Research Roundup Vol. LIV
Research Roundup covers AAON's data-center cooling ramp, Knife River's margin recovery, ChronoScale's Microsoft-backed neocloud buildout and Bitdeer's shift from bitcoin mining to AI…
Wednesday, September 30, 2026
Back to today 
From X
John_Hempton on X
@SilverBacked737 @ishedtruth444 I know you were not talking to me. But I hope you buy more $AMC anyway.
John_Hempton on X
@SilverBacked737 @ishedtruth444 I am not mad about you buying $AMC. I have tried to encourage it. Please buy more.
Deep Sail Capital on X
@P_Remarks $THEON $DLO $TOI.NE
SG on X
Happy $MKTW dividend day for those who celebrate ( $PAGS $EVC too)
SG on X
@grok compare the revenue $RGTI has earned ytd with the proceeds of $RGTI insider stock sales ytd
Myles on X
@ArgonathCapital Yeah Nice Info services and Misto (paired with a $GOLF short) are large positions for me.
Deep Sail Capital on X
Short Report Review: $EQPT - Blue Orca @blueorcainvest https://t.co/YigE14K6Rw
Investor Letters
All letters- Quercus Fund 2026 (Jan-Aug) FCODF $4.7B
- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.5B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 KXS $3.4BMDA $4.8B
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. July 2026 ALM $3.8BJXN $8.8B
- Kernow Asset Management July 2026 CKNHF $2.1BCMCX $2.5B
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.3B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 9301 $3.2B
- Smead Capital Management 2Q26 SCR $5.8BTVE $4.4B
Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXX
Monte Investments upgrades Karman Holdings to Buy with a $133 target after a 65% drawdown, citing 28.83x EV/aEBITDA and governance changes.
Applied Optoelectronics: The Biggest Growth Phase Starts Now
Applied Optoelectronics targets $1.1 billion in 2026 revenue as 800G and 1.6T data-center demand drives capacity expansion, despite…
Infinity Curve 2 clicks
Quick Value #332 - Gentherm (THRM)
Gentherm’s Oct. 1 Reverse Morris Trust with Modine adds commercial and off-highway operations, leaving THRM at 7.4x pro forma EBITDA with…
QuantumScape: Sell The Stock That Has No Revenue And No Factory Until 2029
QuantumScape faces a 2029 PowerCo plant delay, reduced partner commitments and no revenue, with a scenario-weighted $2.12 per-share…
Bears of Wall Street 
On’s Premium Playbook
On Holdings targets premium growth through 2029, using LightSpray soccer cleats and higher pricing, with ASPs rising from $145 to $170…
Shake Shack: The Perfect Storm For A 2027 Breakout
Shake Shack combines 23% restaurant-level margins, 703 locations and positive free cash flow; the bullish thesis targets $4 billion…
Security Analysis 1 click
An open letter to Senator Elizabeth Warren
NAIC oversight missed Delaware Life’s $13.34 billion affiliated-bond exposure and permits capital treatment that props up Brighthouse’s…
TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/25/2026)
TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Ralph Lauren’s $1 billion distribution pullback, Peloton’s $2,195 foldable treadmill and $800 million…
Ouster (NASDAQ: OUST) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage
Ouster began coverage at Accumulate as lidar revenue rose 56% in Q2, while annual cash burn near $80 million has driven an 86% share-count…
Research & Analysis: The Aaon Group (NASDAQ: AAON)
AAON's BASX data-center cooling business targets $1 million to $1.5 million per megawatt, with new capacity and backlog conversion expected…
OSW · short Onespaworld Holdings LTD
OneSpaWorld Holdings, the dominant outsourced cruise-ship spa operator across more than 200 vessels, is the subject of a short thesis.
The Last Bidder
Aquarian won Brighthouse Financial despite a lower bid after higher offers failed to secure reinsurance for its legacy liabilities and thin…
2026 Q2 Earnings Updates: WeightWatchers, Shift4, Bumble
Bumble fell, Shift4 dropped 23% and WeightWatchers rose 18% after earnings, prompting added Shift4 exposure and a sharp WeightWatchers…
$HIMS: Paul Cerro wouldn't trust the CEO to walk his dog. He's still long. Why? | Cedar Grove
Hims & Hers investor Paul Cerro is long again on lab and patient data driving retention and LTV, despite management concerns, GLP-1…
TSOH Weekly Roundup (08/07/2026)
TSOH’s weekly roundup covers Crocs’ $218.6 million Malta tax savings, Roblox’s forecast bookings decline and Lululemon’s CEO change amid…
A merciless market (and the reason behind the drop?)
Shift4 fell 19% after cutting FX-neutral guidance by 100 basis points, despite Q2 revenue, EPS and EBITDA beats.
The Mispriced Assets Super Bowl
Groupon, Corsair and StepStone report within 15 minutes, setting up volatility between Groupon’s after-hours release and its Friday morning…
Trading Post August 5, 2026 - One Buy, One Sale, One Reason
Flutter cut forecasts after U.S. gambling EBITDA fell 70% to $119 million, with prediction markets pressuring FanDuel as leverage rises to…
Perimeter Solutions: 2Q26 Business Recap
Perimeter Solutions’ 2Q26 revenue rose 31%, while operating income fell 11% as USDA pricing and DLA delivery timing hurt Fire Safety; it…
Perimeter 2Q26 Business Recap: Light Fire Safety Earnings, but Strong M&A Execution
Perimeter Solutions’ Fire Safety EBITDA grew 1% as USDA pricing and a DLA inventory transition weighed, while its $120 million Monaco…
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