Updates
FGPR remains on track, PRTH's management buyout is set at $8.05, and microcap RAVE is described as cheap.
Friday, September 25, 2026
Back to today 
From X
catechwilliams on X
$AS 50x P/E levered retail roll-up w only one decent asset (Arc’teryx). Stagnating in the US, nearly fully-penetrated in China. >$500 jackets didn’t work for $GOOS in Asia. Arc already bigger. Hyper promotional mgmt sent the stock skyward. This is going to be an epic crash.
Idea Brunch on X
Idea Brunch with @Derek_K_Brown of Dardanelles Capital Tickers mentioned include $FLUT and $ELF https://t.co/RqbtxVhwEo
catechwilliams on X
$DAKT New $50M display upgrade award for the Miami Heat arena. Will be a nice boost to current quarter earnings (FQ2'25). https://t.co/sLAFBEerYi
catechwilliams on X
$NX Just acquired peer Tyman. >3x leverage, never done a deal before, commodity business, customers all cutting numbers w deteriorating resi remodel activity ($AMWD yesterday, $MBC, $OC, $JELD). Stock is trading at close to 14x EPS. Seen this movie before. Earnings next week.
catechwilliams on X
$PLUS Earnings on 8/5, expectations & stock disconnected from reality. Suppliers ($CSCO – 50% of product sales), competitors & customers all reporting sharp sales declines. Non-event PR today re a service they’ve been offering for 3 yrs is pumping stock; suggests mgmt is grasping
Voss Capital on X
Here is a link to our Q1 2024 letter. https://t.co/mVYPJrgCr1 $SWI $IMXI $ALTG $GENI $RTO $RCM $SLCA @jonrice80 @taylor_hndrson
catechwilliams on X
Meanwhile disintermediation by OEMs going direct is accelerating. See recent commentary from partners $CSCO, $PANW $DELL, etc. $PLUS has zero discernable benefit from $NVDA and AI.
catechwilliams on X
Answer: aggressive revenue booking, financing sales, selling products at/ below cost to boost revenue and hoping to “then try to build it back up over time” per CEO. Contrast $PLUS performance w competitor and industry leader $CDW.
Investor Letters
All letters- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.5B
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. July 2026 DR0 $448MALM $3.9B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 079940 $393MVVVNF $1.6B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 NEO $969MVNP $2.1B
- Kernow Asset Management July 2026 CKNHF $2BCMCX $2.5B
- Lindsell Train Limited July 2026 RMVEY $3.2B
- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 082920 $961MVVVNF $1.6B
- Protean Funds July 2026 STOR-B $1.6BTRUE-B $585M
Ouster (NASDAQ: OUST) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage
Ouster began coverage at Accumulate as lidar revenue rose 56% in Q2, while annual cash burn near $80 million has driven an 86% share-count…
Research & Analysis: The Aaon Group (NASDAQ: AAON)
AAON's BASX data-center cooling business targets $1 million to $1.5 million per megawatt, with new capacity and backlog conversion expected…
Vista Energy: The Cash Engine Is On
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Alan Galecki 6 clicks
Firefly Aerospace q2’26 Earnings Update
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Birkenstock: Sector-Leading Growth At An Attractive Valuation
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Roman Vitasek 4 clicks
A special situation with a 23% spread (110% IRR) by Q4 2026. Where the worst-case scenario is the deal closing and upside is higher if it doesn’t
ZIM’s proposed deal carries a claimed 23% spread and 110% IRR by Q4 2026, with Q3 and Q4 dividends potentially raising returns if closing…
Turning Point Brands: The Market Is Now Overly Concerned (Rating Upgrade)
Turning Point Brands reaffirmed 2026 guidance after a CEO change, while ALP and FRE expansion has compressed margins through marketing and…
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Research Roundup Vol. LIII
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$FOUR: Shift4 at 6.5x EBITDA. Is the organic growth real? | Emeth Value Capital
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Analog Semiconductor Smorgasbord, Feat. TXN, ON, VSH
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GLIBA · long Liberty Capital CORP
Liberty Capital Corp, GLIBA, is pitched long following its July 2025 spinoff from Liberty Broadband.
