A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?
Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the category has reached a cyclical bottom.
Friday, September 4, 2026
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From X
Lee Roach on X
The egg market is getting killed and I am tempted to play this cycle bottom. Anyone up to speed on $VITL? This thing is looking so beaten down. https://t.co/wUgfMUorWW
Tim Eriksen on X
Anyone get the dividend from Gravity $GRVY yet? I expected a bit of a delay.
Ian Bezek on X
It's Tecnoglass time $tgls. https://t.co/5gjN6emyo1
SG on X
Has anyone done work on the prediction market ecosystem? Want to explore beyond the leaders to shit-tier plays like $GEMI and $ROLR.
JabroniCoin.USD on X
UBS: We believe $CENX offers the best leverage to a US Regional Premium that is sustainably higher. CENX currently trades at ~3.1x UBSe 2027 EBITDA estimates (below ~5x normalized 5yr average). We expect CENX to rerate towards our ~4x peak multiple driven by clarity… https://t.co/93RbEN5Ex7
A Capital on X
@DreamPositiveCp @grok what is the binary event for $NN?
Fierce_beast on X
@FishtownCap Could $UNFI and $CHEF merge or too much overlap already
A Capital on X
@everyonehatesp1 Idk but the lack of insight on coal names yesterday cost me this trade. Do better. $METC
Investor Letters
All letters
Six Flags And United Parks: Two Different Answers To The Same Demand Problem
Six Flags’ attendance rose 4% while comparable crowd intensity was nearly flat, and both it and United Parks grew deferred revenue about 2%…
Sanjay Swamy 1 click
[WAY – Waystar] Healthcare is a very complicated invoice
Waystar sells revenue-cycle software for a US claims process where roughly 18% of submitted claims are initially denied and healthcare…
Ultragenyx ($RARE): A Catalyst-Driven Thesis With Asymmetric Upside
Ultragenyx targets $730-760 million of 2026 revenue after GENGLYCOS approval, with UX111’s FDA decision and GTX-102 Phase 3 data due in…
Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…
The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)
Verra Mobility renewed Hertz tolling management for five years. AutoKinex lets rental customers buy tolling, fuel and protection products…
Miami International Holdings (MIAX)
Miami International Holdings, the No. 4 options exchange with 17% share, trades at 12x forward EBITDA despite 35% revenue growth, 54%…
Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
TPC 2026-08-27 Tutor Perini: Q2 2026 Made My Strong Buy Case Stronger
Tutor Perini’s Q2 revenue rose 19% to $1.64 billion as higher-margin megaprojects lifted construction income 54%, prompting higher 2026 EPS…
The Curious Analyst 
Quick Value #328 - Cal-Maine Foods (CALM)
Cal-Maine, the largest U.S. egg producer, trades at 1.6x book versus a 2.1x 20-year median, with net cash and investments equal to 23% of…
STNE 2026-08-25 StoneCo: Deep Value Hiding Behind Brazil's Rate Fears - For Now
StoneCo's buybacks and special dividend produced roughly 39% H1 shareholder yield as Brazil's rate cuts slow and competition persists.
IWA Research 3 clicks
LWAY · long Lifeway Foods INC
Lifeway Foods holds 95% market share in kefir, is growing 20% to 35%, and trades at 12 times projected 2027 earnings as its capex cycle…
Peloton: Subscriber Squeeze
Peloton’s improved balance sheet has not stopped weak subscription trends or sharp volatility, prompting purchases near $3.70, a later…
40 Stock Pitches (3rd-9th August)
Navient trades near 40% of tangible book as Gator Financial Partners argues private student-loan growth and restructuring can reverse its…
WD #353: Colombia, Earnings (INTR, BRKR, TEAM)
Colombia’s Abelardo de la Espriella signals tax cuts and an Ecopetrol revival, while Inter & Co.
Genius Sports: Update Post Earnings
Genius Sports reported $195.5 million revenue, up 65%, and signed Kalshi for soccer data, expanding sports-data sales to prediction markets…
Noah Holdings ($NOAH): A Chinese Wealth Manager Trading at Its Cash Pile
Noah Holdings trades near the value of its RMB 5.1 billion cash and short-term investments, while earning recurring fees on roughly RMB 140…
BREAKING: Kawhi Leonard's Other Undisclosed "Sponsorship" Deal
Daktronics allegedly paid Kawhi Leonard millions in a hidden sponsorship deal tied to the Clippers’ Intuit Dome, raising fresh questions…
DEC-laration of independence
Diversified Energy cut $233 million of debt in 1H26, repurchased $93 million of stock and sold $273 million of land and assets while…
Genius Sports (GENI)
Genius Sports’ $1.2 billion Legend acquisition adds direct bettor monetization, while its exclusive NFL data rights could supply prediction…
Watches of Switzerland's Investor Day (WOSG), Earnings at Judges Scientific (JDG) and Douglas Dynamics (PLOW)
Watches of Switzerland says Roberto Coin, e-commerce and pre-owned watches generate 24% of revenue, as private equity interest follows its…
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