Thursday, September 3, 2026

[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA

Veeva targets CRM share gains from Salesforce migration delays while Falcon agentic labor expands its reach into life-sciences safety, clinical and regulatory work.

VEEV $43BCRM $201B

scuttleblurb Sep 3 37 clicks

Sep 3 CME $99B

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

First Strike Research 20 clicks

Jun 5 ENS $6.5B

Enersys

Value Investors Club

From X

@HaydenCapital Feb 5

Fred Liu on X

From J&T's 4Q25 call. They called out 1) winning share from competitors and 2) non-platform parcels growing (i.e. not from Shopee or TTS). So perhaps J&T's strong volume growth isn't related to TTS vs. Shopee competition? $SE $1519.HK https://t.co/Jn0UArEo04 https://t.co/pbA0DXJsD6

@HaydenCapital Feb 5

Fred Liu on X

@TrigramPartners That's possible. All international ecom stocks have traded down the last few months. CPNG, MELI, etc. But at $107, $SE is trading at 7x 2028 EV/EBITDA, with 30% y/y EBITDA growth. Seems a bit extreme?

@HaydenCapital Feb 5

Fred Liu on X

$SE is down -45% over the past few months. The prevailing bear case seems to hinge on two points: 1) Rising fear of TikTok Shop competition, and 2) Shopee reinvesting more heavily into logistics, capping margins at ~0.7% of GMV this year vs. prior expectations of ~1.2%. The concern is that this spend is defensive - a necessary response to TikTok rather than a choice. But alt data is telling a different story. TikTok Shop’s Southeast Asia GMV growth has slowed materially over the past few quarters - from 70%+ in 2Q25 to ~30%+ by late 2025. That’s only modestly above Shopee’s own growth rate. More notably, TikTok’s relative share vs. Shopee in Indonesia (~50% of regional GMV) has effectively flat-lined over the past year. If this data is directionally right, Shopee’s ~50 bps of reinvestment looks discretionary and offensive -widening the moat - rather than a defensive reaction to competitive pressure. And critically, that implies the margin compression is temporary, not structural. Oh, and both Shopee & Tiktok are raising take-rates. Not usually the sign of a competitor trying to aggressively take share... Curious, what am I missing? Is the -45% drawdown really just “2026 margins down > negative 2026 earnings revisions > stock down,” even if margins are likely to re-expand next year? And Shopee emerges with a wider moat after? The competitive backdrop looks like it’s improving, not deteriorating...

@MultiplesCap Feb 5

Multiples Capital on X

$AAPL looking pretty smart staying out of the the AI capex wars 😉 This story is not over yet.

@LaughingH20Cap Feb 4 1 click

Laughing Water Capital on X

$NN https://t.co/q3EOINP0pt

@MultiplesCap Feb 3

Multiples Capital on X

It's always amazing for me to see $expe stock getting pummelled evertime there is AI disruption related sell off in the market. Expedia is a platform, for an AI app to replace it, one will need to build something equivalent, get all the hotels to list it there (as inventory) and manage the bookings. Not that it can't be done but it's not same as replacing a SaaS company. Instead I see Expedia using AI to navigate the change. It's more likely that AI replaces how users find hotels on Expedia vs via google search now than the former happening. Also, it's a super recession proof business model. Time will tell for sure :)

@HaydenCapital Feb 3

Fred Liu on X

"We're on track to produce the highest mortgage loan production in terms of volume that we've had in four years," says $RKT CEO Varun Krishna. https://t.co/PBOdQTwuKr https://t.co/fqJ4bNkU8d

@HaydenCapital Jan 31

Fred Liu on X

@MackinacCap Right, I'm just wondering why $RKT stock would be down -13% on this. Seems the wrong reaction?

CDNL · short

Cardinal Infrastru Group INC

Cardinal Infrastructure Group faces an IPO lockup expiration amid stretched valuation and reported metrics, with an Up-C structure…

CDNL $1.7B

Value Investors Club Jun 5

QTWO · long

Q2 Holdings INC (qtwo)

Q2 Holdings sells banking software to more than 1,200 financial institutions and 27.8 million registered users, after selling off with…

QTWO $3.7B

Value Investors Club Jun 5

A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?

Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the…

SMPL $954MBRBR $1.1B

The Value Road Sep 2 22 clicks

Chevron Stock Is A Bargain Amid Venezuela Deal

Chevron committed $7 billion to expand Venezuelan output as record U.S. production and elevated oil prices lifted Q2 earnings.

