Saturday, September 5, 2026

When Anyone Can Make a Movie, Netflix Still Wins

Netflix’s roughly $20 billion content budget can become an editorial advantage as generative AI cuts production costs and floods viewers with synthetic content.

NFLX $511B

Bearhold Research 38h ago 8 clicks

41h ago META $1.6T

Bypassing RevenueBench to Buy the Feedback Loop

MBI Deep Dives 5 clicks

Sep 4 NVDA $5.5T

Is OpenAI the Achilles’ Heel of the US Economy? | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman 15 clicks

From X

@orrdavid 34h ago 7 clicks

David Orr on X

$GS should have ponied up the money. https://t.co/isJsSGuEzB

@orrdavid 35h ago 6 clicks

David Orr on X

Great companies are built by doing things differently, taking risks. $IBKR https://t.co/3sLFcI0ImD

@ChrisCamillo 35h ago 5 clicks

Chris Camillo on X

@UncleAlpha007 FCL is a pretty useless valuation metric for a company deliberately reinvesting to fund explosive growth. And there’s a massive spread of outcomes on what $BE revenue even looks like in 2030.

@stockgutter 38h ago 3 clicks

SG on X

At one time my largest position was short $KOLD calls. Considering rebuilding this position. KOLD is the 2x natgas bear ETF. https://t.co/gEVYK0445e

@stockgutter 42h ago 3 clicks

SG on X

imo the risk is not egg price going lower -- its very low right now, and $VITL gets sells into the premium tier. but the company is exposed to corn/soy. At least the last time I checked it did not hedge. Those have moved up a lot in the past few months, so my best guess is that Vital Farms is getting squeezed rn between low egg prices and high input costs. long term, that could clear the deck of weak competitors. Short term, might make for a rough few quarters.

@TidefallCapital 42h ago 2 clicks

Trevor Scott on X

@kashyap286 $GOOS?

@stockgutter 43h ago 3 clicks

SG on X

@rossiadam never thought of $TSLA FSD from the perspective of the elderly. Probably a great solution as FSD gets better but this has to be the worst demographic in terms of reaction time to grab the wheel if something goes wrong.

@John_Hempton Sep 5 2 clicks

John_Hempton on X

@marketreformer @MetaGuyMarduk @busybrands I don't and never did have a position in $MMTLP.

Investor Letters

All letters

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

Rayonier’s 4.0 million acres are valued at $393 an acre after other assets, versus $1,200 to $1,800 cutover-land sales, framing the timber…

RYN $6B

The Value Road Sep 4 33 clicks

Spare a Thought for Broadcom Shareholders

Broadcom’s FY2028 revenue estimate rose from $162 billion to about $270 billion and EPS from $17.60 to $30, while the stock remained flat…

AVGO $1.7T

MBI Deep Dives Sep 4 15 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Costco’s $4.99 chicken supply chain, Celsius’s 20% energy-drink share, and California utilities’ wildfire…

CELH $8BCOST $410B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 4 6 clicks

Broadcom: The AI Tollbooth Is Becoming An Earnings Machine

Broadcom's AI semiconductor revenue rose 221% year over year as custom silicon programs and VMware software cash flows fund further…

AVGO $1.7T

Simple Investment Ideas Sep 4 4 clicks

[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA

Veeva targets CRM share gains from Salesforce migration delays while Falcon agentic labor expands its reach into life-sciences safety,…

VEEV $46BCRM $214B

scuttleblurb Sep 3 33 clicks

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

CME perpetual-futures activity is tested against more than 240,000 CFTC data points on open interest and dealer positioning.

CME $101B

First Strike Research Sep 3 16 clicks

Selling Where They Ain’t

Dollar General’s Q2 FY26 comparable sales rose 3.5%, beating Walmart U.S.

