Research Roundup Vol. LIV
Research Roundup covers AAON's data-center cooling ramp, Knife River's margin recovery, ChronoScale's Microsoft-backed neocloud buildout and Bitdeer's shift from bitcoin mining to AI…
Wednesday, September 30, 2026
Back to today 
From X
John_Hempton on X
@SilverBacked737 @ishedtruth444 I know you were not talking to me. But I hope you buy more $AMC anyway.
John_Hempton on X
@SilverBacked737 @ishedtruth444 I am not mad about you buying $AMC. I have tried to encourage it. Please buy more.
Deep Sail Capital on X
@P_Remarks $THEON $DLO $TOI.NE
SG on X
Happy $MKTW dividend day for those who celebrate ( $PAGS $EVC too)
SG on X
@grok compare the revenue $RGTI has earned ytd with the proceeds of $RGTI insider stock sales ytd
Myles on X
@ArgonathCapital Yeah Nice Info services and Misto (paired with a $GOLF short) are large positions for me.
Deep Sail Capital on X
Short Report Review: $EQPT - Blue Orca @blueorcainvest https://t.co/YigE14K6Rw
Investor Letters
All letters- Quercus Fund 2026 (Jan-Aug) FCODF $4.7B
- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.5B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 KXS $3.4BMDA $4.8B
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. July 2026 ALM $3.8BJXN $8.8B
- Kernow Asset Management July 2026 CKNHF $2.1BCMCX $2.5B
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.3B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 9301 $3.2B
- Smead Capital Management 2Q26 SCR $5.8BTVE $4.4B
Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXX
Monte Investments upgrades Karman Holdings to Buy with a $133 target after a 65% drawdown, citing 28.83x EV/aEBITDA and governance changes.
Applied Optoelectronics: The Biggest Growth Phase Starts Now
Applied Optoelectronics targets $1.1 billion in 2026 revenue as 800G and 1.6T data-center demand drives capacity expansion, despite…
Infinity Curve 2 clicks
Quick Value #332 - Gentherm (THRM)
Gentherm’s Oct. 1 Reverse Morris Trust with Modine adds commercial and off-highway operations, leaving THRM at 7.4x pro forma EBITDA with…
QuantumScape: Sell The Stock That Has No Revenue And No Factory Until 2029
QuantumScape faces a 2029 PowerCo plant delay, reduced partner commitments and no revenue, with a scenario-weighted $2.12 per-share…
Bears of Wall Street 
On’s Premium Playbook
On Holdings targets premium growth through 2029, using LightSpray soccer cleats and higher pricing, with ASPs rising from $145 to $170…
Shake Shack: The Perfect Storm For A 2027 Breakout
Shake Shack combines 23% restaurant-level margins, 703 locations and positive free cash flow; the bullish thesis targets $4 billion…
Security Analysis 1 click
An open letter to Senator Elizabeth Warren
NAIC oversight missed Delaware Life’s $13.34 billion affiliated-bond exposure and permits capital treatment that props up Brighthouse’s…
TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/25/2026)
TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Ralph Lauren’s $1 billion distribution pullback, Peloton’s $2,195 foldable treadmill and $800 million…
Ouster (NASDAQ: OUST) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage
Ouster began coverage at Accumulate as lidar revenue rose 56% in Q2, while annual cash burn near $80 million has driven an 86% share-count…
Research & Analysis: The Aaon Group (NASDAQ: AAON)
AAON's BASX data-center cooling business targets $1 million to $1.5 million per megawatt, with new capacity and backlog conversion expected…
FRMI · long Fermi INC
Fermi Inc. is presented as a time-sensitive long special situation.
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. (AMR): The Beginning of the End
Alpha Metallurgical Resources has $263 million of usable liquidity and targets zero cash burn by 2027 through mine cuts, Wildcat ramp-up,…
ZETA 2026-08-19 Zeta Global's AI Story Just Became Measurable (Rating Downgrade)
Zeta Global’s Athena AI superusers grow four times faster, while comprehensive adopters generate 70% of revenue.
Alpha Line 1 click
Monte Investments Market Brief Vol CXXIV
Rocket Lab and Firefly won access to US space contracts as AI-driven HBM demand tightens memory-chip supply through 2027.
WD #354: Colombia Earthquake, Software, CIB/AVAL/NU Earnings
Colombia’s earthquake frames risks for Tecnoglass as Grupo Aval, Bancolombia and Nu report strong earnings, including Nu’s 67% EPS growth.
ZhongAn Online (6060.HK): The Insurtech Everyone Gave Up On
ZhongAn Online trades at 0.57 times book after five profitable underwriting years, with a 95.8% combined ratio and ZA Bank’s first…
$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management
DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.
Cellebrite (CLBT) Q2'26 - Execution wobble, Forecast question mark
Cellebrite cut 2026 ARR guidance by $15 million, replaced its CEO and saw shares fall 30% as elongated sales cycles raise execution…
Research & Analysis: Riot Platforms (NASDAQ: RIOT)
Riot Platforms has 241MW of contracted data center capacity, including a 191MW, 20-year $9.8 billion frontier AI lab deal, as it shifts…
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