Saturday, August 15, 2026

$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management

DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.

DNOW $2.8B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 14 9 clicks

Aug 13 KSS $1.9B

Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?

Bristlemoon Capital 9 clicks

Aug 11 EVC $727M

Entravision Q2 Notes

The Value Road 13 clicks

From X

@catechwilliams Aug 28

catechwilliams on X

$NX Just acquired peer Tyman. >3x leverage, never done a deal before, commodity business, customers all cutting numbers w deteriorating resi remodel activity ($AMWD yesterday, $MBC, $OC, $JELD). Stock is trading at close to 14x EPS. Seen this movie before. Earnings next week.

@catechwilliams Jul 12 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$PLUS Earnings on 8/5, expectations & stock disconnected from reality. Suppliers ($CSCO – 50% of product sales), competitors & customers all reporting sharp sales declines. Non-event PR today re a service they’ve been offering for 3 yrs is pumping stock; suggests mgmt is grasping

@catechwilliams May 23 2 clicks

catechwilliams on X

Meanwhile disintermediation by OEMs going direct is accelerating. See recent commentary from partners $CSCO, $PANW $DELL, etc. $PLUS has zero discernable benefit from $NVDA and AI.

@catechwilliams May 23 2 clicks

catechwilliams on X

Answer: aggressive revenue booking, financing sales, selling products at/ below cost to boost revenue and hoping to “then try to build it back up over time” per CEO. Contrast $PLUS performance w competitor and industry leader $CDW.

@catechwilliams May 23 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$PLUS Numbers don’t add up. 50% sales $CSCO product (sales -13% MRQ, guided -11%). MRQ $PLUS sales +13% (reported yesterday). Earnings call question: “OEM Cisco have talked about bottlenecks, weak orders. You’ve been unscathed…how are you outperforming the market significantly?”

@catechwilliams May 22 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$EXLS Highly innovative founder-CEO rapidly taking share w AI-based services. High-teens topline growth w expanding margins, higher value-add mix to attractive end-markets. 17x P/E yet to reflect business transformation. 100% FCF to buybacks. Winning customers from $ACN $DXC $WIT

@catechwilliams May 3

catechwilliams on X

$OII Niche leader in subsea robotics at 12x P/E. Offshore rig count accelerating (70% share), A&D growing DD, new autonomous tech a major growth driver in other end markets (lifts, etc). Investor day next week will showcase products and new LT targets. >50% NTM upside, IMO.

@catechwilliams Apr 19 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$LYTS Very attractive acq of EMI following successful prior M&A blueprint--significant cross-selling op, cost reduction, expands product set which further solidifies dominant national position. Seeing +50% upside to shares from here.

$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost

UWMC booked a roughly $600 million Q2 hedging loss tied to TWO months after the deal collapsed, contributing to an expensive capital raise.

UWMC $2BTWO $1.3B

Yet Another Value Blog Aug 11 11 clicks

40 Stock Pitches (3rd-9th August)

Navient trades near 40% of tangible book as Gator Financial Partners argues private student-loan growth and restructuring can reverse its…

NAVI $855M

Capital Employed Aug 10 9 clicks

DEC-laration of independence

Diversified Energy cut $233 million of debt in 1H26, repurchased $93 million of stock and sold $273 million of land and assets while…

DEC $983M

The Oak Bloke Aug 6 7 clicks

Perimeter Solutions: 2Q26 Business Recap

Perimeter Solutions’ 2Q26 revenue rose 31%, while operating income fell 11% as USDA pricing and DLA delivery timing hurt Fire Safety; it…

PRM $4.9B

Speedwell Memos Aug 5 9 clicks

Vistance Networks (NASDAQ: VISN)

Vistance Networks plans a large post-Ruckus-sale dividend, leaving Aurora Networks valued below 4x guided EBITDA after $1.88 billion of…

