Wednesday, September 2, 2026

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

DoorDash’s delivery economics rely on customer tips and flexible labor, while rising courier costs make autonomous delivery central to scaling GOV 4 to 5 times.

DASH $96B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 2 15 clicks

Sep 1 AMZN $2.8T

The Bid Shading Threat to Amazon Advertising

MBI Deep Dives 14 clicks

Aug 31 WAY $4.8B

[WAY – Waystar] Healthcare is a very complicated invoice

scuttleblurb 15 clicks

From X

@RagingVentures Jul 21

Raging Capital Ventures on X

@gamesblazer06 I’m short $CAT and $GEV

@irbezek Jul 21 1 click

Ian Bezek on X

@EdwardR02184224 Posted on the newsletter about $ASR recently. Similar thoughts for $OMAB except Sureste has the catalysts with the new airport packages and improvements in Colombia... https://t.co/ZO0t5ghX40

@TimyanBankAlert Jul 21 1 click

Timyan Bank Alert on X

WaFd's $WAFD valuation limits M&A ambitions, CEO says | S&P Global Market Intelligence https://t.co/7BDy1GI1mj

@TimyanBankAlert Jul 21 1 click

Timyan Bank Alert on X

Finward Bancorp Acquisition $FFBC is a great partner for $FNWD- 6.4 x cost save earnings, 7 month payback and a dividend increase. Everything’s Archie! - https://t.co/qymOJS625L

@ActAccordingly Jul 21

PAA Research on X

Let's congratulate the market and the investment community for a moment on filling the gap from $WDFC on that nonsensical earnings beat. I read the transcript twice and the magnitude of upside in the quarter still didn't make sense. For this kind of business it should have been a simple explanation from management. Instead it was innuendo and evasion.

@ActAccordingly Jul 21

PAA Research on X

Yeah, $CPB bulls trying to hold the line on the 2002 and 1995 lows. They have some solid brands for sure, but the management is moronic, the board even worse, they have no clue on capital management, and the balance sheet is a disaster. Everything but the last point is an argument for this business to be sold. However, that leverage.... I guess someone can come in and eliminate the dividend which frees up $450MM in FCF. From there you can probably delever this biz 2-3 turns in a few years. Tough sledding, but there's a lot of wasted advertising across this company, that's for sure.

@TheBenSchmark Jul 21

JabroniCoin.USD on X

The basin isn’t that deep. Bullish $EQT. Low investment + LNG + datacenter demand = convexity https://t.co/USzDD8u9uB

@catechwilliams Jul 21 6 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$SWIM. Stock has barely budged over the last 2 weeks despite: 1) $PNR pre-announcing pool pump sales -17% and 2) $LESL filing for BK citing slowing new pool demand. Expectation of HSD growth this year are disconnected from reality. Earnings miss and guidance cut likely coming.

Veeva 2Q’26: “SaaSpocalypse” Cancelled

Veeva beat its $905 million revenue guide with $928 million, up 17.6%, while subscription growth accelerated and GAAP EBIT margin reached…

VEEV $46B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 29 20 clicks

Microsoft ($MSFT) - Deep Dive

Microsoft’s AI data-center buildout lifted annual CapEx from $5.5 billion in FY2014 to $115.9 billion in FY2026, resetting free-cash-flow…

MSFT $3.8T

Bearhold Research Aug 29 18 clicks

BE 2026-08-29

Bloom Energy: 5 Links That Cannot Break

Bloom Energy’s 80x forward earnings valuation relies on concentrated megaprojects, sustained AI data-center power demand and continued…

BE $64B

Valuation Rewind Aug 29 6 clicks

Making sense of Sandisk’s long-term financial model

Sandisk’s FY28-FY30 model relies on long-term NAND agreements holding near-80% gross-margin floors despite pricing 26-28% below current…

SNDK $227B

Bristlemoon Capital Aug 28 19 clicks

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…

UWMC $2.4B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 27 26 clicks

Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade

Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.

PRGS $2.1B

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 27 7 clicks

[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX

AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.

