Saturday, August 29, 2026

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.

UWMC $2B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 27 13 clicks

Aug 20 ELALF $3.2B

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

Yet Another Value Podcast 12 clicks

Aug 20 CCC $3.9B

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

scuttleblurb 17 clicks

From X

@BrokenMoats Jul 9

Broken Moats on X

$WDFC results are staggering when you read through them....then you get to the guidance and it does not reflect the monstrous quarter they just posted (relatively the same as the guide from Q1)....something is off with this company, they are either one of the worst non micro cap companies at forecasting their business (not a great endorsement of management and their processes). AND/OR they are playing games with inventory to influence the stock. I will reserve my own comments for private, but if you look back in recent years there are some odd swings in Asian /Chinese inventories in given quarters. Fascinated how a product that has been around forever with wide distribution posts a +30% print in Americas, 24% company wide. And the guide moves from 5-9% to 6-9% growth for the year?? What is going on?

@RagingVentures Jul 9

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Kalshi looking at rolling out perpetual futures…. Perps are super interesting, à la Hyperliquid / $PURR, and have the potential to be very disruptive across the capital markets ecosystem https://t.co/L0JHZdJu4O

@natstewart5 Jul 7 1 click

Nat Stewart on X

@GardinerIsland $BSM has kinda muffled volatility relatively speaking if you don't mind a K-1, have a pretty good plan to grow production on their land next ~5 yrs (they own royalty interests), systematically hedge ~75% of production.

@marginofdanger Jul 4 2 clicks

marginofdanger on X

Is anyone looking at these busted digital treasury companies? A quick glance suggests a bunch of them are trading at 50%+ discounts to NAV with otherwise clean balance sheets. Will they all merge in stock for stock deals? Or convert into ETFs? $BRR $XXI $BMNR

@LaughingH20Cap Jul 2 3 clicks

Laughing Water Capital on X

@darkstarsats @JoesAutopen @cfrischer1 @CalgaryLeveen @mil01425146 @SteveCrowley Probably for the same reason the opposition has submitted reports that need to break the laws of physics in order to suggest interference. $NN

@mavix_leon Jul 1 1 click

mavix on X

Portfolio end of July '26: Centrotec $CEV.HM Toyokumo $4058 Evolution $EVO Leatt $LEAT BioRem $BRM.V Secunet Security Networks $YSN -undisclosed- Lindbergh $LDB.MI Shelly $SLYG Enogia $ALENO ErreDue $RDUE Circle Group $CIRC.MI -undisclosed- -undisclosed- Sold: $TRT.L https://t.co/uosmAMwiTH https://t.co/ZCsmkvYuTS

@mavix_leon Jul 1 1 click

mavix on X

I just published my Portfolio Update for June 2026. It includes: ▫️My current portfolio & position sizes ▫️Reasons why I sold Transense $TRT.L ▫️Earnings Updates: $TRT.L ▫️Recent news & Information about $SLYG, $CIRC.MI, -undisclosed- https://t.co/GQhcUJBwCS

@mavix_leon Jun 30 2 clicks

mavix on X

Shelly Group $SLYG sees growing importance of intelligent building automation amid increasing summer heatwaves. Intelligent control of cooling, shading and energy consumption is becoming increasingly important. •Shelly sees attractive long-term growth opportunities. https://t.co/WmjPiUUf1Y

SA 2026-08-20

Seabridge Gold: Fairly Valued Now But Big Upside

Seabridge Gold's KSM gold-copper project could re-rate on a joint venture, 2027 feasibility study and infrastructure progress, with gold…

SA $3.3B

Redfern Research Aug 20

$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management

DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.

DNOW $2.8B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 14 9 clicks

$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost

UWMC booked a roughly $600 million Q2 hedging loss tied to TWO months after the deal collapsed, contributing to an expensive capital raise.

UWMC $2B

Yet Another Value Blog Aug 11 11 clicks

$CBZ: stop the buybacks and restart the M&A flywheel? | Reference Equity

CBIZ activist Ryan Bunn urges ending buybacks, issuing equity and resuming bolt-on acquisitions to delever after the $2.3 billion Marcum…

CBZ $3B

Yet Another Value Podcast Jul 14 2 clicks

$VEON: a busted EM telecom hiding a 4x? | Samit Umatiya, UIG Funds

VEON’s 84% Kyivstar stake and JazzCash underpin a sum-of-the-parts case for 4x upside, despite its sanctioned shareholder, capital…

VEON $4.8B

Yet Another Value Blog Jul 1 1 click

Under The Hood, Wingstop Inc. ($WING)

Wingstop generates most of its $697 million revenue from franchise royalties across a 3,153-restaurant, 98%-franchised system while…

WING $2.8B

Bearhold Research Jun 28 2 clicks

A Hardware Multiple on a Software Powerhouse

A software powerhouse posts a record quarter while trading at a 52-week low, raising a valuation disconnect between its business model and…

CALX $2.2B

The Value Road Jun 12 5 clicks

Vidrala

Vidrala has grown from a Spanish glass-container maker into a multi-country packaging platform with expanding Latin American exposure.

