Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.
Thursday, August 27, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Laughing Water Capital on X
$NN https://t.co/q3EOINP0pt
Laughing Water Capital on X
Think signal value for $NN is very high here. Ajit Pai, Brendan Carr’s mentor at the FCC, is Pres and CEO of CTIA. Execs from $VZ and $T are chair and vice chair. Unlikely they put Mariam on the board unless $NN future is bright. 💯% Pai knows what is happening behind FCC doors. https://t.co/4Jtm3aiAf9
Laughing Water Capital on X
Sounds like terrestrial GPS is being prioritized $NN https://t.co/EZoHuCydcB
Laughing Water Capital on X
$NN https://t.co/WSPZtvXkj1
Laughing Water Capital on X
Terrestrial backup to GPS is essential. $NN https://t.co/sCRxCPCldm
Connor Haley on X
@AndrewTakes @taobanker @CGSCapital @Compounding_K @AKWilk 1: NATL ATMs predicted to be more stable/improving than declining. We address this extensively in our report. 2: absolutely when business is growing rapidly on a per share basis. Look at $DBD which trades at a big premium despite growing slower.
Laughing Water Capital on X
In case you had any doubts on the case for terrestrial GPS. $NN https://t.co/js8mXHYTA6
Laughing Water Capital on X
@JonoJohnson8 @cfrischer1 Carr also references Cruz who first sponsored legislation calling for a terrestrial backup to GPS in 2017. As head of the Senate Commerce Committee, Cruz is effectively Carr’s boss. All tea leaves, but hard to think they’re not bullish $NN
Investor Letters
All letters- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 AAP $2.6BCBZ $3B
- Greenhaven Road Capital second quarter CLBT $2.9BHGTY $4.7B
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 CENX $3.9BCOHU $2.7B
- Southeastern Asset Management 2Q26 CNX $4.9BFBIN $4.8B
- Horizon Kinetics 2nd Quarter 2026 MIAX $3.8B
- Ariel Investments Quarter Ended June 30, 2026 HAE $4.9BMSGE $3.7B
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q2 2026 CALY $2.6BHCC $4.6B
- Palm Harbour Capital second quarter ALHG $2B111770 $2.3B
SA 2026-08-20 Seabridge Gold: Fairly Valued Now But Big Upside
Seabridge Gold's KSM gold-copper project could re-rate on a joint venture, 2027 feasibility study and infrastructure progress, with gold…
Redfern Research 
$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management
DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.
$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost
UWMC booked a roughly $600 million Q2 hedging loss tied to TWO months after the deal collapsed, contributing to an expensive capital raise.
Perimeter Solutions: 2Q26 Business Recap
Perimeter Solutions’ 2Q26 revenue rose 31%, while operating income fell 11% as USDA pricing and DLA delivery timing hurt Fire Safety; it…
$CBZ: stop the buybacks and restart the M&A flywheel? | Reference Equity
CBIZ activist Ryan Bunn urges ending buybacks, issuing equity and resuming bolt-on acquisitions to delever after the $2.3 billion Marcum…
$VEON: a busted EM telecom hiding a 4x? | Samit Umatiya, UIG Funds
VEON’s 84% Kyivstar stake and JazzCash underpin a sum-of-the-parts case for 4x upside, despite its sanctioned shareholder, capital…
Under The Hood, Wingstop Inc. ($WING)
Wingstop generates most of its $697 million revenue from franchise royalties across a 3,153-restaurant, 98%-franchised system while…
A Hardware Multiple on a Software Powerhouse
A software powerhouse posts a record quarter while trading at a 52-week low, raising a valuation disconnect between its business model and…
Vidrala
Vidrala has grown from a Spanish glass-container maker into a multi-country packaging platform with expanding Latin American exposure.
Shift4 Company Podcast Episode Released!
Shift4 built its payments business by acquiring gateway nodes and migrating merchants to its processing platform; revenue has compounded…
CC · long the chemours inc.
Chemours (CC) is presented as a long investment in its three-segment specialty chemicals business.
STNE 2026-08-25 StoneCo: Deep Value Hiding Behind Brazil's Rate Fears - For Now
StoneCo's buybacks and special dividend produced roughly 39% H1 shareholder yield as Brazil's rate cuts slow and competition persists.
IWA Research 3 clicks
My Biggest Position: A Monopoly Priced for Failure
A former value-investor darling, down 50%, pairs a monopoly with a recurring-revenue razor-and-blade business; debt paydown, margin…
Haw Par Corporation Limited
Haw Par combines Tiger Balm’s stable cash flows with property, leisure and healthcare operations plus stakes in UOB and UOL.
National Beverage Update
National Beverage’s rare share repurchase is framed as a buy signal, with 50% upside projected.
Tis The (Earnings) Season
Argentine banks, tariff-exposed stocks and Customer’s Bancorp anchor an earnings-season watchlist after Milei’s election victory,…
When extend and pretend is a virtue
Upstart says longer repayment terms lifted Q1 debt-settlement acceptances 50%, but does not disclose delinquency changes or the number of…
Sarepta Risk and the FDA
Sarepta’s Exondys 51 approval despite a 12-patient trial frames FDA regulatory risk and a call to remove Commissioner Robert Califf.
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Investor letters we follow
- 1851 Capital
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