AMZN $2.8T

scuttleblurb Aug 26 9 clicks

KMI 2026-08-26

Kinder Morgan: The Consolidation Is An Opportunity Before The Next Leg Higher

Kinder Morgan raised 2026 guidance after record Q2 results, supported by a $9.6 billion backlog and growing U.S.

KMI $71B

Steven Fiorillo Aug 26 3 clicks

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…

ELALF $3.4B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 20 16 clicks

BAC 2026-08-20

Bank of America Preferreds: Better Propositions Available Than Series GG

Bank of America’s BAC.PR.B yields just over 6% near par, while discounted lower-coupon series such as BAC.PR.P offer better value despite…

BAC $433B

Prakhar Agarwal, CFA Aug 20 1 click

Meta Buys Away its Distraction at Minimal Cost

Meta’s $18 billion teen-addiction settlement makes $5.3 billion contingent on YouTube and TikTok adopting matching restrictions, while…

META $1.6TRBLX $29B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 28 15 clicks

MU 2026-08-28

SK Hynix: Higher Revenue Than Micron, Cheaper Than Micron (Initiating Buy)

SK Hynix posted record quarterly revenue of 79.32 trillion won and a 76% operating margin, while trading below Micron on forward sales and…

MU $1.1T

Prakhar Agarwal, CFA Aug 28 6 clicks

Nvidia Climbing the Wall of Worries

Nvidia guided FY2028 revenue toward $700 billion, roughly 70% growth, while supply constraints and neocloud demand face concerns over…

NVDA $5.5T

MBI Deep Dives Aug 27 9 clicks

Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question

Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.

NVDA $5.5T

MBI Deep Dives Aug 26 8 clicks

CBRS 2026-08-26

Sizing Up Cerebras Systems: Why Its Latency Moat Makes It A Buy For Aggressive Growth Investors

Cerebras’ CS-4 wafer-scale chips target latency-sensitive AI inference, but Nvidia’s ecosystem, manufacturing yields and KV-cache…

CBRS $44B

Star Investments Aug 26 4 clicks

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…

CCC $4.3B

scuttleblurb Aug 20 22 clicks

TEM 2026-08-20

Tempus AI Just Had Their Entire Strategy Validated By Moderna's Vaccine Advance

Tempus AI's diagnostics and data businesses grew Q2 2026 revenue 19.4% year over year, with FDA approvals, expanded tests and pricing aimed…

TEM $11BMRNA $62B

Robert J. Lake Aug 20 2 clicks

NCLH or her grandma Saga?

Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…

NCLH $7.2B

The Oak Bloke Aug 19 16 clicks

Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN

IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…

IREN $18B

Yet Another Value Blog Aug 18 14 clicks

$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital

Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…

NU $70B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 17 11 clicks

Wednesday, September 2, 2026

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

The Bid Shading Threat to Amazon Advertising

[WAY – Waystar] Healthcare is a very complicated invoice

From X

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Ian Bezek on X

Timyan Bank Alert on X

Timyan Bank Alert on X

PAA Research on X

PAA Research on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

catechwilliams on X

Investor Letters

Veeva 2Q’26: “SaaSpocalypse” Cancelled

Microsoft ($MSFT) - Deep Dive

Bloom Energy: 5 Links That Cannot Break

Making sense of Sandisk’s long-term financial model

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade

[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX

Kinder Morgan: The Consolidation Is An Opportunity Before The Next Leg Higher

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

Bank of America Preferreds: Better Propositions Available Than Series GG

Meta Buys Away its Distraction at Minimal Cost

SK Hynix: Higher Revenue Than Micron, Cheaper Than Micron (Initiating Buy)

Nvidia Climbing the Wall of Worries

Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question

Sizing Up Cerebras Systems: Why Its Latency Moat Makes It A Buy For Aggressive Growth Investors

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

Tempus AI Just Had Their Entire Strategy Validated By Moderna's Vaccine Advance

NCLH or her grandma Saga?

Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN

$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital

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