Saturday, September 5, 2026

A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?

Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the category has reached a cyclical bottom.

SMPL $896MBRBR $1.1B

The Value Road Sep 2 11 clicks

Sep 1 EVC $727M

EVC Update

Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter 15 clicks

Sep 1 LMB $623M

$LMB: Limbach missed the data center boom. Is that the opportunity? | 1 Main Capital

Yet Another Value Podcast 9 clicks

From X

@stockgutter Sep 5 1 click

SG on X

imo the risk is not egg price going lower -- its very low right now, and $VITL gets sells into the premium tier. but the company is exposed to corn/soy. At least the last time I checked it did not hedge. Those have moved up a lot in the past few months, so my best guess is that Vital Farms is getting squeezed rn between low egg prices and high input costs. long term, that could clear the deck of weak competitors. Short term, might make for a rough few quarters.

@TidefallCapital Sep 5

Trevor Scott on X

@kashyap286 $GOOS?

@leevalueroach Sep 4 1 click

Lee Roach on X

The egg market is getting killed and I am tempted to play this cycle bottom. Anyone up to speed on $VITL? This thing is looking so beaten down. https://t.co/wUgfMUorWW

@eriksen_tim Sep 4 2 clicks

Tim Eriksen on X

Anyone get the dividend from Gravity $GRVY yet? I expected a bit of a delay.

@irbezek Sep 4 1 click

Ian Bezek on X

It's Tecnoglass time $tgls. https://t.co/5gjN6emyo1

@stockgutter Sep 4

SG on X

Has anyone done work on the prediction market ecosystem? Want to explore beyond the leaders to shit-tier plays like $GEMI and $ROLR.

@TheBenSchmark Sep 4

JabroniCoin.USD on X

UBS: We believe $CENX offers the best leverage to a US Regional Premium that is sustainably higher. CENX currently trades at ~3.1x UBSe 2027 EBITDA estimates (below ~5x normalized 5yr average). We expect CENX to rerate towards our ~4x peak multiple driven by clarity… https://t.co/93RbEN5Ex7

@DOMOCAPITAL Sep 4

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

Another $PBI debt upgrade... "Pitney Bowes Inc. Upgraded To 'BB-' From 'B+' On Strong Credit Metrics; Outlook Revised To Stable From Positive" https://t.co/dl97639K74

Six Flags And United Parks: Two Different Answers To The Same Demand Problem

Six Flags’ attendance rose 4% while comparable crowd intensity was nearly flat, and both it and United Parks grew deferred revenue about 2%…

FUN $1.2BPRKS $1.6B

Sanjay Swamy Sep 1 1 click

[WAY – Waystar] Healthcare is a very complicated invoice

Waystar sells revenue-cycle software for a US claims process where roughly 18% of submitted claims are initially denied and healthcare…

WAY $4.9B

scuttleblurb Aug 31 5 clicks

Ultragenyx ($RARE): A Catalyst-Driven Thesis With Asymmetric Upside

Ultragenyx targets $730-760 million of 2026 revenue after GENGLYCOS approval, with UX111’s FDA decision and GTX-102 Phase 3 data due in…

RARE $1.4B

Hated Moats Aug 30

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…

UWMC $2BCCOI $476M

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 27 13 clicks

The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)

Verra Mobility renewed Hertz tolling management for five years. AutoKinex lets rental customers buy tolling, fuel and protection products…

VRRM $536M

The Oak Bloke Aug 27 6 clicks

Miami International Holdings (MIAX)

Miami International Holdings, the No. 4 options exchange with 17% share, trades at 12x forward EBITDA despite 35% revenue growth, 54%…

MIAX $3.8B

Sylence Capital Aug 27 1 click

Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade

Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.

PRGS $1.9B

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 27 3 clicks

TPC 2026-08-27

Tutor Perini: Q2 2026 Made My Strong Buy Case Stronger

Tutor Perini’s Q2 revenue rose 19% to $1.64 billion as higher-margin megaprojects lifted construction income 54%, prompting higher 2026 EPS…

TPC $4.5B

The Curious Analyst Aug 27

Quick Value #328 - Cal-Maine Foods (CALM)

Cal-Maine, the largest U.S. egg producer, trades at 1.6x book versus a 2.1x 20-year median, with net cash and investments equal to 23% of…

CALM $3.4B

Value Don't Lie Aug 25

STNE 2026-08-25

StoneCo: Deep Value Hiding Behind Brazil's Rate Fears - For Now

StoneCo's buybacks and special dividend produced roughly 39% H1 shareholder yield as Brazil's rate cuts slow and competition persists.

STNE $2.2B

IWA Research Aug 25 3 clicks

HGV · long

Hilton Grand Vacations

Hilton Grand Vacations faces an inflection point in profitability growth and free cash flow generation.

HGV $2.8B

Value Investors Club May 29

AI turned my Report into a Video

Google’s NotebookLM turned a 30-page Douglas Dynamics report into an 8-minute video, while Custom GPTs screen earnings transcripts for…

PLOW $920M

Hidden Gems Investing Apr 1

Single Stock Spotlight #5: Core Natural Resources (CNR)

Core Natural Resources (CNR) trades at 6 times normalized free cash flow, with export thermal coal exposure positioned for LNG disruption…

CNR $4.5BAMR $2.2B

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Mar 24

Douglas Dynamics (PLOW): 50% Market Share, Earnings Rebound, Clear Catalyst | Special Report

Douglas Dynamics controls over 50% of North American professional snowplows; a strong 2025/26 winter and replacement demand are projected…

PLOW $920M

Hidden Gems Investing Mar 24

Call me crazy, I'm adding to a US apartment REIT

NexPoint Residential is being added despite weak multifamily performance, with insider ownership and a transaction-ready structure…

NXRT $825M

Nugget Capital Partner's Substack Mar 21

TIC Solutions: Thesis Check

TIC Solutions' NV5 merger lifted consulting and geospatial growth and margins, while its 52%-of-revenue inspection unit stayed flat after…

TIC $2B

Kairos Research Mar 19

Shift4 Payments: A Fintech Compounder Trading Like a Melting Ice Cube

Shift4 Payments earns 50 to 60 basis points on SkyTab volume while acquiring merchant networks, driving 39% annual GRLNF growth since 2021…

FOUR $3.3B

Modern Value Investing Mar 15

Lands’ End Into Next Week: A Re-Rate Catalyst Hiding Behind Tender Noise

Lands’ End’s March 19 results could clarify the WHP IP joint venture, debt paydown and retained stake, supporting a rerating beyond the…

LE $318M

Rod’s Ruminations Mar 13

Hallador Pt. 2 — "Massive" Data Center Incoming in Sullivan, IN? ($HNRG)

Hallador’s 1 GW Merom plant could supply a proposed 1,000-acre Sullivan County data center, with local filings and Stantec references tying…

HNRG $708M

Multibagger Monitor Mar 5 9 clicks

Theravance Biopharma: Failed Phase 3 Trial, Strategic Review

Theravance Biopharma began a strategic review after a failed Phase 3 trial.

TBPH $884M

Clark Street Value Mar 5 2 clicks

Saturday, September 5, 2026

SG on X

Trevor Scott on X

Lee Roach on X

Tim Eriksen on X

Ian Bezek on X

SG on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

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