The Junk (Mail) Merger Arb
Star Equity’s $5 per-share Harte-Hanks acquisition offers $2.50 cash plus 0.25 STRRP per share after proration, against a $2 break price.
Monday, August 24, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Laughing Water Capital on X
@CFAs4CFPs @BATMongoose it was disclosed at trial that GSK tried to buy $ANAB 3 times over the last year. IMHO this is more important than whatever odds I put on the trial outcome. It seems that in all scenarios ANAB gets sold. If they win trial, the $ will be higher. If they dont it will still be fine
Ian Bezek on X
@EdwardR02184224 Posted on the newsletter about $ASR recently. Similar thoughts for $OMAB except Sureste has the catalysts with the new airport packages and improvements in Colombia... https://t.co/ZO0t5ghX40
Timyan Bank Alert on X
WaFd's $WAFD valuation limits M&A ambitions, CEO says | S&P Global Market Intelligence https://t.co/7BDy1GI1mj
Timyan Bank Alert on X
Finward Bancorp Acquisition $FFBC is a great partner for $FNWD- 6.4 x cost save earnings, 7 month payback and a dividend increase. Everything’s Archie! - https://t.co/qymOJS625L
Timyan Bank Alert on X
Independent Bank, Simmons address credit quality; South Plains $SPFI interested in M&A | S&P Global Market Intelligence https://t.co/TWGUKwHaIL
JabroniCoin.USD on X
Citi on SocGen: The Bank Within A Bank: Sizing The BoursoBank Opportunity We reiterate our Buy rating, new TP €90 $GLE https://t.co/chB2cIfOFI https://t.co/r4fP8B5HYe
catechwilliams on X
$SWIM. Stock has barely budged over the last 2 weeks despite: 1) $PNR pre-announcing pool pump sales -17% and 2) $LESL filing for BK citing slowing new pool demand. Expectation of HSD growth this year are disconnected from reality. Earnings miss and guidance cut likely coming.
mavix on X
Evolution $EVO announced the termination of the merger agreement between Evolution & Galaxy Gaming. Evolution is required to pay Galaxy Gaming a termination fee of USD 5,234,678, but they expect to continue working with Galaxy Gaming. https://t.co/rdhNO86tEL
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 064850 $143M082920 $946M
- Protean Funds July 2026 DVYSR $91MSTOR-B $1.7B
- Greenhaven Road Capital second quarter ANAB $1.6BBUR $873M
- RGA Investment Advisors Q2 2026 MIPS $1B
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 ADMA $2.1BKD $2.7B
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 AORT $1.2BCENX $3.9B
- Southeastern Asset Management 2Q26 CNX $4.9BFBIN $4.8B
- Horizon Kinetics 2nd Quarter 2026 INFL MIAX $3.8B
Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
SA 2026-08-20 Seabridge Gold: Fairly Valued Now But Big Upside
Seabridge Gold's KSM gold-copper project could re-rate on a joint venture, 2027 feasibility study and infrastructure progress, with gold…
Redfern Research 
Jumia
Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…
Why DoorDash’s Autonomous Strategy Beats Uber’s Hodgepodge
DoorDash’s integrated autonomous-delivery strategy contrasts with Uber’s 2026 divestment of Serve Robotics, its former delivery-robot…
Stock Trade Compilation Diez
E.W. Scripps, Team Internet, Monro, doValue and Inter & Co feature as special-situation trades involving mergers, asset sales, leverage and…
$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management
DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.
Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?
Macy’s and Kohl’s face renewed short cases as their recent reratings ignore fading store-refresh gains, credit-card earnings exposure and…
Entravision Q2 Notes
Entravision’s ATS revenue rose 230% to $182.8 million in Q2, but shares fell from above $14 to about $8 after management forecast…
$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost
UWMC booked a roughly $600 million Q2 hedging loss tied to TWO months after the deal collapsed, contributing to an expensive capital raise.
40 Stock Pitches (3rd-9th August)
Navient trades near 40% of tangible book as Gator Financial Partners argues private student-loan growth and restructuring can reverse its…
EQPT · long Equipmentshare.com INC
EquipmentShare.com, EQPT, is presented as a long idea and potential multibagger following its recent IPO, with a setup compared to Carvana.
SEZL 2026-08-23 Sezzle: The Numbers Don't Support The Selloff
Sezzle fell 20% after Q2 despite a revenue and EPS beat and higher guidance, as marketing spending and seasonality drove a sequential…
Daniel James 3 clicks
These Power Stocks (Not Semis) Are The Real AI Beneficiaries, Say Investing Brother Duo Up 1,300%
Pernas Research names Capstone Energy and Stabilis Solutions as AI data-center power beneficiaries, alongside Tenable, Upwork, Wise and…
My Pitch Deck Slide Show from the MS Microcaps Summer Virtual Conference
Butler National Corporation is the subject of a stock pitch presented at the MS Microcaps Summer Virtual Conference.
DEC-laration of independence
Diversified Energy cut $233 million of debt in 1H26, repurchased $93 million of stock and sold $273 million of land and assets while…
A Venezuela Lottery Ticket for 41 Cents
Lionheart Holdings’ 41-cent CUBWW warrants hinge on a SPAC merger valuing KEO Energy’s Venezuelan PetroUrdaneta stake at $1 billion, versus…
Vistance Networks (NASDAQ: VISN)
Vistance Networks plans a large post-Ruckus-sale dividend, leaving Aurora Networks valued below 4x guided EBITDA after $1.88 billion of…
Cematrix Corp ($CEMX.TO) FINS Review
Cematrix posted record Q2 revenue of $18.7 million, up 76%, and $3.5 million of net income, while backlog fell 9% from year-end.
[OTCM] Listings for the rest of us
OTC Markets gives smaller, distressed, and lightly disclosed companies a trading venue outside NYSE and Nasdaq, with lower listing barriers…
This Stock Just Got Cheaper on Better Numbers
A debt-free American manufacturer now trades at roughly 7x annualized Q2 EBITDA, with $7.35 per share in net cash and a tender floor 18.5%…
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Investor letters we follow
- 1851 Capital
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- Akre Capital Management, LLC
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