Sunday, August 16, 2026

$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management

DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.

DNOW $2.8B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 14 9 clicks

Aug 13 KSS $1.9B

Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?

Bristlemoon Capital 9 clicks

Aug 11 EVC $727M

Entravision Q2 Notes

The Value Road 13 clicks

From X

@orrdavid Aug 16 3 clicks

David Orr on X

I privately told a few fund managers I respect these investing themes/theses privately: "AI is going to drive far more medical/biotech research in pursuit of age reversal technologies than we had before. In fact, at least a couple of these are reasonably likely to be the most valuable companies on the planet in 10-20 years." and related, "Many of the old medical research companies are dinosaurs, since their tech will not keep up with the new age of AI driven medical research." I told them this at the start of 2025, and for example mentioned they avoid shorting $ARKG type stocks. I could tell they thought I was completely retarded, out of my mind, etc. A couple thoughts: 1. I bet those people don't think the idea is stupid at all today. and 2. Having a thesis that seems insane but is often wrong is *awesome*. It's a heads you win, tails you lose nothing situation. Besides $MEDP long, I didn't really know how to play the idea other than avoiding a bunch of shorts. These are theses I still very much believe today, and still today I don't see people talking about them.

@irbezek Aug 14 2 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

@WaterworldCapi1 $jets Bad industry, oil might go up again, consumer spending may roll over, and the new "capacity discipline" is more lucky accident than strategic. Somebody, probably $aal will start dumping capacity on routes again and margins back to zero

@irbezek Aug 14 3 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

@lasse108 @ReturnsJourney $intr

@natstewart5 Aug 14 2 clicks

Nat Stewart on X

Fantastic $NRP update from John. Particularly appreciate his capital allocation framework and view on why paying out 100% of cash flow makes the most sense. https://t.co/6LngKKV9hC

@TheBenSchmark Aug 14 2 clicks

JabroniCoin.USD on X

$CENX is a non-AI bottleneck https://t.co/L0PvNNH4HK

@mavix_leon Aug 14 2 clicks

mavix on X

Leatt $LEAT Q2 '26 results: ▫️Revenues +1% *Consumer Direct +68% *Dealer Direct -2% *Distributor -6% ▫️EBIT -17.7% ▫️Net income -20% ▫️Cash of $19.5 million (+48%) ▫️Temporary supply chain timing challenges (now resolved) ▫️Consumer demand remains strong https://t.co/z8aStbpiKa

@BlueDuckCap Aug 13 1 click

BDC on X

Bingo. Executive order just signed to go into effect soon...domestic suppliers WIN. $MOB being FCC exempt, Blue UAS, and supplier to domestic OEMs like $TDY means they also win. And great quarter too...business is starting to inflect. https://t.co/Wj5fOsJxvh

@eriksen_tim Aug 13 1 click

Tim Eriksen on X

@ShmuelLon Good. That was my intention. It was less about the merits of $EVC in the future and more about recognizing that 1) we have to think about growth properly; and 2)we have to guard against thesis drift.

$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost

UWMC booked a roughly $600 million Q2 hedging loss tied to TWO months after the deal collapsed, contributing to an expensive capital raise.

UWMC $2BTWO $1.3B

Yet Another Value Blog Aug 11 11 clicks

40 Stock Pitches (3rd-9th August)

Navient trades near 40% of tangible book as Gator Financial Partners argues private student-loan growth and restructuring can reverse its…

NAVI $855M

Capital Employed Aug 10 9 clicks

These Power Stocks (Not Semis) Are The Real AI Beneficiaries, Say Investing Brother Duo Up 1,300%

Pernas Research names Capstone Energy and Stabilis Solutions as AI data-center power beneficiaries, alongside Tenable, Upwork, Wise and…

SLNG $97M

The Monetary Matters Network Aug 7 9 clicks

My Pitch Deck Slide Show from the MS Microcaps Summer Virtual Conference

Butler National Corporation is the subject of a stock pitch presented at the MS Microcaps Summer Virtual Conference.

BUKS $262M

The Value Road Aug 6 8 clicks

DEC-laration of independence

Diversified Energy cut $233 million of debt in 1H26, repurchased $93 million of stock and sold $273 million of land and assets while…

DEC $983M

The Oak Bloke Aug 6 7 clicks

Perimeter Solutions: 2Q26 Business Recap

Perimeter Solutions’ 2Q26 revenue rose 31%, while operating income fell 11% as USDA pricing and DLA delivery timing hurt Fire Safety; it…

PRM $4.9B

Speedwell Memos Aug 5 9 clicks

A Venezuela Lottery Ticket for 41 Cents

Lionheart Holdings’ 41-cent CUBWW warrants hinge on a SPAC merger valuing KEO Energy’s Venezuelan PetroUrdaneta stake at $1 billion, versus…

CUB $284M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 3 7 clicks

Vistance Networks (NASDAQ: VISN)

Vistance Networks plans a large post-Ruckus-sale dividend, leaving Aurora Networks valued below 4x guided EBITDA after $1.88 billion of…

VISN $1.5B

Triple S Special Situations Investing Jul 31 7 clicks

Cematrix Corp ($CEMX.TO) FINS Review

Cematrix posted record Q2 revenue of $18.7 million, up 76%, and $3.5 million of net income, while backlog fell 9% from year-end.

CTXXF $49M

Wolf's Substack Jul 31 2 clicks

[OTCM] Listings for the rest of us

OTC Markets gives smaller, distressed, and lightly disclosed companies a trading venue outside NYSE and Nasdaq, with lower listing barriers…

OTCM $653M

scuttleblurb Jul 31 3 clicks

IMMR · long

Immersion CORP

Immersion Corp. (IMMR) is presented as trading at a 121% discount to estimated fair value, with a projected 100%+ return within months.

IMMR $247M

Value Investors Club Apr 30 5 clicks

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$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management

Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?

Entravision Q2 Notes

From X

David Orr on X

Ian Bezek on X

Ian Bezek on X

Nat Stewart on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

mavix on X

BDC on X

Tim Eriksen on X

Investor Letters

$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost

40 Stock Pitches (3rd-9th August)

These Power Stocks (Not Semis) Are The Real AI Beneficiaries, Say Investing Brother Duo Up 1,300%

My Pitch Deck Slide Show from the MS Microcaps Summer Virtual Conference

DEC-laration of independence

Perimeter Solutions: 2Q26 Business Recap

A Venezuela Lottery Ticket for 41 Cents

Vistance Networks (NASDAQ: VISN)

Cematrix Corp ($CEMX.TO) FINS Review

[OTCM] Listings for the rest of us

Immersion CORP

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Seeking Alpha 29 of 161

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Sunday, August 16, 2026

David Orr on X

Ian Bezek on X

Ian Bezek on X

Nat Stewart on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

mavix on X

BDC on X

Tim Eriksen on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

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Seeking Alpha 29 of 161

X accounts we follow

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