Saturday, August 29, 2026

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.

UWMC $2B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 27 13 clicks

Aug 20 ELALF $3.2B

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

Yet Another Value Podcast 12 clicks

Aug 20 CCC $3.9B

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

scuttleblurb 17 clicks

From X

@irbezek Aug 19 1 click

Ian Bezek on X

@stoked_on_waves @CapitalShipyard $open's backers also claim it is profitable. Apparently you can just say stuff now

@mavix_leon Aug 19 2 clicks

mavix on X

Shelly Group $SLYG has entered into a pan-European partnership with ALSO, Europe’s largest technology provider that provides an extensive network of resellers, system integrators and professional installers. It also supports Shelly’s international scaling strategy. https://t.co/E4Gg0SWhIA

@mavix_leon Aug 19 1 click

mavix on X

Shelly Group $SLYG major shareholder Svetlin Todorov has transferred nearly 1/4 of his shares (6.5% of Shelly) into a LLC he also owns. Maybe a preparation for a potential partial sale to Schneider Electric who would buy into Shelly as a strategic investor / partnership? https://t.co/YJfHzbSeeH

@cfrischer1 Aug 18

Charles Frischer on X

@MLedrappier @roadkillrecipes @CalgaryLeveen @FishOnCapital $NN No doubt the smartest people in the room think Sept and Oct are very live months. The SpaceX news is critically important great news. I may be wrong, but I love the company’s position right now.

@mavix_leon Aug 18 2 clicks

mavix on X

I just published the Earnings Update about the Shelly Group $SLYG H1 2026 results. You can find it in the Portfolio section of the blog :) https://t.co/8oHEkLEiea

@irbezek Aug 18 1 click

Ian Bezek on X

Corporacion America Airports $CAAP announces a 91 cent dividend, nearly a 4% yield on today's stock price, and 40% yield-on-cost for people that bought in 2020. The top complaint about CAAP had been it didn't pay a dividend, so that it is now resolved. ✈️

@leevalueroach Aug 17

Lee Roach on X

Anyone follow $LFTO closely? What price does this get interesting? https://t.co/wBRnTTafXG

@junkbondinvest Aug 16

junkbondinvestor on X

Whirlpool's credit curve is interesting because the belly of the curve is much wider than the long end. Typically, the further out a maturity is, the higher the credit spread required to compensate you for the additional risk. Here, the dollar price of the long bonds is so low, they carry less downside per dollar to the same recovery, plus all the torque to any good outcome (asset sales, M&A, turnaround, etc). Investors are paying a premium for that $WHR

SA 2026-08-20

Seabridge Gold: Fairly Valued Now But Big Upside

Seabridge Gold's KSM gold-copper project could re-rate on a joint venture, 2027 feasibility study and infrastructure progress, with gold…

SA $3.3B

Redfern Research Aug 20

$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management

DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.

DNOW $2.8B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 14 9 clicks

$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost

UWMC booked a roughly $600 million Q2 hedging loss tied to TWO months after the deal collapsed, contributing to an expensive capital raise.

UWMC $2B

Yet Another Value Blog Aug 11 11 clicks

$CBZ: stop the buybacks and restart the M&A flywheel? | Reference Equity

CBIZ activist Ryan Bunn urges ending buybacks, issuing equity and resuming bolt-on acquisitions to delever after the $2.3 billion Marcum…

CBZ $3B

Yet Another Value Podcast Jul 14 2 clicks

$VEON: a busted EM telecom hiding a 4x? | Samit Umatiya, UIG Funds

VEON’s 84% Kyivstar stake and JazzCash underpin a sum-of-the-parts case for 4x upside, despite its sanctioned shareholder, capital…

VEON $4.8B

Yet Another Value Blog Jul 1 1 click

Under The Hood, Wingstop Inc. ($WING)

Wingstop generates most of its $697 million revenue from franchise royalties across a 3,153-restaurant, 98%-franchised system while…

WING $2.8B

Bearhold Research Jun 28 2 clicks

A Hardware Multiple on a Software Powerhouse

A software powerhouse posts a record quarter while trading at a 52-week low, raising a valuation disconnect between its business model and…

CALX $2.2B

The Value Road Jun 12 5 clicks

Vidrala

Vidrala has grown from a Spanish glass-container maker into a multi-country packaging platform with expanding Latin American exposure.

