Friday, September 25, 2026

Updates

FGPR remains on track, PRTH's management buyout is set at $8.05, and microcap RAVE is described as cheap.

PRTH $642M

Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter Sep 25 12 clicks

Sep 25 PTON $2.2B

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/25/2026)

TSOH Investment Research 5 clicks

Sep 25 MNR $1.7B

(Public) Mach Natural Resources - A Buying Opportunity

HFI Research 4 clicks

From X

@ClarkSquareCap Sep 25 4 clicks

Clark Square Capital on X

@27XVII $CSHR for bitcoin etfs

@valuedontlie Sep 25

Colin King on X

$GDOT selling off past few days... Looks like deal will get delayed (again) from Q3 close to Q4 close Waiting on UT/AL/Fed approval... consent order likely making it longer than expected Perhaps some investors puking on delayed timeline + stub shares situation I'm still long https://t.co/Ik5zuRAAPG

@leevalueroach Sep 25 5 clicks

Lee Roach on X

$CXW got a new President/CEO today. https://t.co/7WpulDuHkg

@ACapitalLP Sep 25 8 clicks

A Capital on X

@srg444 Me looking at $MGM trading at $32 when Osaka asset is worth 💰 https://t.co/jvVZZ37LP0

@KEDM_COM Sep 25 3 clicks

KEDM.com on X

Buckley Capital @buckleycapital exited Dave after a 100%+ rally from its average cost — on valuation, despite calling it a great business — and substantially cut Root. The proceeds went to Celsius $CELH and Light & Wonder $LNW.AU, where the Fund calls the street's disbelief in management's $2.0bn 2028 adjusted EBITDA target irrational, implying 150%+ upside.

@Fierce__beast Sep 25 6 clicks

Fierce_beast on X

@WaterworldCapi1 $fds decent short, very big and liquid, not showing deterioration yet, still an opportunity to short into earnings revisions (if they happen)

@Adam_Wyden Sep 25 5 clicks

Adam D. Wyden on X

@ACapitalLP $CODI ?

@ACapitalLP Sep 25 1 click

A Capital on X

What are the most interesting “rumored deal” or “strategic alternatives” trades today? I’ll start: $FUN - 9/22, Jana pushing for sale $ONT - 8/5, strategic review $VITL - 9/17, rumored take private $CGX.CN - 9/23, strategic review/advisors hired $NFG - 9/16, strategic review (Seneca E&P assets)

Ouster (NASDAQ: OUST) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage

Ouster began coverage at Accumulate as lidar revenue rose 56% in Q2, while annual cash burn near $80 million has driven an 86% share-count…

OUST $2.9B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 25 7 clicks

Research & Analysis: The Aaon Group (NASDAQ: AAON)

AAON's BASX data-center cooling business targets $1 million to $1.5 million per megawatt, with new capacity and backlog conversion expected…

AAON $6.8B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 25 8 clicks

Vista Energy: The Cash Engine Is On

Vista Energy's Q2 2026 production rose 32% and revenue 89% as Vaca Muerta acquisitions expand its Argentine export platform and cash…

VIST $7.1B

Alan Galecki Sep 25 5 clicks

Firefly Aerospace q2’26 Earnings Update

Firefly Aerospace ended Q2 2026 with $1.5 billion backlog and a 2.49x book-to-bill ratio, adding lunar, defense and launch contracts for…

FLY $3.9B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 24 16 clicks

Birkenstock: Sector-Leading Growth At An Attractive Valuation

Birkenstock targets 13–15% annual revenue growth through FY2028, driven by APAC expansion and closed-toe footwear, while trading at 13.44…

BIRK $5.3B

Roman Vitasek Sep 24 4 clicks

A special situation with a 23% spread (110% IRR) by Q4 2026. Where the worst-case scenario is the deal closing and upside is higher if it doesn’t

ZIM’s proposed deal carries a claimed 23% spread and 110% IRR by Q4 2026, with Q3 and Q4 dividends potentially raising returns if closing…

ZIM $3.5B

Calvin Blissett Sep 23 15 clicks

Turning Point Brands: The Market Is Now Overly Concerned (Rating Upgrade)

Turning Point Brands reaffirmed 2026 guidance after a CEO change, while ALP and FRE expansion has compressed margins through marketing and…

TPB $1.1B

Caffital Research Sep 23 1 click

Research Roundup Vol. LIII

Micron’s customer agreements, Analog Devices’ acquisitions, Ondas’ GATE deal and Baker Hughes’ power systems position them for AI…

ONDS $4.3B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 23 4 clicks

$FOUR: Shift4 at 6.5x EBITDA. Is the organic growth real? | Emeth Value Capital

Shift4 trades at 6.5x EBITDA despite 11% reported organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases cited as evidence of net-new merchant…

FOUR $2.9B

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 22 21 clicks

Analog Semiconductor Smorgasbord, Feat. TXN, ON, VSH

Texas Instruments, ON Semiconductor and Vishay are rated Accumulate on rising robotics demand for analog, power and discrete chips after a…

VSH $5.8B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 22 6 clicks

SLVM · long

Sylvamo CORP

Sylvamo, a $1.6 billion uncoated freesheet paper producer, has fallen about 60% from its November 2024 high above $95 to roughly $40.

SLVM $1.3B

Value Investors Club Jun 16 2 clicks

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…

CCC $3.8B

scuttleblurb Aug 20 17 clicks

Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?

Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…

VRRM $438M

The Oak Bloke Aug 20 13 clicks

SA 2026-08-20

Seabridge Gold: Fairly Valued Now But Big Upside

Seabridge Gold's KSM gold-copper project could re-rate on a joint venture, 2027 feasibility study and infrastructure progress, with gold…

SA $3.1B

Redfern Research Aug 20

NCLH or her grandma Saga?

Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…

NCLH $6.7B

The Oak Bloke Aug 19 13 clicks

Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. (AMR): The Beginning of the End

Alpha Metallurgical Resources has $263 million of usable liquidity and targets zero cash burn by 2027 through mine cuts, Wildcat ramp-up,…

AMR $2.2BCODQL $310M

Cannibal Stocks Aug 19

PGY 2026-08-19

Pagaya Technologies: A Fast-Growing Industry Disruptor Trading At A P/E Of 6.6x

Pagaya Technologies reported Q2 2026 network volume of $3.54 billion, 19% revenue growth and 99% adjusted net-income growth, while trading…

PGY $1.4B

Akim Guerreiro Aug 19

Going against the grain on GO Residential

GO Residential’s H&R REIT deal could trigger index purchases of 32 million units and re-rate its Lantower portfolio, despite related-party…

GONYF $499M

Nugget Capital Partner's Substack Aug 18

ContextLogic

ContextLogic’s US Salt holds about 23% of the US and Canadian pharmaceutical-grade salt market, one of only two suppliers, supporting…

LOGC $690M

Kairos Research Aug 18

Jumia

Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…

JMIA $898M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 18 13 clicks

Friday, September 25, 2026

Clark Square Capital on X

Colin King on X

Lee Roach on X

A Capital on X

KEDM.com on X

Fierce_beast on X

Adam D. Wyden on X

A Capital on X

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