DG $29BWMT $845B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 3 3 clicks

Netflix: A Second Monetization Cycle Is Just Getting Started

Netflix targets $51–51.4 billion of 2026 revenue, $3 billion of advertising revenue and $12.5 billion of free cash flow as its second…

NFLX $511B

The Curious Analyst Sep 3 3 clicks

A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?

Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the…

SMPL $1BBRBR $1.2B

The Value Road Sep 2 22 clicks

Chevron Stock Is A Bargain Amid Venezuela Deal

Chevron committed $7 billion to expand Venezuelan output as record U.S. production and elevated oil prices lifted Q2 earnings.

CVX $412B

Bay Area Ideas Sep 2 3 clicks

Staying the course on H&R REIT

H&R REIT’s renewed talks with Blackstone cover some assets, following office and U.S.

BX $103B

Nugget Capital Partner's Substack Jun 27

Tidewater (TDW): a first-pass look

Tidewater’s $22,600 average day rate and $598 million FY2025 EBITDA rest on an aging OSV fleet, scant newbuilds and fleet acquisitions…

TDW $5B

Stock Thoughts Jun 27

The Biggest Bull Signal On Entravision

Entravision’s lost Meta relationship reset its business model, setting up a bullish case for the company’s recovery.

EVC $782M

The Value Road Jun 26 6 clicks

SAP: DCF Valuation

SAP’s DCF valuation sets a $260 base-case target versus a $155.09 ADR price, based on cloud migration, AI efficiencies and expanding EBIT…

SAP $245B

Hated Moats Jun 26

Duffy’s Last Dance

CME CEO Terry Duffy moves to executive chairman while suing the CFTC over Kalshi’s approval to list perpetual futures, defending CME’s…

CME $101B

Net Interest Jun 26

Char Technologies ($YES.V) FINS Review

Char Technologies’ Q2 brought $700,000 revenue and a $1.36 million net loss, while weak liquidity, related-party loans and dilution raise…

CTRNF $39M

Wolf's Substack Jun 25

Adobe Business History

Adobe built PostScript, Photoshop and PDF into desktop-publishing standards, using free Acrobat Reader and integrated Creative Suite tools…

ADBE $114B

Speedwell Memos Jun 25 2 clicks

Deep Dive: XPEL

XPEL sells paint-protection film and DAP cutting software, using 90,000-plus vehicle templates to win share from 3M and Eastman.

XPEL $1.4B

Rebound Capital Jun 24 1 click

On the Horizon

A tiny defense supplier trades at roughly 6.5x estimated normalized EBIT as military-program volumes rise and a strategic review considers…

AIRI $13M

The Mikro Kap Jun 24 2 clicks

Aimia. Allocator Takeover, Trading Below Book Value. A war-chest of cash ready to deploy

Aimia trades at 0.75 times pro forma book value, with C$163 million to C$192 million of cash after the Bozzetto sale and Rhys Summerton…

AIMFF $172M

Kairos Research Jun 23

Saturday, September 5, 2026

When Anyone Can Make a Movie, Netflix Still Wins

Bypassing RevenueBench to Buy the Feedback Loop

Is OpenAI the Achilles’ Heel of the US Economy? | The Weekly Wrap

From X

David Orr on X

David Orr on X

Chris Camillo on X

SG on X

SG on X

Trevor Scott on X

SG on X

John_Hempton on X

Investor Letters

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

Spare a Thought for Broadcom Shareholders

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

Broadcom: The AI Tollbooth Is Becoming An Earnings Machine

[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

Selling Where They Ain’t

Netflix: A Second Monetization Cycle Is Just Getting Started

A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?

Chevron Stock Is A Bargain Amid Venezuela Deal

Staying the course on H&R REIT

Tidewater (TDW): a first-pass look

The Biggest Bull Signal On Entravision

SAP: DCF Valuation

Duffy’s Last Dance

Char Technologies ($YES.V) FINS Review

Adobe Business History

Deep Dive: XPEL

On the Horizon

Aimia. Allocator Takeover, Trading Below Book Value. A war-chest of cash ready to deploy

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