VDRFF $3.6B

smallvalue. May 19 6 clicks

AXT’s Tongmei Problem: Great Asset, Fragile Economics

AXT’s 85.5%-owned Tongmei depends on offshore pricing, export approvals and transfer-pricing economics despite AI-optics demand.

AXTI $4.2B

Maius Partners Apr 2 7 clicks

Shift4 Company Podcast Episode Released!

Shift4 built its payments business by acquiring gateway nodes and migrating merchants to its processing platform; revenue has compounded…

FOUR $3.3B

Speedwell Memos Feb 19 1 click

GPK · long

Graphic Packaging Holding CO

Graphic Packaging (GPK) is pitched as a long with $22 fair value, implying roughly 100% upside, based on its low-cost paper-based packaging…

GPK $2.8B

Value Investors Club May 31 2 clicks

BHVN 2026-08-27

Biohaven: Sale Of Opakalim Rights To SK Biopharmaceuticals Makes Sense On Many Levels

Biohaven’s $795 million global opakalim licensing deal with SK Biopharmaceuticals boosts cash, lowers R&D spending and extends its funding…

BHVN $2.1B

Edmund Ingham Aug 27 1 click

My Biggest Position: A Monopoly Priced for Failure

A former value-investor darling, down 50%, pairs a monopoly with a recurring-revenue razor-and-blade business; debt paydown, margin…

PBI $2.4B

Treasure Hunting Feb 5 3 clicks

Haw Par Corporation Limited

Haw Par combines Tiger Balm’s stable cash flows with property, leisure and healthcare operations plus stakes in UOB and UOL.

HAWPY $3B

smallvalue. Dec 17 4 clicks

National Beverage Update

National Beverage’s rare share repurchase is framed as a buy signal, with 50% upside projected.

FIZZ $3B

Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter Nov 25 3 clicks

Tis The (Earnings) Season

Argentine banks, tariff-exposed stocks and Customer’s Bancorp anchor an earnings-season watchlist after Milei’s election victory,…

CUBI $2.7B

Cluseau Research Oct 27 3 clicks

When extend and pretend is a virtue

Upstart says longer repayment terms lifted Q1 debt-settlement acceptances 50%, but does not disclose delinquency changes or the number of…

UPST $2.4B

John Hempton's Newsletter May 6 2 clicks

Sarepta Risk and the FDA

Sarepta’s Exondys 51 approval despite a 12-patient trial frames FDA regulatory risk and a call to remove Commissioner Robert Califf.

SRPT $2.2B

John Hempton's Newsletter Oct 31 1 click

Saturday, August 29, 2026

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

From X

Ian Bezek on X

mavix on X

mavix on X

Charles Frischer on X

mavix on X

Ian Bezek on X

Lee Roach on X

junkbondinvestor on X

Investor Letters

Seabridge Gold: Fairly Valued Now But Big Upside

$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management

$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost

$CBZ: stop the buybacks and restart the M&A flywheel? | Reference Equity

$VEON: a busted EM telecom hiding a 4x? | Samit Umatiya, UIG Funds

Under The Hood, Wingstop Inc. ($WING)

A Hardware Multiple on a Software Powerhouse

Vidrala

AXT’s Tongmei Problem: Great Asset, Fragile Economics

Shift4 Company Podcast Episode Released!

Graphic Packaging Holding CO

Biohaven: Sale Of Opakalim Rights To SK Biopharmaceuticals Makes Sense On Many Levels

My Biggest Position: A Monopoly Priced for Failure

Haw Par Corporation Limited

National Beverage Update

Tis The (Earnings) Season

When extend and pretend is a virtue

Sarepta Risk and the FDA

Publications we follow

YouTube 4

Blogs 12

Seeking Alpha 29 of 158

X accounts we follow

Investor letters we follow

Sectors

Saturday, August 29, 2026

Ian Bezek on X

mavix on X

mavix on X

Charles Frischer on X

mavix on X

Ian Bezek on X

Lee Roach on X

junkbondinvestor on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 91

YouTube 4

Blogs 12

Seeking Alpha 29 of 158

X accounts we follow

Investor letters we follow

Sectors