Monday, September 28, 2026

Quick Value #332 - Gentherm (THRM)

Gentherm’s Oct. 1 Reverse Morris Trust with Modine adds commercial and off-highway operations, leaving THRM at 7.4x pro forma EBITDA with under 1x leverage.

THRM $985MMOD $9.9B

Value Don't Lie Sep 28 3 clicks

Sep 27 BHF $2.9B

An open letter to Senator Elizabeth Warren

Mispriced Assets 1 click

Sep 27 BPRE $1.8B

One Hour Analysis: What would it take to break $BPRE's NAV?

Investing 501 4 clicks

From X

@irbezek Aug 14 3 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

@lasse108 @ReturnsJourney $intr

@leevalueroach Aug 14

Lee Roach on X

Not bad earnings at $MCCK. Gold book took a mark to market loss. But core business is kicking at. Revenues up 8.9%. Gross margins expanding. Customer deposits and deferred revenue up 33%. Back out all the cash and gold and this is trading at a dirt cheap multiple.

@blondesnmoney Aug 14

Cluseau Investments on X

Blackjack 21 hits 36% YTD, 29% above financials. Performance would've been a bit better actually, but I paper handed $WSBF, $HRTG, and $SNEX. Next week, will be adding a small cap financials name to the list, first new member of the Blackjack 21 in months. Below book, repurchasing shares, extremely niche, it'll be a fun one.

@stockgutter Aug 14 1 click

SG on X

Must read imo on $OPEN. Scott raises some great points about the potential if things go right. I have no position rn, and have a more pessimistic view than Scott on the value of Eric Jackson's involvement (my view: he certainly kickstarted but unfortunately showed his true colors stalking a random celebrity for no reason. He is a liability now).

@majgeoinvesting Aug 14

Maj Soueidan on X

I’ve always felt that shares outstanding in microcaps tells you about the soul of Mgmt. So I instantly connected with @bmb21 when he made a similar comment pitching $AMNF at @MSmicrocaps summer virtual: “Share count tells you how Mgmt. feels about the sanctity of the shares.” https://t.co/88XsqxHLKB

@natstewart5 Aug 14 2 clicks

Nat Stewart on X

Fantastic $NRP update from John. Particularly appreciate his capital allocation framework and view on why paying out 100% of cash flow makes the most sense. https://t.co/6LngKKV9hC

@ClarkSquareCap Aug 14

Clark Square Capital on X

$LUXE keeps going no bid in this market, but I think the risk/reward here is excellent https://t.co/fCvW4k7PEI

@DeepSailCapital Aug 14

Deep Sail Capital on X

$CLBT - You can make a pretty compelling case that the guidance cut was to kitchen sink the expectations for the new CEO so he has a bottom base to build off of. From the call 4-5 major deals slipped out a quarter, and Genesis isn't ramping as fast as originally thought, but new products are growing +25% & they have tailwinds in terms of FedRamp & YoY US federal basically didn't grow last year. Next quarter they beat, and re-raise guidance and stock is back to $16. 50% return from here in a quarter. Clearly if they can't close deals in Q3 at a faster pace then the recovery takes longer, but seems like good risk-reward here. Full disclosure: I added some at $10.5

Sezzle: The Market Is Underestimating This High-Growth Fintech

Sezzle’s Q2 2026 revenue rose 51.7% and adjusted net income 58.4%, while revenue per GMV reached 11.7% as Premium subscriptions lifted…

SEZL $3.6B

Blake Winiecki Sep 27 1 click

VersaBank: The Bank Behind the Bank – How a Canadian Branchless Pioneer Wants to Make Asset-Backed Securities Obsolete

VersaBank uses cash holdbacks and put-backs to buy point-of-sale loan cash flows, with C$7 billion in assets and AI-enabled real-time…

VBNK $720M

Substack von Philipp Sep 26 5 clicks

Updates

FGPR remains on track, PRTH's management buyout is set at $8.05, and microcap RAVE is described as cheap.

