A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?
Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the category has reached a cyclical bottom.
Friday, September 4, 2026
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From X
Lee Roach on X
The egg market is getting killed and I am tempted to play this cycle bottom. Anyone up to speed on $VITL? This thing is looking so beaten down. https://t.co/wUgfMUorWW
Tim Eriksen on X
Anyone get the dividend from Gravity $GRVY yet? I expected a bit of a delay.
Ian Bezek on X
It's Tecnoglass time $tgls. https://t.co/5gjN6emyo1
SG on X
Has anyone done work on the prediction market ecosystem? Want to explore beyond the leaders to shit-tier plays like $GEMI and $ROLR.
JabroniCoin.USD on X
UBS: We believe $CENX offers the best leverage to a US Regional Premium that is sustainably higher. CENX currently trades at ~3.1x UBSe 2027 EBITDA estimates (below ~5x normalized 5yr average). We expect CENX to rerate towards our ~4x peak multiple driven by clarity… https://t.co/93RbEN5Ex7
A Capital on X
@DreamPositiveCp @grok what is the binary event for $NN?
Fierce_beast on X
@FishtownCap Could $UNFI and $CHEF merge or too much overlap already
A Capital on X
@everyonehatesp1 Idk but the lack of insight on coal names yesterday cost me this trade. Do better. $METC
Investor Letters
All letters
Six Flags And United Parks: Two Different Answers To The Same Demand Problem
Six Flags’ attendance rose 4% while comparable crowd intensity was nearly flat, and both it and United Parks grew deferred revenue about 2%…
Sanjay Swamy 1 click
[WAY – Waystar] Healthcare is a very complicated invoice
Waystar sells revenue-cycle software for a US claims process where roughly 18% of submitted claims are initially denied and healthcare…
Ultragenyx ($RARE): A Catalyst-Driven Thesis With Asymmetric Upside
Ultragenyx targets $730-760 million of 2026 revenue after GENGLYCOS approval, with UX111’s FDA decision and GTX-102 Phase 3 data due in…
Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…
The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)
Verra Mobility renewed Hertz tolling management for five years. AutoKinex lets rental customers buy tolling, fuel and protection products…
Miami International Holdings (MIAX)
Miami International Holdings, the No. 4 options exchange with 17% share, trades at 12x forward EBITDA despite 35% revenue growth, 54%…
Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
TPC 2026-08-27 Tutor Perini: Q2 2026 Made My Strong Buy Case Stronger
Tutor Perini’s Q2 revenue rose 19% to $1.64 billion as higher-margin megaprojects lifted construction income 54%, prompting higher 2026 EPS…
The Curious Analyst 
Quick Value #328 - Cal-Maine Foods (CALM)
Cal-Maine, the largest U.S. egg producer, trades at 1.6x book versus a 2.1x 20-year median, with net cash and investments equal to 23% of…
STNE 2026-08-25 StoneCo: Deep Value Hiding Behind Brazil's Rate Fears - For Now
StoneCo's buybacks and special dividend produced roughly 39% H1 shareholder yield as Brazil's rate cuts slow and competition persists.
IWA Research 3 clicks
GENI · long Genius Sports LTD
Genius Sports, a sports data and adtech provider, is pitched as a re-rating opportunity obscured by acquisition noise.
The Priority Technology Situation
Priority Technology received an opportunistic buyout proposal, with its business better suited to remaining public absent a much higher…
Tis The (Earnings) Season
Argentine banks, tariff-exposed stocks and Customer’s Bancorp anchor an earnings-season watchlist after Milei’s election victory,…
Drilling Down on Disposal: Parallels Between Produced Water and Municipal Waste Disposal
WaterBridge and Secure trade at 10–11x 2025 EBITDA despite produced-water disposal economics resembling higher-multiple municipal waste…
(MGGA) Make Guns Great Again
Ruger trades at a $468 million enterprise value, about 7 times normalized free cash flow, with $101 million cash and no debt as gun demand…
The Announcement That Changes Everything
China Yuchai’s potential MGP IPO could separate its data-center and genset arm, with employee incentives tied to a listing and a proposed…
GAMCO Investors, Inc. - GAMI
GAMCO Investors trades OTC at a $550 million market cap, with $150 million in excess cash and a 5.2-5.7x operating-income valuation despite…
Acuren Q2 Earnings review
Acuren's Q2 revenue rose 1.5% to $313.9 million before its NV5 merger; post-close selling drove TIC down 21% as management targets $20…
DDI Double Down Interactive (Brief writeup)
DoubleDown Interactive trades near its $485 million cash balance while generating $150 million of annual free cash flow, with acquisitions…
Paxman (PAX.ST)
Paxman sells chemotherapy scalp-cooling systems, expanding US reimbursement and utilization after acquiring its largest competitor in 2025.
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