Tuesday, September 22, 2026

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXVIII

Firefly Aerospace grew backlog to $1.5 billion, won two 2028 lunar missions and acquired Space-ng for autonomous navigation across its Blue…

Cellebrite (CLBT) Management Meeting: The Road Ahead

Cellebrite converts more than 110% of EBITDA into free cash flow and trades at 12.5 times free cash flow, with management targeting 15% or…

Meta's Muse Could be Big Win for Innodata

Innodata's new Meta contract for long-horizon agent personalization ties the data company to Meta's Muse AI assistant, despite Meta's Scale…

Reddit's Valuation Is A Compelling Opportunity: Upgrading To Strong Buy

Reddit’s subreddit-driven communities support targeted advertising, and its 0.3 PEG ratio makes RDDT undervalued, according to the upgrade…

RDDT $28B

SA Fountainhead Sep 22 4 clicks

Emeth Value Capital’s Andrew Carreon on Shift4 ($FOUR)

Shift4 trades at 6.5 times EBITDA despite 11% organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases reaching a $400 million run rate as…

Credo Technology: New Position in My Private Portfolio

Credo Technology was added at $170.54 after a 40% selloff, backed by its high-speed AECs and optical connectivity for AI data centers.

Copart's Return To Growth Starts Now: Adair's $1.9B Bet On ACV Auctions

Copart’s $1.9 billion ACV Auctions acquisition targets renewed growth, with EPS accretion expected by fiscal 2028 as insurance…

ACVA $1.8BCPRT $25B

SA Robert J. Lake Sep 22 2 clicks

GameStop Is Extreme Deep Value

GameStop's collectibles mix rose to 45% of sales as gross margin reached 44%, supporting a deep-value case built on cash and store…

Tempus AI: Data And Applications Will Unlock More Upside

Tempus AI’s Q2 oncology testing volumes rose 31%, while data and applications revenue grew 28% as its clinical data flywheel expands.

TEM $15B

SA Bay Area Ideas Sep 21 2 clicks

A2Gold: Research Note

A2Gold’s first Taylor drill holes returned 20.96 g/t AuEq over 1.5m and 209.4 g/t silver over 10.7m, alongside 141.10 g/t gold at…

SOLS · long

Solstice Advanced Mtrils INC

XPEL's Manufacturing Build-Out

XPEL plans to spend $75 million to $150 million on manufacturing, targeting 52-54% gross margins and high-20s EBIT margins by 2028.

Ferrari Exploratory Report

Ferrari sells about 13,000 vehicles annually, generating €7 billion of revenue and 28% operating margins; its shares trade at 32 times…

Carvana, DriveTime, Hindenburg and Gotham City

Carvana’s DriveTime disclosures do not prove loan-loss shifting, but related-party dealings and gains on loan sales remain central concerns.

FDA vs. HIMS: Why the Oral “Wegovy Copy” Crackdown Changes the GLP-1 Game

FDA’s crackdown on HIMS’s $49 compounded oral Wegovy copy reshapes GLP-1 competition after Novo Nordisk forecast 2026 sales and profit…

Evolution: 4Q25 Business Update

Evolution's fourth-quarter revenue fell 4% as Asia cyber disruption and European channelization outweighed U.S.

Adobe Inc (ADBE): slowly, then all at once

Adobe’s sub-20x forward GAAP P/E reflects AI disruption fears, with the investment case hinging on whether Digital Media’s creative…

My Biggest Position: A Monopoly Priced for Failure

A former value-investor darling, down 50%, pairs a monopoly with a recurring-revenue razor-and-blade business; debt paydown, margin…

InMode (INMD): Low-risk Take-Private Opportunity *Exited*

InMode faces $1 billion to $1.1 billion take-private bids, including Centroid and a management-led group, while Steel Partners offers $18…

Negative EV, 8% Dividend, Sale Likely

Taitron Components trades below net cash and investments after tariffs, a dividend cut and voluntary Nasdaq delisting drove shares to $1.