$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management
DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.
Wednesday, August 19, 2026
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Laughing Water Capital on X
@CalgaryLeveen @cfrischer1 @sScCrRaAbBLLeE 2/x) remember $NN does not want 907-918 MHz. RFID signal is strongest at 915. Europe and China both use ~9 MHz for RFID, with restrictions on power and listen before talk. Why is 11 MHz that includes 915 (9 w/ blockers) not enough for RFID in the US? https://t.co/U9xEpNXW22
Laughing Water Capital on X
@CalgaryLeveen @cfrischer1 @sScCrRaAbBLLeE 1/x) agree- same objectors in different clothing. We need real world tests to prove/disprove interference - $NN has been calling for those tests for 2 years b/c they know the answer. An NPRM can force testing. The real question though is why does RFID need 902-928 MHz?
Laughing Water Capital on X
$NN https://t.co/rn1GCqqeWI
mavix on X
Shelly Group $SLYG will be included in the SDAX and thereby become part of Germany’s DAX index family, effective 10 April 2026. "We are proud to have been the first Bulgarian company to be admitted to trading on XETRA and now also the first Bulgarian company to be included in the SDAX.”
catechwilliams on X
$GPGI Stagnating credit card manufacturer (fka CompoSecure). Levered up 4x to acquire commodity plastic injection molding company Husky. Last month CEO departed, this week CEO and CFO of Husky left. Now rudderless with very ambitious guidance almost certain to get revised lower.
Laughing Water Capital on X
@cfrischer1 validation of what $NN CFO Tim Gray said at Seaport a few weeks back: https://t.co/OT4MFWbPxQ
Laughing Water Capital on X
$NN https://t.co/q3EOINP0pt
Investor Letters
All letters- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 ADMA $2.1BKD $2.7B
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 CENX $3.9BCOHU $2.7B
- Southeastern Asset Management 2Q26 CNX $4.9BFBIN $4.8B
- Horizon Kinetics 2nd Quarter 2026 MIAX $3.8B
- Ariel Investments Quarter Ended June 30, 2026 HAE $4.9BMSGE $3.7B
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q2 2026 CALY $2.6BHCC $4.6B
- Palm Harbour Capital second quarter ALHG $2B111770 $2.3B
- Third Avenue Management three months ended June 30, 2026 6951 $2.3BTDW $4.4B
$VEON: a busted EM telecom hiding a 4x? | Samit Umatiya, UIG Funds
VEON’s 84% Kyivstar stake and JazzCash underpin a sum-of-the-parts case for 4x upside, despite its sanctioned shareholder, capital…
Under The Hood, Wingstop Inc. ($WING)
Wingstop generates most of its $697 million revenue from franchise royalties across a 3,153-restaurant, 98%-franchised system while…
A Hardware Multiple on a Software Powerhouse
A software powerhouse posts a record quarter while trading at a 52-week low, raising a valuation disconnect between its business model and…
Vidrala
Vidrala has grown from a Spanish glass-container maker into a multi-country packaging platform with expanding Latin American exposure.
AXT’s Tongmei Problem: Great Asset, Fragile Economics
AXT’s 85.5%-owned Tongmei depends on offshore pricing, export approvals and transfer-pricing economics despite AI-optics demand.
Shift4 Company Podcast Episode Released!
Shift4 built its payments business by acquiring gateway nodes and migrating merchants to its processing platform; revenue has compounded…
My Biggest Position: A Monopoly Priced for Failure
A former value-investor darling, down 50%, pairs a monopoly with a recurring-revenue razor-and-blade business; debt paydown, margin…
Haw Par Corporation Limited
Haw Par combines Tiger Balm’s stable cash flows with property, leisure and healthcare operations plus stakes in UOB and UOL.
National Beverage Update
National Beverage’s rare share repurchase is framed as a buy signal, with 50% upside projected.
Tis The (Earnings) Season
Argentine banks, tariff-exposed stocks and Customer’s Bancorp anchor an earnings-season watchlist after Milei’s election victory,…
TDC · short Teradata CORP
Teradata is a short as its on-premises analytics business declines while enterprises shift workloads to cloud-native platforms.
When extend and pretend is a virtue
Upstart says longer repayment terms lifted Q1 debt-settlement acceptances 50%, but does not disclose delinquency changes or the number of…
Sarepta Risk and the FDA
Sarepta’s Exondys 51 approval despite a 12-patient trial frames FDA regulatory risk and a call to remove Commissioner Robert Califf.
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DOMO Capital Management, LLC
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Mike
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Investor letters we follow
- 1851 Capital
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- Akre Capital Management, LLC
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- Ariel Investments
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