Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.
Sunday, August 30, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Clark Square Capital on X
Anybody like $DOMO here? Trading at $3.67 when they will have circa $4.84 in net cash after the sale closes + $900m in NOLs (at a 21% tax rate, that's worth $4.50 to the equity) https://t.co/UwaAd0UkLL
Clark Square Capital on X
Good, solid quarter from $BWMX https://t.co/rRzlwT85tX
BDC on X
$STIM https://t.co/VyAQNzsKuH
marginofdanger on X
$FPH mentions on call they are currently talking to anchor tenants for the 2.8mm sf of R&D/tech-dedicated entitlements for Candlestick. Not many options for contiguous brand new space in SF. Would be interesting if they secured a whale like Anthropic, OpenAI or Databricks.
marginofdanger on X
@blondesnmoney $OPBK solid
Fierce_beast on X
$SSTK -- this stock was often trading below 8x p/e throughout the last 3 years and even lower on a net cash basis. At the start of this year it was trading around 4.5x p/e. It's down 70% YTD https://t.co/aRCDW2mTMu
Timyan Bank Alert on X
$FCNCA $SBNC HT @bankinvesting https://t.co/3nOgjdlsG8
Timyan Bank Alert on X
$NRIM- Northrim BanCorp, Inc. Signs Definitive Agreement to Acquire $PBCO Financial Corporation https://t.co/XtscRHtpqE
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 064850 $164M082920 $946M
- Protean Funds July 2026 DVYSR $91MSTOR-B $1.7B
- Alluvial Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 DGXX $415MDIG $493M
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 AAP $2.6BBRSL $1.9B
- Greenhaven Road Capital second quarter ANAB $1.6BBUR $873M
- RGA Investment Advisors Q2 2026 MIPS $1B
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 AORT $1.2BCENX $3.9B
- Southeastern Asset Management 2Q26 CNX $4.9BFBIN $4.8B
FUFU 2026-08-27 BitFuFu: A $93 Million Liability No One Can Explain
BitFuFu’s $93.4 million unexplained long-term payable equals 57% of liabilities, overshadowing sharply higher self-mining and hosting…
Dorine Cherop 
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
PTLO 2026-08-20 Portillo's: Guidance Cut Confirms It's Cheap For A Reason
Portillo's guidance cut followed a 1.2% same-restaurant-sales decline and 1.9% margin compression, while its $343 million TRA liability…
KC Research 2 clicks
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
SA 2026-08-20 Seabridge Gold: Fairly Valued Now But Big Upside
Seabridge Gold's KSM gold-copper project could re-rate on a joint venture, 2027 feasibility study and infrastructure progress, with gold…
Redfern Research 
Jumia
Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…
Why DoorDash’s Autonomous Strategy Beats Uber’s Hodgepodge
DoorDash’s integrated autonomous-delivery strategy contrasts with Uber’s 2026 divestment of Serve Robotics, its former delivery-robot…
Stock Trade Compilation Diez
E.W. Scripps, Team Internet, Monro, doValue and Inter & Co feature as special-situation trades involving mergers, asset sales, leverage and…
$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management
DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.
CNR · long Core Natural Resources INC
Core Natural Resources is a US metallurgical and thermal coal producer formed in January 2025 through the merger of CONSOL Energy and Arch…
RR 2026-08-29 Richtech Robotics: An Easy Pass Based On Lackluster RaaS Growth Quality
Richtech Robotics faces 9.5% revenue growth, 159% higher OPEX and a RaaS contract pipeline that fell from $6.6 million to $2.1 million.
Andres Veurink 1 click
Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?
Macy’s and Kohl’s face renewed short cases as their recent reratings ignore fading store-refresh gains, credit-card earnings exposure and…
Entravision Q2 Notes
Entravision’s ATS revenue rose 230% to $182.8 million in Q2, but shares fell from above $14 to about $8 after management forecast…
$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost
UWMC booked a roughly $600 million Q2 hedging loss tied to TWO months after the deal collapsed, contributing to an expensive capital raise.
40 Stock Pitches (3rd-9th August)
Navient trades near 40% of tangible book as Gator Financial Partners argues private student-loan growth and restructuring can reverse its…
These Power Stocks (Not Semis) Are The Real AI Beneficiaries, Say Investing Brother Duo Up 1,300%
Pernas Research names Capstone Energy and Stabilis Solutions as AI data-center power beneficiaries, alongside Tenable, Upwork, Wise and…
My Pitch Deck Slide Show from the MS Microcaps Summer Virtual Conference
Butler National Corporation is the subject of a stock pitch presented at the MS Microcaps Summer Virtual Conference.
DEC-laration of independence
Diversified Energy cut $233 million of debt in 1H26, repurchased $93 million of stock and sold $273 million of land and assets while…
Perimeter Solutions: 2Q26 Business Recap
Perimeter Solutions’ 2Q26 revenue rose 31%, while operating income fell 11% as USDA pricing and DLA delivery timing hurt Fire Safety; it…
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Convequity
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Deep Sail Capital
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DOMO Capital Management, LLC
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Fierce_beast
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SG
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Investor letters we follow
- 1851 Capital
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