Sunday, August 16, 2026

$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management

DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.

DNOW $2.8B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 14 9 clicks

Aug 13 KSS $1.9B

Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?

Bristlemoon Capital 9 clicks

Aug 11 EVC $727M

Entravision Q2 Notes

The Value Road 13 clicks

From X

@irbezek Aug 14 3 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

@lasse108 @ReturnsJourney $intr

@natstewart5 Aug 14 2 clicks

Nat Stewart on X

Fantastic $NRP update from John. Particularly appreciate his capital allocation framework and view on why paying out 100% of cash flow makes the most sense. https://t.co/6LngKKV9hC

@TheBenSchmark Aug 14 2 clicks

JabroniCoin.USD on X

$CENX is a non-AI bottleneck https://t.co/L0PvNNH4HK

@eriksen_tim Aug 13 1 click

Tim Eriksen on X

@ShmuelLon Good. That was my intention. It was less about the merits of $EVC in the future and more about recognizing that 1) we have to think about growth properly; and 2)we have to guard against thesis drift.

@eriksen_tim Aug 13 1 click

Tim Eriksen on X

Is $EVC is a classic case of thesis drift for its investors? It was all about sequential hypergrowth (with a supposed SOTP margin of safety). Mgmt said Q3 will be below Q2. Now the thesis is about strong year over year growth. What happens in a few quarters when year over year growth is gone, or is low single digits? Is this really a seasonal business? For me it was a small position due to the nature of the situation. Q2 growth was lighter than I expected so I was selling after hours and have fully exited.

@mavix_leon Aug 13 1 click

mavix on X

Kenneth Dart (Candle Lake) is offering 695 SEK per share in Evolution $EVO after crossing the threshold that triggers a mandatory takeover bid. Acceptance period is scheduled to run from August 17 to September 15. After that, Dart can continue buying shares. https://t.co/lexNUjdqSZ

@Mike10947310 Aug 12

Mike on X

New $FTEK CEO is interesting to me, ex $CECO which has been a great company. What do you think? There has been a lot of kinda inexplicable decisions for years from mgmt (particularly massive SG&A costs) offsetting what should be strong gross margins. My read is he probably joined to pull some easy levers.

@mavix_leon Aug 12 2 clicks

mavix on X

Shelly Group $SLYG H1 '26 results: ▫️Revenues +26.5% ▫️EBIT +45.6% ▫️EBIT margin of 26% (vs. 22.6%) ▫️Net result +51.4% ▫️OCF +260.6% ▫️FCF +354.3% ▫️Cash +133.1% ▫️DSO of 147 days (-21) ✅ Guidance confirmed https://t.co/do39CfwTEk

$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost

UWMC booked a roughly $600 million Q2 hedging loss tied to TWO months after the deal collapsed, contributing to an expensive capital raise.

UWMC $2BTWO $1.3B

Yet Another Value Blog Aug 11 11 clicks

40 Stock Pitches (3rd-9th August)

Navient trades near 40% of tangible book as Gator Financial Partners argues private student-loan growth and restructuring can reverse its…

NAVI $902M

Capital Employed Aug 10 9 clicks

DEC-laration of independence

Diversified Energy cut $233 million of debt in 1H26, repurchased $93 million of stock and sold $273 million of land and assets while…

DEC $972M

The Oak Bloke Aug 6 7 clicks

Vistance Networks (NASDAQ: VISN)

Vistance Networks plans a large post-Ruckus-sale dividend, leaving Aurora Networks valued below 4x guided EBITDA after $1.88 billion of…

VISN $1.5B

Triple S Special Situations Investing Jul 31 7 clicks

[OTCM] Listings for the rest of us

OTC Markets gives smaller, distressed, and lightly disclosed companies a trading venue outside NYSE and Nasdaq, with lower listing barriers…

OTCM $653M

scuttleblurb Jul 31 3 clicks

This Stock Just Got Cheaper on Better Numbers

A debt-free American manufacturer now trades at roughly 7x annualized Q2 EBITDA, with $7.35 per share in net cash and a tender floor 18.5%…