Kronos Worldwide: Benefiting From Sulfur Shortage
Kronos Worldwide’s 27% inventory reduction added $120 million in cash inflows as chloride-based TiO₂ demand rises amid a sulfur shortage.
Given Mahlangu 1 click
Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXVIII
Firefly Aerospace grew backlog to $1.5 billion, won two 2028 lunar missions and acquired Space-ng for autonomous navigation across its Blue…
Cellebrite (CLBT) Management Meeting: The Road Ahead
Cellebrite converts more than 110% of EBITDA into free cash flow and trades at 12.5 times free cash flow, with management targeting 15% or…
Meta's Muse Could be Big Win for Innodata
Innodata's new Meta contract for long-horizon agent personalization ties the data company to Meta's Muse AI assistant, despite Meta's Scale…
Undercovered Dozen: Rithm Capital, Sterling Infrastructure, Corning And More
Undercovered Dozen spotlights 12 lesser-covered stocks, including Rithm Capital, Sterling Infrastructure and Corning.
The Undercovered Dozen 1 click
Emeth Value Capital’s Andrew Carreon on Shift4 ($FOUR)
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Robert J. Lake 3 clicks
Quick Value #331 - Corteva / Vylor Spin-Off
Corteva will spin off its Pioneer seed business, Vylor, on October 1, leaving crop protection RemainCo that could trade at 6.5-8.5x 2026…
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Publications we follow
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Newsletters 93
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Blogs 12
Seeking Alpha 43 of 210
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Bay Area Ideas
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Dhierin Bechai
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Fernanda Galvez Jalil
Henrik Alex
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Investor Overview
IWA Research
Jaden Mealy
Khaveen Investments
LL Insights
Long Player
Marc Gerstein
Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT
Miletus Research
Myriam Alvarez
Petri Dish Reports
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Prakhar Agarwal, CFA
PV Research- Robert J. Lake
Ron Ferrie
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Steven Fiorillo
The Alpha Analyst
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Vishal Jadaun
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Adam D. Wyden
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Calvin Blissett
catechwilliams
Charles Frischer
Chris Camillo
Clark Square Capital
Cluseau Investments
Colin King
Connor Haley
Conor Maguire | Value Situations
Convequity
David Orr
Deep Sail Capital
Devin LaSarre
DOMO Capital Management, LLC
Edwin Dorsey
Evan Tindell
Fajasy
Farmer
Fierce_beast
Fred Liu
Gavin Baker
Ian Bezek
Idea Brunch
JabroniCoin.USD
John_Hempton
junkbondinvestor
kab60
KEDM.com
Laughing Water Capital
Lee Roach
Little Owl Research
Maius
Maj Soueidan
marginofdanger
mavix
Mike
Mikro Kap David
Multiples Capital
Myles
Nat Stewart
Negligible Capital
Odd Diligence
Odd Lot Arbitrageur
PAA Research
Pernas Research
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Prepared Remarks
Psyop Capital
Raging Capital Ventures
Red Dog Capital
RiverRoadPartners
Rusholme Capital
Sahil Khetpal
SG
Sheel Mohnot
Tim Eriksen
Timyan Bank Alert
Todd Wenning
ToffCap
Trevor Scott
Voss Capital
Yaron Naymark
Investor letters we follow
- 1 Main Capital
- 1851 Capital
- Advisory Research
- Aegis Value Fund
- Aikya Investment Management
- Akre Capital Management, LLC
- Alluvial Capital Management
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- Crossroads Capital, LLC
- Curreen Capital
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- Frank Capital Partners
- Fred Alger Management, LLC
- Gabelli Funds
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- Lindsell Train Limited
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- Mar Vista Investment Partners
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- Markel Group
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- Massif Capital
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- Matthews Asia
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- Merion Road Capital
- Miller Value Partners
- Moon Capital Management
- Muhlenkamp & Company
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- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd.
- Pershing Square Holdings
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- Vision Capital Fund
- Vltava Fund
- Vulcan Value Partners
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- Wedgewood Partners
- Weitz Investment Management
- White Brook Capital
- White Falcon Capital Management
Sectors
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
