Thursday, August 27, 2026

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.

UWMC $2BCCOI $476M

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 27 13 clicks

Aug 27 VRRM $536M

The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)

The Oak Bloke 6 clicks

Aug 27 DOMO $177M

Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade

Triple S Special Situations Investing 3 clicks

From X

@majgeoinvesting Aug 15

Maj Soueidan on X

$SURG - 25c to 43c, pre-market… to 28c at close. Would’ve been a nice short selling opportunity if you had courage. But was just too risky given how irrational penny stock pumps can be. Anyways, it shows the benefit of reading press releases beyond the headline. No need for AI. https://t.co/kYsB4WXMND

@majgeoinvesting Aug 15

Maj Soueidan on X

This is what dilution looks like, courtesy of $DVLT - from 5.6 million shares to almost one billion shares in around two years. Spectacular!! https://t.co/UyfWHQVfFm

@irbezek Aug 14 2 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

@WaterworldCapi1 $jets Bad industry, oil might go up again, consumer spending may roll over, and the new "capacity discipline" is more lucky accident than strategic. Somebody, probably $aal will start dumping capacity on routes again and margins back to zero

@irbezek Aug 14 3 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

@lasse108 @ReturnsJourney $intr

@leevalueroach Aug 14

Lee Roach on X

Not bad earnings at $MCCK. Gold book took a mark to market loss. But core business is kicking at. Revenues up 8.9%. Gross margins expanding. Customer deposits and deferred revenue up 33%. Back out all the cash and gold and this is trading at a dirt cheap multiple.

@stockgutter Aug 14 1 click

SG on X

Must read imo on $OPEN. Scott raises some great points about the potential if things go right. I have no position rn, and have a more pessimistic view than Scott on the value of Eric Jackson's involvement (my view: he certainly kickstarted but unfortunately showed his true colors stalking a random celebrity for no reason. He is a liability now).

@majgeoinvesting Aug 14

Maj Soueidan on X

I’ve always felt that shares outstanding in microcaps tells you about the soul of Mgmt. So I instantly connected with @bmb21 when he made a similar comment pitching $AMNF at @MSmicrocaps summer virtual: “Share count tells you how Mgmt. feels about the sanctity of the shares.” https://t.co/88XsqxHLKB

@natstewart5 Aug 14 2 clicks

Nat Stewart on X

Fantastic $NRP update from John. Particularly appreciate his capital allocation framework and view on why paying out 100% of cash flow makes the most sense. https://t.co/6LngKKV9hC

Atlas Engineered Products ($AEP.V) FINS Review

Atlas Engineered Products reported Q2 revenue up 19% to $16.2 million, but ended cashless on its credit line as inventory rose 47% and…

APEUF $31M

Wolf's Substack Aug 25 10 clicks

The Junk (Mail) Merger Arb

Star Equity’s $5 per-share Harte-Hanks acquisition offers $2.50 cash plus 0.25 STRRP per share after proration, against a $2 break price.

STRR $37MHHS $35M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 24 8 clicks

RCEL 2026-08-24

AVITA Medical: Favorable Reimbursements For Skin Wound Care

AVITA Medical’s more predictable reimbursement, RECELL GO rollout and PermeaDerm economics support adoption, with cash flow breakeven…

RCEL $347M

Myriam Alvarez Aug 24 4 clicks

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…

ELALF $3.2B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 20 12 clicks

PTLO 2026-08-20

Portillo's: Guidance Cut Confirms It's Cheap For A Reason

Portillo's guidance cut followed a 1.2% same-restaurant-sales decline and 1.9% margin compression, while its $343 million TRA liability…

PTLO $286M

KC Research Aug 20 2 clicks

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…

CCC $3.9B

scuttleblurb Aug 20 17 clicks

Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?

Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…

VRRM $536M

The Oak Bloke Aug 20 13 clicks

SA 2026-08-20

Seabridge Gold: Fairly Valued Now But Big Upside

Seabridge Gold's KSM gold-copper project could re-rate on a joint venture, 2027 feasibility study and infrastructure progress, with gold…

SA $3.3B

Redfern Research Aug 20

NCLH or her grandma Saga?

Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…

NCLH $6.5B

The Oak Bloke Aug 19 13 clicks

Jumia

Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…

JMIA $938M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 18 13 clicks

LGCY · long

Legacy Education

Legacy Education operates six California campuses offering post-secondary nursing, physician assistant and surgical education.

LGCY $132M

Value Investors Club May 29

SM 2026-08-26

SM Energy: Tailwinds From Fading Hedge Drag And Strong Oil Leverage

SM Energy's Civitas acquisition doubled acreage and production, while underwater oil hedges depress cash flow through 2026 before rolling…

SM $8.8B

Elliott Gue Aug 26

Why DoorDash’s Autonomous Strategy Beats Uber’s Hodgepodge

DoorDash’s integrated autonomous-delivery strategy contrasts with Uber’s 2026 divestment of Serve Robotics, its former delivery-robot…

SERV $370M

MBI Deep Dives Aug 17 4 clicks

Stock Trade Compilation Diez

E.W. Scripps, Team Internet, Monro, doValue and Inter & Co feature as special-situation trades involving mergers, asset sales, leverage and…

SSP $292MMNRO $383M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 17 9 clicks

$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management

DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.

DNOW $2.8B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 14 9 clicks

Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?

Macy’s and Kohl’s face renewed short cases as their recent reratings ignore fading store-refresh gains, credit-card earnings exposure and…

M $5.8BKSS $1.9B

Bristlemoon Capital Aug 13 9 clicks

Entravision Q2 Notes

Entravision’s ATS revenue rose 230% to $182.8 million in Q2, but shares fell from above $14 to about $8 after management forecast…

EVC $727M

The Value Road Aug 11 13 clicks

$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost

UWMC booked a roughly $600 million Q2 hedging loss tied to TWO months after the deal collapsed, contributing to an expensive capital raise.

UWMC $2BTWO $1.3B

Yet Another Value Blog Aug 11 11 clicks

40 Stock Pitches (3rd-9th August)

Navient trades near 40% of tangible book as Gator Financial Partners argues private student-loan growth and restructuring can reverse its…

NAVI $902M

Capital Employed Aug 10 9 clicks

$HIMS: Paul Cerro wouldn't trust the CEO to walk his dog. He's still long. Why? | Cedar Grove

Hims & Hers investor Paul Cerro is long again on lab and patient data driving retention and LTV, despite management concerns, GLP-1…

HIMS $7.1B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 7 9 clicks

Thursday, August 27, 2026

Maj Soueidan on X

Maj Soueidan on X

Ian Bezek on X

Ian Bezek on X

Lee Roach on X

SG on X

Maj Soueidan on X

Nat Stewart on X

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