RGR $663M

The Value Road Jul 30 4 clicks

Entravision: Another Whale Has Emerged

Entravision’s Q1 filings contain a new footnote disclosure pointing to a potential second large advertiser beyond its Hong Kong customer,…

EVC $727M

The Value Road Jul 28 11 clicks

$PRKS: SeaWorld, an 8% cash yield, and a possible 80% short squeeze | Hawkins Entrekin

United Parks trades at 8x EBITDA with an 8%+ unlevered cash yield, aggressive buybacks and roughly 80% effective short interest, while…

PRKS $1.6B

Yet Another Value Podcast Jul 20 2 clicks

Clear the DEC?

Diversified Energy (DEC) has paid $21.84 per share in dividends since June 2017 and trades at $13.35 amid a bullish U.S.

DEC $972M

The Oak Bloke Jul 18 3 clicks

$CBZ: stop the buybacks and restart the M&A flywheel? | Reference Equity

CBIZ activist Ryan Bunn urges ending buybacks, issuing equity and resuming bolt-on acquisitions to delever after the $2.3 billion Marcum…

CBZ $3B

Yet Another Value Podcast Jul 14 2 clicks

MPTI · long

M-tron

M-Tron Industries is pitched as a long on its sole-source role across more than 40 missile, radar and aerospace programs.

MPTI $326M

Value Investors Club May 13

Tis The (Earnings) Season

Argentine banks, tariff-exposed stocks and Customer’s Bancorp anchor an earnings-season watchlist after Milei’s election victory,…

CUBI $2.7B

Cluseau Research Oct 27 3 clicks

Drilling Down on Disposal: Parallels Between Produced Water and Municipal Waste Disposal

WaterBridge and Secure trade at 10–11x 2025 EBITDA despite produced-water disposal economics resembling higher-multiple municipal waste…

WBI $1.7B

310 Value’s Newsletter Oct 21 2 clicks

The Announcement That Changes Everything

China Yuchai’s potential MGP IPO could separate its data-center and genset arm, with employee incentives tied to a listing and a proposed…

CYD $1.3B

Maius Partners Aug 26 2 clicks

GCI Liberty: Cheap, Tax Asset, Malone Fatigue?

GCI Liberty trades cheaply, holds tax assets, and faces investor fatigue with John Malone.

GLIBA $980M

Clark Street Value Jul 16 2 clicks

Golden Dome, Quantum, Next-Gen GPS, Oh My... ($FEIM)

Frequency Electronics ($FEIM) trades at its lowest EV/EBITDA multiple since 2016 despite satellite-timing exposure to Golden Dome spending…

FEIM $1B

Multibagger Monitor Jun 16 8 clicks

When extend and pretend is a virtue

Upstart says longer repayment terms lifted Q1 debt-settlement acceptances 50%, but does not disclose delinquency changes or the number of…

UPST $2.4B

John Hempton's Newsletter May 6 2 clicks

Hallador's "Beautiful, Clean Coal": Near Term Catalyst w/ 200% Upside ($HNRG)

Hallador Energy's Merom plant cleared a MISO review, setting up a potential data-center PPA that could transform the coal miner into a…

HNRG $708M

Multibagger Monitor Apr 22 8 clicks

Comeback Season: Evolv Eyes Positive FCF, 40% ARR Growth, and Reputational Revival in '25 ($EVLV)

Evolv ($EVLV) targets positive free cash flow and 40% ARR growth in 2025 as delayed filings, an FTC resolution, and leadership changes seek…

EVLV $880M

Multibagger Monitor Apr 7 8 clicks

CYD and H22 Results First Take:

CYD’s FY24 earnings miss reflected ¥200m of one-offs; adjusted net income reached roughly ¥430m and operating cash flow rose 40%.

CYD $1.3B

Maius Partners Feb 27 2 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

Nat Stewart on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Tim Eriksen on X

Tim Eriksen on X

mavix on X

Mike on X

mavix on X

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