Copart 4Q26 Business Update: Thesis Shift?
Copart’s 4Q26 revenue grew 2.4% as U.S. insurance volumes fell 7.5%, while a customer loss and higher yard costs pressured profits despite international growth.
Wednesday, September 16, 2026
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catechwilliams on X
$YOU sales growth in light blue, Members in orange vs QTD web traffic. Dotted section is Q4 w consensus sales and member growth. https://t.co/NcihE7pbyD
catechwilliams on X
$YOU Clear supervisor at JFK said they’ve experienced “a surge in new sign-ups from pre-Thanksgiving through the Christmas travel period.” Similarweb web traffic to their site shows a large acceleration in visits as well suggesting a potentially large Q4 earnings beat.
catechwilliams on X
$OXM Very strong holiday selling season based on credit card data & other trackers for core Tommy Bahama and Lilly Pulitzer brands w very minimal promotion or discounts vs modest consensus growth expectations. Stock at 9x EPS, will be providing prelim numbers at ICR in 2 weeks.
catechwilliams on X
$DAKT Just announced a substantial new project win. Estimated to be $25M in revenue to Daktronics. Yankees, Dodgers, Cubs are among those exploring potential upgrades for next season, all of which are exisiting customers. https://t.co/dcn6TcQNr4
catechwilliams on X
$DCGO NYC Controller revokes Mayor Adams' authority to grant emergency order contracts (backdoor, no-bid). The order specifically focuses on DCGO's lucrative "asylum seeker services." NYC = 50% of DCGO revenue. https://t.co/7NUJ0i28Ry
catechwilliams on X
$DAKT Another strong result: sales grew 6%, $0.27 EPS (ex non-cash convert expense) brings LTM to nearly $1.40 or 8x EPS. Don't see a lot of growing, industry leaders w strong FCF profiles at that multiple. No banks cover it, that will change soon. CFO at 2 conferences this week.
catechwilliams on X
$DKNG Basically just said at the Craig Hallum Conference they are going to miss Q4 guidance. CEO: "literally had the worst stretch of the year, the last few weeks...sometimes that happens where you issue your guidance...So we'll see."
catechwilliams on X
$DAKT Perhaps the most attractive long I’ve seen in years. Dominant \position in a category growing >20%. Major business overhaul taking hold after years of underperformance. Stock trades at 7x EPS/ 13% FCF yield due to low awareness of these structural improvements (see below)..
Investor Letters
All letters- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.5BSUSRF $254M
- Janus Henderson Investors July 2026 NXT $12B
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. July 2026 DR0 $454MALM $4B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 079940 $410MUNVGY $27B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 NEO $1.1BVNP $1.9B
- Kernow Asset Management July 2026 CKNHF $2.1BCMCX $2.5B
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.3BLDNXF $52B
- Forager Funds Management July 2026 BVS $984M
Dassault Aviation: Rafale Upside Makes This A Strong Buy
Dassault Aviation reported 46% first-half sales growth and a €45.4 billion backlog, with Rafale F5 demand offsetting Falcon 10X delays and…
Dhierin Bechai 1 click
Adobe 3Q26 Update
Adobe’s fiscal 3Q26 revenue grew 13%, while ARR growth slowed to 9.3% excluding Semrush.
[scuttleslops] Amazon grocery, John Deere and AI, picks and pans in P&C Insurance, Copart earnings and the ACV acquisition
Amazon’s refrigerated same-day network has lifted monthly perishable customers roughly 50%, using grocery frequency to deepen loyalty and…
Cestrian Rating Actions - Week Ending 11 September 2026
Cestrian initiated Joby Aviation at Accumulate and upgraded Applied Materials and Broadcom to Accumulate for the week ended 11 September…
Adobe 3Q26 Update: Nothing Broken, Nothing Explained
Adobe’s fiscal 3Q26 revenue grew 13%, while ARR growth was about 9.3% excluding Semrush.
Enel Chile S.A.: Cheap, Profitable, And Operating In Chile's Next Great Energy Revolution
Enel Chile uses battery storage and grid management to turn renewable oversupply into flexibility, lifting H1 2026 EBITDA 3.9% and net…
Ryan Canady 4 clicks
Alarm.com: False Alarm?
Alarm.com, founded after CEO Steve Trundle’s bad home-security experience, has fallen from $105 in 2020 to about $55, testing whether…
CHPY: Anthropic's AI Slowdown Call Makes This 40% Yield ETF More Attractive
CHPY pairs a roughly 40% distribution rate with capped weekly upside for investors retaining semiconductor exposure amid Anthropic's AI…
Geneva Investor 1 click
Initiation Report
Zentek initiation report.
CVD Equipment Corporation (NASDAQ:CVV)
CVD Equipment is winding down manufacturing, cutting half its staff and weighing liquidation, with $23.5 million of cash and a…
GTLB · long Gitlab INC
Undercovered Dozen: Ares Capital, Grab, Lenovo, Rigetti And More
Undercovered Dozen profiles 12 lesser-covered stocks, including Ares Capital, Grab, Lenovo and Rigetti.
Unpolished Thoughts on Stocks #1
Genius Sports aims to turn official sports data into AI-driven, real-time advertising, with media and ads already about 40% of revenue.
Oak Bloke Bonkers Conkers 13th September 2026
Oak Bloke’s 2026 picks have returned 37% in GBP, with AltynGold, Geiger Counter, Silvercorp and China-focused trusts still rated buys…
Nintendo: The Software Payoff Is Still Ahead
Nintendo expects software, digital sales and character licensing to drive growth, with FY2027 revenue forecast at ¥2.05 trillion and…
LL Insights 
Lululemon: The 15-Minute Thesis
Lululemon’s North American sales, margins and legging demand are falling as Alo and Vuori gain share, leaving its brand moat and depressed…
Why “Affordable Luxury” Doesn't Compound
Lululemon’s growth stalled as affordable-luxury apparel brands face fading post-Covid demand, cheap social-media influence and China…
The Five Deals That Made Apollo
Apollo Global Management’s five defining deals, from Executive Life to Intel, built a $1 trillion asset manager spanning insurance and…
TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/11/2026)
TSOH weekly roundup covers Meta’s child-safety settlement, Markel’s leadership transition, Peloton’s gym strategy and an upcoming Alarm.com…
Independence Realty Buying Centerspace: Opportunity And Implications
Independence Realty Trust is buying Centerspace in stock to create an $8.1 billion apartment REIT, targeting 5% 2027 Core FFO per-share…
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