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Saturday, August 29, 2026

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Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.

UWMC $2BCCOI $476M
Yet Another Value Podcast 13 clicks

From X

@ActAccordingly

PAA Research on X

5%+ SSS comps for the core franchise at $CAKE this quarter. The stock was obviously telling everyone about the inflection in trend. I would like to see better comps at North Italia. Flower Child units could grow faster, but it's clear some of the menu changes and technology improvements are yielding better traffic. It's been a long time since they posted a 5%+ comp. SSS + unit growth is a rare breed in consumer land, $CAKE has it. The LLOK trade remains alive and well. @TiberiusCapital
@BlueDuckCap

BDC on X

From the $TOI Q4 call: “That’s actually a very important question and something that we continue to try to drive clarity with our investors on, which is the MA rate cycle and sort of pressure that you’ve seen health plans and full risk, medical groups that are getting a percent of premium face is actually a tailwind for TOI.Our top line Medicare Advantage reimbursement is not a percent of total premium. It’s not impacted by risk adjustment. In fact, pressure on the top line for payers generally causes them to reach out more proactively when it comes to seeking opportunities to provide great care for their patients and good access while also driving improvement in utilization. And so from that perspective, that actually helps our growth. So we tend to get lumped into some of those macro issues with payers, but I just want to make it very clear that, that is actually probably a good thing for TOI.”

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Jumia

Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…

JMIA $938M
Triple S Special Situations Investing 13 clicks

Stock Trade Compilation Diez

E.W. Scripps, Team Internet, Monro, doValue and Inter & Co feature as special-situation trades involving mergers, asset sales, leverage and…

SSP $292MMNRO $422M
Triple S Special Situations Investing 9 clicks
GPK · long

Graphic Packaging Holding CO

Graphic Packaging (GPK) is pitched as a long with $22 fair value, implying roughly 100% upside, based on its low-cost paper-based packaging…

GPK $2.8B
Value Investors Club 2 clicks

Entravision Q2 Notes

Entravision’s ATS revenue rose 230% to $182.8 million in Q2, but shares fell from above $14 to about $8 after management forecast…

EVC $727M
The Value Road 13 clicks

40 Stock Pitches (3rd-9th August)

Navient trades near 40% of tangible book as Gator Financial Partners argues private student-loan growth and restructuring can reverse its…

NAVI $855M
Capital Employed 9 clicks

DEC-laration of independence

Diversified Energy cut $233 million of debt in 1H26, repurchased $93 million of stock and sold $273 million of land and assets while…

DEC $983M
The Oak Bloke 7 clicks

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