A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?
Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the category has reached a cyclical bottom.
Friday, September 4, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Lee Roach on X
The egg market is getting killed and I am tempted to play this cycle bottom. Anyone up to speed on $VITL? This thing is looking so beaten down. https://t.co/wUgfMUorWW
Tim Eriksen on X
Anyone get the dividend from Gravity $GRVY yet? I expected a bit of a delay.
Ian Bezek on X
It's Tecnoglass time $tgls. https://t.co/5gjN6emyo1
SG on X
Has anyone done work on the prediction market ecosystem? Want to explore beyond the leaders to shit-tier plays like $GEMI and $ROLR.
JabroniCoin.USD on X
UBS: We believe $CENX offers the best leverage to a US Regional Premium that is sustainably higher. CENX currently trades at ~3.1x UBSe 2027 EBITDA estimates (below ~5x normalized 5yr average). We expect CENX to rerate towards our ~4x peak multiple driven by clarity… https://t.co/93RbEN5Ex7
A Capital on X
@DreamPositiveCp @grok what is the binary event for $NN?
Fierce_beast on X
@FishtownCap Could $UNFI and $CHEF merge or too much overlap already
A Capital on X
@everyonehatesp1 Idk but the lack of insight on coal names yesterday cost me this trade. Do better. $METC
Investor Letters
All letters
Six Flags And United Parks: Two Different Answers To The Same Demand Problem
Six Flags’ attendance rose 4% while comparable crowd intensity was nearly flat, and both it and United Parks grew deferred revenue about 2%…
Sanjay Swamy 1 click
[WAY – Waystar] Healthcare is a very complicated invoice
Waystar sells revenue-cycle software for a US claims process where roughly 18% of submitted claims are initially denied and healthcare…
Ultragenyx ($RARE): A Catalyst-Driven Thesis With Asymmetric Upside
Ultragenyx targets $730-760 million of 2026 revenue after GENGLYCOS approval, with UX111’s FDA decision and GTX-102 Phase 3 data due in…
Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…
The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)
Verra Mobility renewed Hertz tolling management for five years. AutoKinex lets rental customers buy tolling, fuel and protection products…
Miami International Holdings (MIAX)
Miami International Holdings, the No. 4 options exchange with 17% share, trades at 12x forward EBITDA despite 35% revenue growth, 54%…
Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
TPC 2026-08-27 Tutor Perini: Q2 2026 Made My Strong Buy Case Stronger
Tutor Perini’s Q2 revenue rose 19% to $1.64 billion as higher-margin megaprojects lifted construction income 54%, prompting higher 2026 EPS…
The Curious Analyst 
Quick Value #328 - Cal-Maine Foods (CALM)
Cal-Maine, the largest U.S. egg producer, trades at 1.6x book versus a 2.1x 20-year median, with net cash and investments equal to 23% of…
STNE 2026-08-25 StoneCo: Deep Value Hiding Behind Brazil's Rate Fears - For Now
StoneCo's buybacks and special dividend produced roughly 39% H1 shareholder yield as Brazil's rate cuts slow and competition persists.
IWA Research 3 clicks
GPK · long Graphic Packaging Holding CO
Graphic Packaging (GPK) is pitched as a long with $22 fair value, implying roughly 100% upside, based on its low-cost paper-based packaging…
What I've Been Reading
Yesway, Dollar General and Expedia feature in a research roundup spanning convenience retail, discount stores and AI-driven travel search.
A Hardware Multiple on a Software Powerhouse
A software powerhouse posts a record quarter while trading at a 52-week low, raising a valuation disconnect between its business model and…
Peru & Colombia Election Results & Investment Outlook
Keiko Fujimori’s expected Peru victory and Abelardo’s win in Colombia reduce regulatory risk for AUNA, whose operations generate roughly…
Watches of Switzerland (WOSG), TerraVest (TVK) & ContextLogic (LOGC): Earnings Updates
Watches of Switzerland reported 15% constant-currency organic revenue growth and guided FY27 revenue growth of 5-10%, with adjusted EBIT…
Quick Value #316 - MasterBrand Inc (MBC)
MasterBrand's all-stock merger with American Woodmark creates the largest cabinet maker, trading at 7.7 times trough EBITDA including…
What I Read This Week
Weekly reading list covers Agnico Eagle, Cameco, Dollar Tree, Meta, Braze and Apollo across mining, retail, AI and insurance.
eDreams: Disproving the Bears and Regaining Credibility
EDreams cut FY26 Prime-member guidance to 600,000 after Ryanair blocks, while its subscription model lifted Prime to 7.25 million members…
Thoughts on ROIC, Margins and Turnover; Mailbox Money and an Update on Natural Resource Partners (NRP)
Natural Resource Partners is assessed through ROIC, capital-light royalty income and valuation as investors crowd into AI suppliers.
Weekend Digest #345 (Colombia Election, AUNA, BRKR, China & EM Risk)
Weekend Digest #345 previews Colombia’s presidential vote, tracks AUNA’s earnings momentum and Bruker’s recovery, and weighs China risk…
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