Updates
FGPR remains on track, PRTH's management buyout is set at $8.05, and microcap RAVE is described as cheap.
Friday, September 25, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Clark Square Capital on X
@27XVII $CSHR for bitcoin etfs
Lee Roach on X
$CXW got a new President/CEO today. https://t.co/7WpulDuHkg
A Capital on X
@srg444 Me looking at $MGM trading at $32 when Osaka asset is worth 💰 https://t.co/jvVZZ37LP0
Fierce_beast on X
@WaterworldCapi1 $fds decent short, very big and liquid, not showing deterioration yet, still an opportunity to short into earnings revisions (if they happen)
Adam D. Wyden on X
@ACapitalLP $CODI ?
A Capital on X
What are the most interesting “rumored deal” or “strategic alternatives” trades today? I’ll start: $FUN - 9/22, Jana pushing for sale $ONT - 8/5, strategic review $VITL - 9/17, rumored take private $CGX.CN - 9/23, strategic review/advisors hired $NFG - 9/16, strategic review (Seneca E&P assets)
Investor Letters
All letters- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.5B
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. July 2026 DR0 $438MALM $3.8B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 079940 $399MVVVNF $1.6B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 NEO $1BVNP $1.9B
- Kernow Asset Management July 2026 CKNHF $2.1BCMCX $2.5B
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.3B
- Forager Funds Management July 2026 BVS $981M
- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 082920 $998MVVVNF $1.6B
Ouster (NASDAQ: OUST) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage
Ouster began coverage at Accumulate as lidar revenue rose 56% in Q2, while annual cash burn near $80 million has driven an 86% share-count…
Research & Analysis: The Aaon Group (NASDAQ: AAON)
AAON's BASX data-center cooling business targets $1 million to $1.5 million per megawatt, with new capacity and backlog conversion expected…
Vista Energy: The Cash Engine Is On
Vista Energy's Q2 2026 production rose 32% and revenue 89% as Vaca Muerta acquisitions expand its Argentine export platform and cash…
Alan Galecki 5 clicks
Firefly Aerospace q2’26 Earnings Update
Firefly Aerospace ended Q2 2026 with $1.5 billion backlog and a 2.49x book-to-bill ratio, adding lunar, defense and launch contracts for…
Birkenstock: Sector-Leading Growth At An Attractive Valuation
Birkenstock targets 13–15% annual revenue growth through FY2028, driven by APAC expansion and closed-toe footwear, while trading at 13.44…
Roman Vitasek 4 clicks
A special situation with a 23% spread (110% IRR) by Q4 2026. Where the worst-case scenario is the deal closing and upside is higher if it doesn’t
ZIM’s proposed deal carries a claimed 23% spread and 110% IRR by Q4 2026, with Q3 and Q4 dividends potentially raising returns if closing…
Turning Point Brands: The Market Is Now Overly Concerned (Rating Upgrade)
Turning Point Brands reaffirmed 2026 guidance after a CEO change, while ALP and FRE expansion has compressed margins through marketing and…
Caffital Research 1 click
Research Roundup Vol. LIII
Micron’s customer agreements, Analog Devices’ acquisitions, Ondas’ GATE deal and Baker Hughes’ power systems position them for AI…
$FOUR: Shift4 at 6.5x EBITDA. Is the organic growth real? | Emeth Value Capital
Shift4 trades at 6.5x EBITDA despite 11% reported organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases cited as evidence of net-new merchant…
Analog Semiconductor Smorgasbord, Feat. TXN, ON, VSH
Texas Instruments, ON Semiconductor and Vishay are rated Accumulate on rising robotics demand for analog, power and discrete chips after a…
HGV · long Hilton Grand Vacations
Hilton Grand Vacations faces an inflection point in profitability growth and free cash flow generation.
One More for the Offshore Basket: An Orphaned Microcap Driller
Offshore drillers have fallen 25-30% despite floater dayrates above $500,000 and utilization in the high-80% to low-90% range.
Cronos Group Update: A multi-bagger in the making?
Cronos Group's Q2 net revenue rose 46% to $27.8 million as Canadian cannabis volumes and market share grew, while its cash balance remained…
Notes and Updates
ECIP recipient banks could repurchase Treasury preferred shares at steep discounts, potentially lifting book value, while Hawaiian Electric…
Inflecting Drone Company w/ Near-Term (+300% vs. -30%) Binary Event ($RCAT)
Red Cat’s Teal Drones is one of two remaining candidates for a $600 million to $1 billion-plus U.S.
JBG Smith
JBG Smith trades at an estimated 40% discount to NAV, backed by National Landing multifamily assets, Amazon HQ demand and $1.3 billion of…
One Hour Analysis: Monarch Casino & Resort ($MCRI) What’s Not to Like? Debt Free, Shareholder Friendly, Free Cash Flowing Machine.
Monarch Casino trades at 7.2 times EBITDA with net cash, completed property upgrades and projected annual free cash flow of $120 million to…
UNPRECEDENTED TURNOVER OF CEOs IN THE RESTAURANT INDUSTRY – WHAT’S IT ALL ABOUT?
Restaurant chains replaced 21 CEOs since 2021, as wage inflation, delivery, digital ordering and at-home competition reshape leadership…
(I)nbound (M)igrants (X)panding (I)nternational Remittances
International Money Express trades at roughly 5x forward EV/EBITDA despite growth, modest leverage and excess cash available for…
Summary of Q4 Restaurant Conference Calls
Restaurant operators reported improving traffic, accelerating unit growth and higher advertising spend, while wage inflation ran 4-5% and…
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Newsletters 93
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A Capital
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catechwilliams
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Clark Square Capital
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Colin King
Connor Haley
Conor Maguire | Value Situations
Convequity
David Orr
Deep Sail Capital
Devin LaSarre
DOMO Capital Management, LLC
Edwin Dorsey
Evan Tindell
Farmer
Fierce_beast
Fred Liu
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Ian Bezek
Idea Brunch
JabroniCoin.USD
John_Hempton
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kab60
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Lee Roach
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marginofdanger
mavix
Mike
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Negligible Capital
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SG
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Timyan Bank Alert
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ToffCap
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Voss Capital
Yaron Naymark
Investor letters we follow
- 1 Main Capital
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- Gabelli Funds
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- Lindsell Train Limited
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- Pershing Square Holdings
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- Vltava Fund
- Vulcan Value Partners
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- Wedgewood Partners
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- White Falcon Capital Management
Sectors
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