VDRFF $3.6B

smallvalue. May 19 6 clicks

AXT’s Tongmei Problem: Great Asset, Fragile Economics

AXT’s 85.5%-owned Tongmei depends on offshore pricing, export approvals and transfer-pricing economics despite AI-optics demand.

AXTI $4.2B

Maius Partners Apr 2 7 clicks

Shift4 Company Podcast Episode Released!

Shift4 built its payments business by acquiring gateway nodes and migrating merchants to its processing platform; revenue has compounded…

FOUR $3.3B

Speedwell Memos Feb 19 1 click

GPK · long

Graphic Packaging Holding CO

Graphic Packaging (GPK) is pitched as a long with $22 fair value, implying roughly 100% upside, based on its low-cost paper-based packaging…

GPK $2.8B

Value Investors Club May 31 2 clicks

BHVN 2026-08-27

Biohaven: Sale Of Opakalim Rights To SK Biopharmaceuticals Makes Sense On Many Levels

Biohaven’s $795 million global opakalim licensing deal with SK Biopharmaceuticals boosts cash, lowers R&D spending and extends its funding…

BHVN $2.1B

Edmund Ingham Aug 27 1 click

My Biggest Position: A Monopoly Priced for Failure

A former value-investor darling, down 50%, pairs a monopoly with a recurring-revenue razor-and-blade business; debt paydown, margin…

PBI $2.4B

Treasure Hunting Feb 5 3 clicks

Haw Par Corporation Limited

Haw Par combines Tiger Balm’s stable cash flows with property, leisure and healthcare operations plus stakes in UOB and UOL.

HAWPY $3B

smallvalue. Dec 17 4 clicks

National Beverage Update

National Beverage’s rare share repurchase is framed as a buy signal, with 50% upside projected.

FIZZ $3B

Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter Nov 25 3 clicks

Tis The (Earnings) Season

Argentine banks, tariff-exposed stocks and Customer’s Bancorp anchor an earnings-season watchlist after Milei’s election victory,…

CUBI $2.7B

Cluseau Research Oct 27 3 clicks

When extend and pretend is a virtue

Upstart says longer repayment terms lifted Q1 debt-settlement acceptances 50%, but does not disclose delinquency changes or the number of…

UPST $2.4B

John Hempton's Newsletter May 6 2 clicks

Sarepta Risk and the FDA

Sarepta’s Exondys 51 approval despite a 12-patient trial frames FDA regulatory risk and a call to remove Commissioner Robert Califf.

SRPT $2.2B

John Hempton's Newsletter Oct 31 1 click

Saturday, August 29, 2026

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

From X

Broken Moats on X

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Nat Stewart on X

marginofdanger on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

mavix on X

mavix on X

mavix on X

Investor Letters

Seabridge Gold: Fairly Valued Now But Big Upside

$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management

$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost

$CBZ: stop the buybacks and restart the M&A flywheel? | Reference Equity

$VEON: a busted EM telecom hiding a 4x? | Samit Umatiya, UIG Funds

Under The Hood, Wingstop Inc. ($WING)

A Hardware Multiple on a Software Powerhouse

Vidrala

AXT’s Tongmei Problem: Great Asset, Fragile Economics

Shift4 Company Podcast Episode Released!

Graphic Packaging Holding CO

Biohaven: Sale Of Opakalim Rights To SK Biopharmaceuticals Makes Sense On Many Levels

My Biggest Position: A Monopoly Priced for Failure

Haw Par Corporation Limited

National Beverage Update

Tis The (Earnings) Season

When extend and pretend is a virtue

Sarepta Risk and the FDA

Publications we follow

YouTube 4

Blogs 12

Seeking Alpha 29 of 159

X accounts we follow

Investor letters we follow

Sectors

Saturday, August 29, 2026

Broken Moats on X

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Nat Stewart on X

marginofdanger on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

mavix on X

mavix on X

mavix on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 91

YouTube 4

Blogs 12

Seeking Alpha 29 of 159

X accounts we follow

Investor letters we follow

Sectors