CVX $423B

Bay Area Ideas Sep 2 4 clicks

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

DoorDash’s delivery economics rely on customer tips and flexible labor, while rising courier costs make autonomous delivery central to…

DASH $87B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 2 16 clicks

IREN's Customers Are Starting To Fund The Build

IREN’s AI contracts now include customer prepayments covering 45% to 55% of GPU CapEx, while three-year pricing has risen 125% since…

IREN $18B

Quantryon Capital Sep 2 10 clicks

Amazon $AMZN: The Company That Became Impossible to Ignore — and Finally Possible to Model

Amazon reported $200.6 billion in quarterly revenue and $27.5 billion in operating income as AWS grew 36.7% and advertising 26%, making its…

AMZN $2.7T

Substack von Philipp Sep 2 7 clicks

Reddit: Rapid Earnings Growth With Room For An AI Expansion

Reddit's advertising automation, proprietary data and Reddit Max are driving rapid revenue growth and margin expansion, while AI licensing…

RDDT $30B

Krzysztof Bogdanski Sep 2 7 clicks

EVC Update

EVC reported a solid second quarter and outlook.

EVC $772M

Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter Sep 1 25 clicks

$LMB: Limbach missed the data center boom. Is that the opportunity? | 1 Main Capital

Limbach's EBITDA fell 30% as organic revenue declined, but 1 Main Capital calls the weakness temporary and views CYMCOR as its first…

LMB $591M

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 1 19 clicks

OKLO · short

Oklo INC

Oklo is framed as a portfolio basket short and a concept company that could become a compounding short.

OKLO $7.4B

Value Investors Club Jun 5

LULU · long

Lululemon Athletica INC

Lululemon Athletica, a high-end women’s sportswear retailer, is presented as a long investment.

LULU $11B

Value Investors Club Jun 5

Meta Vs. Meta's 7.1% Bond Yield: Reality Check For Asset Allocators

Meta Platforms’ 7.1% long bonds set a high return hurdle for equity as user growth nears saturation and the stock trades at 6.5 times sales.

META $1.6T

Tariq Dennison Sep 2 5 clicks

YSWY · long

Yesway INC

Yesway is pitched as a high-quality convenience-store operator with growth runway, trading near 8.5 times EBITDA and targeting a…

YSWY $1.5B

Value Investors Club Jun 4

MDA Space: Houston, We Have a New Position

MDA Space is added to the Aurelion Index after hiring engineers, signing large contracts and expanding facilities; the thesis cites…

MDA $4.8B

Aurelion Research Sep 1 6 clicks

The Bid Shading Threat to Amazon Advertising

Amazon’s $69 billion advertising business faces an FTC lawsuit over alleged bid shading, threatening a revenue stream that grew roughly…

AMZN $2.7T

MBI Deep Dives Sep 1 14 clicks

Cleveland-Cliffs: 2027 Could Be A Very Big Year

Cleveland-Cliffs' 2027 upside depends on contract resets and Stelco earnings, while management directs free cash flow to deleveraging…

CLF $7B

The Bullionaire Sep 1 2 clicks

[WAY – Waystar] Healthcare is a very complicated invoice

Waystar sells revenue-cycle software for a US claims process where roughly 18% of submitted claims are initially denied and healthcare…

WAY $4.6B

scuttleblurb Aug 31 15 clicks

Here's Why You Should Buy Genius Sports Despite Rising Leverage

Genius Sports guided for $1.005–$1.025 billion of revenue and $285–$295 million of adjusted EBITDA despite higher leverage from the Legend…

GENI $2B

Mayank Marwah Aug 31 5 clicks

Preview of the Week Ahead: W/C August 31, 2026

The week of August 31 features U.S. manufacturing, jobs and services data, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hold above key moving averages and…

AMZN $2.7TCOIN $46B

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Aug 30 1 click

Thursday, September 3, 2026

[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

Enersys

From X

Fred Liu on X

Fred Liu on X

Fred Liu on X

Multiples Capital on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Multiples Capital on X

Fred Liu on X

Fred Liu on X

Investor Letters

Cardinal Infrastru Group INC

Q2 Holdings INC (qtwo)

A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?

Chevron Stock Is A Bargain Amid Venezuela Deal

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

IREN's Customers Are Starting To Fund The Build

Amazon $AMZN: The Company That Became Impossible to Ignore — and Finally Possible to Model

Reddit: Rapid Earnings Growth With Room For An AI Expansion

EVC Update

$LMB: Limbach missed the data center boom. Is that the opportunity? | 1 Main Capital

Oklo INC

Lululemon Athletica INC

Meta Vs. Meta's 7.1% Bond Yield: Reality Check For Asset Allocators

Yesway INC

MDA Space: Houston, We Have a New Position

The Bid Shading Threat to Amazon Advertising

Cleveland-Cliffs: 2027 Could Be A Very Big Year

[WAY – Waystar] Healthcare is a very complicated invoice

Here's Why You Should Buy Genius Sports Despite Rising Leverage

Preview of the Week Ahead: W/C August 31, 2026

Publications we follow

YouTube 4

Blogs 11

Seeking Alpha 14 of 119

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Sectors

Thursday, September 3, 2026

Fred Liu on X

Fred Liu on X

Fred Liu on X

Multiples Capital on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Multiples Capital on X

Fred Liu on X

Fred Liu on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 53

YouTube 4

Blogs 11

Seeking Alpha 14 of 119

X accounts we follow

Sectors