Firefly Aerospace q2’26 Earnings Update
Firefly Aerospace ended Q2 2026 with $1.5 billion backlog and a 2.49x book-to-bill ratio, adding lunar, defense and launch contracts for Blue Ghost, Elytra and Eclipse.
Thursday, September 24, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Timyan Bank Alert on X
@vapreps @DarkfireCapital There were many opportunities to sell $BORT too early. https://t.co/PHXDkTM888
Timyan Bank Alert on X
@vapreps Lyn Hayth did a fine job turning $BORT after the GR and Michelle Austin has continued the tradition.
Barbarian Capital on X
99.95% drawdown since 2021 IPO Exclusive | Leslie’s Prepares Chapter 11 Filing as Soon as Next Week in Houston $LESL https://t.co/hwBacd4X4A
Barbarian Capital on X
"an unusual turn of events that comes just after People withdrew its own bid to buy the casino and resort company" MGM Resorts Eyeing Bid for Barry Diller’s People Incorporated $MGM https://t.co/FjkNJ0r1PJ
SG on X
$DUOL as if the prior insider sales this month were not enough, Luis von Ahn just filed a form 144 revealing another $6.8m in sales. https://t.co/OMjQfsw4qd
SG on X
$NKTR $90m verdict per Law360. Will likely disappoint bulls. https://t.co/vMP6m69Eqk
Adam D. Wyden on X
Another interesting SOTP play. Love my topo atmos. $DBI https://t.co/qDGIBEqrIl
Investor Letters
All letters- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.5BSUSRF $262M
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. July 2026 DR0 $438MALM $3.8B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 079940 $399MVVVNF $1.6B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 NEO $1BVNP $1.9B
- Kernow Asset Management July 2026 CKNHF $2.1BCMCX $2.5B
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.3B
- Forager Funds Management July 2026 BVS $981M
- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 064850 $169M082920 $998M
New Era Energy & Digital: 207 MW Deal Could Unlock 1.4 GW AI Giant
New Era Energy & Digital secured a 20-year Vistra power deal for 200 to 207 MW, reducing Phase 1 risk for its planned 1.4 GW West Texas AI…
Ryan Canady 
$FOUR: Shift4 at 6.5x EBITDA. Is the organic growth real? | Emeth Value Capital
Shift4 trades at 6.5x EBITDA despite 11% reported organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases cited as evidence of net-new merchant…
Analog Semiconductor Smorgasbord, Feat. TXN, ON, VSH
Texas Instruments, ON Semiconductor and Vishay are rated Accumulate on rising robotics demand for analog, power and discrete chips after a…
Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXVIII
Firefly Aerospace grew backlog to $1.5 billion, won two 2028 lunar missions and acquired Space-ng for autonomous navigation across its Blue…
Cellebrite (CLBT) Management Meeting: The Road Ahead
Cellebrite converts more than 110% of EBITDA into free cash flow and trades at 12.5 times free cash flow, with management targeting 15% or…
Meta's Muse Could be Big Win for Innodata
Innodata's new Meta contract for long-horizon agent personalization ties the data company to Meta's Muse AI assistant, despite Meta's Scale…
Undercovered Dozen: Rithm Capital, Sterling Infrastructure, Corning And More
Undercovered Dozen spotlights 12 lesser-covered stocks, including Rithm Capital, Sterling Infrastructure and Corning.
The Undercovered Dozen 
Emeth Value Capital’s Andrew Carreon on Shift4 ($FOUR)
Shift4 trades at 6.5 times EBITDA despite 11% organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases reaching a $400 million run rate as…
Copart's Return To Growth Starts Now: Adair's $1.9B Bet On ACV Auctions
Copart’s $1.9 billion ACV Auctions acquisition targets renewed growth, with EPS accretion expected by fiscal 2028 as insurance…
Robert J. Lake 2 clicks
Quick Value #331 - Corteva / Vylor Spin-Off
Corteva will spin off its Pioneer seed business, Vylor, on October 1, leaving crop protection RemainCo that could trade at 6.5-8.5x 2026…
GRLRF · long Greenland Resources INC
Greenland Resources, a Canadian-listed miner valued near US$140 million, is developing the Malmbjerg molybdenum project in eastern…
Capitulation in packaged food consumer staples?
Conagra’s CEO change and 9% yield intensified a packaged-food selloff, while General Mills trades near historical valuation lows despite…
Army Training Modernization to Elevate VirTra to Prime Contractor Status
VirTra competes for Army synthetic-training contracts as a $22 billion modernization initiative begins selecting prime contractors.
Sirius XM (An Excerpt From Our Recent Letter)
Sirius XM grew 2025 free cash flow 24% to $1.26 billion as capex peaked, while companion plans revived subscriber additions and debt fell…
Performance & Portfolio Update: Q1 2026
Portfolio update reports a 20.5% Q1 loss, led by WeightWatchers’ 61% decline, while adding Bumble, Oscar and Shift4.
Single Stock Spotlight #6: Huntsman (HUN)
Huntsman’s $800-$900 million mid-cycle EBITDA and 8-10x historical EV/EBITDA imply $30-$40 per share, versus roughly $13, after a chemicals…
Updates: Judges Scientific, Jet2, XPEL (JDG, JET2, XPEL)
Judges Scientific reported 6% organic revenue growth, but US sales fell 22%; NIH funding release and a Geotek coring expedition are its key…
AXT’s Tongmei Problem: Great Asset, Fragile Economics
AXT’s 85.5%-owned Tongmei depends on offshore pricing, export approvals and transfer-pricing economics despite AI-optics demand.
Portfolio Update March 2026
Portfolio adds Nomad Foods and Judges Scientific, increases Constellation Software, trims Roper, and exits UnitedHealth after a 4.57% March…
AI turned my Report into a Video
Google’s NotebookLM turned a 30-page Douglas Dynamics report into an 8-minute video, while Custom GPTs screen earnings transcripts for…
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