VISN $1.5B

Triple S Special Situations Investing Jul 31 7 clicks

[OTCM] Listings for the rest of us

OTC Markets gives smaller, distressed, and lightly disclosed companies a trading venue outside NYSE and Nasdaq, with lower listing barriers…

OTCM $653M

scuttleblurb Jul 31 3 clicks

This Stock Just Got Cheaper on Better Numbers

A debt-free American manufacturer now trades at roughly 7x annualized Q2 EBITDA, with $7.35 per share in net cash and a tender floor 18.5%…

RGR $663M

The Value Road Jul 30 4 clicks

Entravision: Another Whale Has Emerged

Entravision’s Q1 filings contain a new footnote disclosure pointing to a potential second large advertiser beyond its Hong Kong customer,…

EVC $727M

The Value Road Jul 28 11 clicks

$PRKS: SeaWorld, an 8% cash yield, and a possible 80% short squeeze | Hawkins Entrekin

United Parks trades at 8x EBITDA with an 8%+ unlevered cash yield, aggressive buybacks and roughly 80% effective short interest, while…

PRKS $1.6B

Yet Another Value Podcast Jul 20 2 clicks

Clear the DEC?

Diversified Energy (DEC) has paid $21.84 per share in dividends since June 2017 and trades at $13.35 amid a bullish U.S.

DEC $983M

The Oak Bloke Jul 18 3 clicks

TDC · short

Teradata CORP

Teradata is a short as its on-premises analytics business declines while enterprises shift workloads to cloud-native platforms.

TDC $2.7B

Value Investors Club May 16

$CBZ: stop the buybacks and restart the M&A flywheel? | Reference Equity

CBIZ activist Ryan Bunn urges ending buybacks, issuing equity and resuming bolt-on acquisitions to delever after the $2.3 billion Marcum…

CBZ $3B

Yet Another Value Podcast Jul 14 2 clicks

Matan on Stitch Fix

Stitch Fix’s rushed Freestyle pivot cannibalized its profitable Fix business, driving active clients below 3.4 million, quarterly revenue…

SFIX $376M

MBI Deep Dives Jul 11 2 clicks

Is insider buying a signal if the insiders are always wrong? $LILAK

LILAK’s canceled GCI Liberty deal, preferred-stock distribution, and $1.7 million of insider buying revive governance concerns around John…

LILA $1.7B

Yet Another Value Blog Jul 6

$VEON: a busted EM telecom hiding a 4x? | Samit Umatiya, UIG Funds

VEON’s 84% Kyivstar stake and JazzCash underpin a sum-of-the-parts case for 4x upside, despite its sanctioned shareholder, capital…

VEON $4.8B

Yet Another Value Blog Jul 1 1 click

Under The Hood, Wingstop Inc. ($WING)

Wingstop generates most of its $697 million revenue from franchise royalties across a 3,153-restaurant, 98%-franchised system while…

WING $2.7B

Bearhold Research Jun 28 2 clicks

The Biggest Bull Signal On Entravision

Entravision’s lost Meta relationship reset its business model, setting up a bullish case for the company’s recovery.

EVC $727M

The Value Road Jun 26 5 clicks

The Arithmetic: How a $9 Spanish-Language Broadcaster Becomes a $100 AdTech Stock

Entravision’s path from a $9 Spanish-language broadcaster to a $100 adtech stock rests on an adtech-driven valuation model.

EVC $727M

The Value Road Jun 15 4 clicks

AnaptysBio (ANAB)

AnaptysBio’s Jemperli royalty receipts rise after a Sagard financing obligation ends in 2027.

ANAB $1.6B

Triple S Special Situations Investing Jun 15 2 clicks

A Hardware Multiple on a Software Powerhouse

A software powerhouse posts a record quarter while trading at a 52-week low, raising a valuation disconnect between its business model and…

CALX $2.2B

The Value Road Jun 12 5 clicks

Saturday, August 15, 2026

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 91

YouTube 4

Blogs 12

Seeking Alpha 30 of 163

X accounts we follow

Investor letters we follow

Sectors