Thursday, September 3, 2026

A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?

Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the category has reached a cyclical bottom.

SMPL $848MBRBR $1B

The Value Road Sep 2 12 clicks

Sep 2 SGMO $60M

Sangamo Bankruptcy (SGMOQ)

Triple S Special Situations Investing 6 clicks

Sep 2 ATMTF $211M

An ATM that starts to spit out cash

The Oak Bloke 7 clicks

From X

@catechwilliams Nov 13 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$PLUS Accelerating, sales -14% y/y in Q2, noted Q3 not improving yet implied FY guide is for flat sales (downward revisions to come). Margins benefitted from 1-time financing segment gain-on-sale. Still trading at a premium to higher quality industry leader CDW, makes zero sense.

@catechwilliams Oct 9 4 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$AS 50x P/E levered retail roll-up w only one decent asset (Arc’teryx). Stagnating in the US, nearly fully-penetrated in China. >$500 jackets didn’t work for $GOOS in Asia. Arc already bigger. Hyper promotional mgmt sent the stock skyward. This is going to be an epic crash.

@LittleOwlRes Oct 1

Little Owl Research on X

*THIS IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE* 1/6 I’ve been slowly building a position in $RAVE since December of 2023 but since their most recent annual report I’ve been buying much more aggressively…

@catechwilliams Sep 23

catechwilliams on X

$DAKT New $50M display upgrade award for the Miami Heat arena. Will be a nice boost to current quarter earnings (FQ2'25). https://t.co/sLAFBEerYi

@catechwilliams Aug 28

catechwilliams on X

$NX Just acquired peer Tyman. >3x leverage, never done a deal before, commodity business, customers all cutting numbers w deteriorating resi remodel activity ($AMWD yesterday, $MBC, $OC, $JELD). Stock is trading at close to 14x EPS. Seen this movie before. Earnings next week.

@catechwilliams Jul 12 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$PLUS Earnings on 8/5, expectations & stock disconnected from reality. Suppliers ($CSCO – 50% of product sales), competitors & customers all reporting sharp sales declines. Non-event PR today re a service they’ve been offering for 3 yrs is pumping stock; suggests mgmt is grasping

@LittleOwlRes May 24

Little Owl Research on X

@ragingbullcap @PropertyBigE $SEG could get very interesting. It'll be well capitalized and the approval of 250 Water St. definately doesn't hurt. I still need to see the S-1 filing and terms for the offering before making any major decisions but they've piqued my interest.

@catechwilliams May 23 2 clicks

catechwilliams on X

Meanwhile disintermediation by OEMs going direct is accelerating. See recent commentary from partners $CSCO, $PANW $DELL, etc. $PLUS has zero discernable benefit from $NVDA and AI.

EVC Update

EVC reported a solid second quarter and outlook.

EVC $725M

Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter Sep 1 15 clicks

$LMB: Limbach missed the data center boom. Is that the opportunity? | 1 Main Capital

Limbach's EBITDA fell 30% as organic revenue declined, but 1 Main Capital calls the weakness temporary and views CYMCOR as its first…

LMB $610M

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 1 9 clicks

GoPro sold itself at 9:20 AM to get ahead of a meme stock

GoPro rushed out its Starman Optical merger after Markiplier-driven buying sent GPRO up roughly 90% premarket, offering shareholders $1.14…

GPRO $260M

Yet Another Value Blog Sep 1 4 clicks

Six Flags And United Parks: Two Different Answers To The Same Demand Problem

Six Flags’ attendance rose 4% while comparable crowd intensity was nearly flat, and both it and United Parks grew deferred revenue about 2%…

FUN $1.3BPRKS $1.5B

Sanjay Swamy Sep 1 1 click

[WAY – Waystar] Healthcare is a very complicated invoice

Waystar sells revenue-cycle software for a US claims process where roughly 18% of submitted claims are initially denied and healthcare…

WAY $4.9B

scuttleblurb Aug 31 5 clicks

Here's Why You Should Buy Genius Sports Despite Rising Leverage

Genius Sports guided for $1.005–$1.025 billion of revenue and $285–$295 million of adjusted EBITDA despite higher leverage from the Legend…

GENI $1.6B

Mayank Marwah Aug 31 5 clicks

Emerge Commerce ($ECOM.V) FINS Review

Emerge Commerce's $44 million COVID-era acquisitions produced losses and impairments, while modestly improved Q2 liquidity leaves its…

EMCMF $11M

Wolf's Substack Aug 30 6 clicks

Ultragenyx ($RARE): A Catalyst-Driven Thesis With Asymmetric Upside

Ultragenyx targets $730-760 million of 2026 revenue after GENGLYCOS approval, with UX111’s FDA decision and GTX-102 Phase 3 data due in…

RARE $1.4B

Hated Moats Aug 30

FTRE 2026-08-30

Fortrea Holdings: The Turnaround Is Showing Up In Earnings Before Revenue

Fortrea’s adjusted EBITDA rose 24% in H1 as cost cuts outpaced a 3.4% revenue decline, while new business awards increased 19%.

FTRE $1.9B

Manimala Misra Aug 30 2 clicks

NTG Clarity Networks ($NCI.V) FINS Review

NTG Clarity’s $18.6M of Q2 service revenue sat in contract assets, while $4.6M cash burn cut cash to $2.85M and raises liquidity concerns.

NYWKF $12M

Wolf's Substack Aug 28 8 clicks

TOYO · short

Toyo CO LTD

TOYO CO LTD is the target of a short thesis.

TOYO $187M

Value Investors Club Jun 5

Fastly: Record Q2 Confirms The Platform Inflection

Fastly's Q2 revenue rose 23%, while Security and Compute reached a $200 million run rate and drove record profitability.

FSLY $4.1B

Miletus Research Sep 2

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…

UWMC $1.9BCCOI $398M

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 27 13 clicks

The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)

Verra Mobility renewed Hertz tolling management for five years. AutoKinex lets rental customers buy tolling, fuel and protection products…

VRRM $505M

The Oak Bloke Aug 27 6 clicks

BHVN 2026-08-27

Biohaven: Sale Of Opakalim Rights To SK Biopharmaceuticals Makes Sense On Many Levels

Biohaven’s $795 million global opakalim licensing deal with SK Biopharmaceuticals boosts cash, lowers R&D spending and extends its funding…

BHVN $2.1B

Edmund Ingham Aug 27 1 click

Miami International Holdings (MIAX)

Miami International Holdings, the No. 4 options exchange with 17% share, trades at 12x forward EBITDA despite 35% revenue growth, 54%…

MIAX $3.6B

Sylence Capital Aug 27 1 click

Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade

Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.

DOMO $167MPRGS $1.9B

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 27 3 clicks

No Paywall: CDTi Advanced Materials: Two Supermajors and Twelve Months of Cash

CDTi Advanced Materials has $804,000 of cash, roughly 12 months of runway, and unproven maritime methane technology despite ExxonMobil and…

CDTI $9.3M

Guardian Research Aug 26

Atlas Engineered Products ($AEP.V) FINS Review

Atlas Engineered Products reported Q2 revenue up 19% to $16.2 million, but ended cashless on its credit line as inventory rose 47% and…

APEUF $30M

Wolf's Substack Aug 25 10 clicks

STNE 2026-08-25

StoneCo: Deep Value Hiding Behind Brazil's Rate Fears - For Now

StoneCo's buybacks and special dividend produced roughly 39% H1 shareholder yield as Brazil's rate cuts slow and competition persists.

STNE $2.3B

IWA Research Aug 25 3 clicks

Thursday, September 3, 2026

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