADR price, based on cloud migration, AI efficiencies and expanding EBIT…

SAP $245B

Hated Moats Jun 26

Duffy’s Last Dance

CME CEO Terry Duffy moves to executive chairman while suing the CFTC over Kalshi’s approval to list perpetual futures, defending CME’s…

CME $101B

Net Interest Jun 26

Char Technologies ($YES.V) FINS Review

Char Technologies’ Q2 brought $700,000 revenue and a $1.36 million net loss, while weak liquidity, related-party loans and dilution raise…

CTRNF $39M

Wolf's Substack Jun 25

Adobe Business History

Adobe built PostScript, Photoshop and PDF into desktop-publishing standards, using free Acrobat Reader and integrated Creative Suite tools…

ADBE $114B

Speedwell Memos Jun 25 2 clicks

Friday, September 4, 2026

Is OpenAI the Achilles’ Heel of the US Economy? | The Weekly Wrap

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

Spare a Thought for Broadcom Shareholders

From X

Lee Roach on X

Chris Camillo on X

Trevor Scott on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Tim Eriksen on X

Trevor Scott on X

Ian Bezek on X

Chris Camillo on X

Investor Letters

Equinor: Positive Fundamentals Could Be Stifled By EU Emergency Measures (Rating Downgrade)

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA

Intuit: The Recovery Is Only Beginning

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

Selling Where They Ain’t

A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?

AVGO US - Do Nothing Pending The Close On Thursday 3 September - Q3 FY10/26 Earnings Review.

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

IREN's Customers Are Starting To Fund The Build

A Growing Business at a Discount to Its Own Cash

$FOX dropped 25% buying $ROKU. Is the market wrong? | Simeon McMillan, Accrued Interest

Under The Hood, Wingstop Inc. ($WING)

Staying the course on H&R REIT

Tidewater (TDW): a first-pass look

The Biggest Bull Signal On Entravision

SAP: DCF Valuation

Duffy’s Last Dance

Char Technologies ($YES.V) FINS Review

Adobe Business History

Publications we follow

X accounts we follow

Sectors