PRTH $642M

Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter Sep 25 12 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/25/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Ralph Lauren’s $1 billion distribution pullback, Peloton’s $2,195 foldable treadmill and $800 million…

PTON $2.2B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 25 5 clicks

(Public) Mach Natural Resources - A Buying Opportunity

Mach Natural Resources' Q2 distributable cash fell to $60.1 million as development spending rose, prompting a distribution cut; its units…

MNR $1.7B

HFI Research Sep 25 4 clicks

Ouster (NASDAQ: OUST) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage

Ouster began coverage at Accumulate as lidar revenue rose 56% in Q2, while annual cash burn near $80 million has driven an 86% share-count…

OUST $2.9B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 25 7 clicks

Research & Analysis: The Aaon Group (NASDAQ: AAON)

AAON's BASX data-center cooling business targets $1 million to $1.5 million per megawatt, with new capacity and backlog conversion expected…

AAON $6.8B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 25 8 clicks

Vista Energy: The Cash Engine Is On

Vista Energy's Q2 2026 production rose 32% and revenue 89% as Vaca Muerta acquisitions expand its Argentine export platform and cash…

VIST $7.1B

Alan Galecki Sep 25 5 clicks

Firefly Aerospace q2’26 Earnings Update

Firefly Aerospace ended Q2 2026 with $1.5 billion backlog and a 2.49x book-to-bill ratio, adding lunar, defense and launch contracts for…

FLY $3.9B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 24 16 clicks

Birkenstock: Sector-Leading Growth At An Attractive Valuation

Birkenstock targets 13–15% annual revenue growth through FY2028, driven by APAC expansion and closed-toe footwear, while trading at 13.44…

BIRK $5.3B

Roman Vitasek Sep 24 4 clicks

SFIX · long

Stitch Fix INC

Stitch Fix’s 2017 IPO rested on overly ambitious long-term growth expectations and an unrealistic definition of its addressable market.

SFIX $347M

Value Investors Club Jun 30 1 click

Warrior Met Coal: A Volume Story Still Priced Like A Coal Price Bet

Warrior Met Coal’s Blue Creek ramp lifted Q2 sales to 3.7 million tons and cut unit costs to $92.53 per ton, shifting earnings growth…

HCC $4.7B

Capital Connoisseur Sep 27 1 click

A special situation with a 23% spread (110% IRR) by Q4 2026. Where the worst-case scenario is the deal closing and upside is higher if it doesn’t

ZIM’s proposed deal carries a claimed 23% spread and 110% IRR by Q4 2026, with Q3 and Q4 dividends potentially raising returns if closing…

ZIM $3.5B

Calvin Blissett Sep 23 15 clicks

Turning Point Brands: The Market Is Now Overly Concerned (Rating Upgrade)

Turning Point Brands reaffirmed 2026 guidance after a CEO change, while ALP and FRE expansion has compressed margins through marketing and…

TPB $1.1B

Caffital Research Sep 23 1 click

Research Roundup Vol. LIII

Micron’s customer agreements, Analog Devices’ acquisitions, Ondas’ GATE deal and Baker Hughes’ power systems position them for AI…

ONDS $4.3B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 23 4 clicks

New Era Energy & Digital: 207 MW Deal Could Unlock 1.4 GW AI Giant

New Era Energy & Digital secured a 20-year Vistra power deal for 200 to 207 MW, reducing Phase 1 risk for its planned 1.4 GW West Texas AI…

NUAI $670M

Ryan Canady Sep 23

$FOUR: Shift4 at 6.5x EBITDA. Is the organic growth real? | Emeth Value Capital

Shift4 trades at 6.5x EBITDA despite 11% reported organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases cited as evidence of net-new merchant…

FOUR $2.9B

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 22 21 clicks

Analog Semiconductor Smorgasbord, Feat. TXN, ON, VSH

Texas Instruments, ON Semiconductor and Vishay are rated Accumulate on rising robotics demand for analog, power and discrete chips after a…

VSH $5.8B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 22 6 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXVIII

Firefly Aerospace grew backlog to $1.5 billion, won two 2028 lunar missions and acquired Space-ng for autonomous navigation across its Blue…

FLY $3.9B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 22 9 clicks

Cellebrite (CLBT) Management Meeting: The Road Ahead

Cellebrite converts more than 110% of EBITDA into free cash flow and trades at 12.5 times free cash flow, with management targeting 15% or…

CLBT $2.8B

Aurelion Research Sep 22 9 clicks

Monday, September 28, 2026

Ian Bezek on X

Lee Roach on X

Cluseau Investments on X

SG on X

Maj Soueidan on X

Nat Stewart on X

Clark Square Capital on X

Deep Sail Capital on X

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