Wednesday, September 2, 2026

A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?

Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the category has reached a cyclical bottom.

SMPL $954MBRBR $1.2B

The Value Road Sep 2 22 clicks

Sep 2 DASH $87B

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

MBI Deep Dives 16 clicks

Sep 2 SGMO $67M

Sangamo Bankruptcy (SGMOQ)

Triple S Special Situations Investing 15 clicks

From X

@catechwilliams May 9 3 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$ACA Levered roll-up (4x levered) hodgepodge of low-quality cap intensive commodity businesses w struggling end-markets (sub-scale aggregates, building products, ag). Negative organic growth w unrealistic guidance. Forced to sell an asset to avoid covenant breach. 30x P/E

@catechwilliams Apr 23

catechwilliams on X

$DAKT Just won the massive jumbotron project for the new Titans stadium. Estimated to be $180M. Will be the largest set of displays in the NFL. Bills, Browns stadiums to be announced soon. Wouldn’t be surprised if Mitsubishi acquires them given interest in the category.

@LittleOwlRes Apr 21

Little Owl Research on X

With contract disputes and litigation set to surge, I believe Burford is well positioned to benefit. Struggling firms will increasingly look to shore up capital—Many cannot afford to wait 2+ years to see the case through. $BUR

@LittleOwlRes Apr 21 2 clicks

Little Owl Research on X

Burford’s value prop is high to these firms, and the significant supply spike puts them in a fantastic position to capitalize on the demand for cash. Additionally settlement with Argentine government seems highly likely at this point. Long $BUR

@catechwilliams Apr 9

catechwilliams on X

$NX 5% of COGS/ direct input costs sourced from China. Tariffs + zero pricing power, high fixed cost structure + only 30% GMs = 25-30% hit to EBIT. Add 4x leverage, declining volumes, ambitious mgmt guidance while integrating a large acquisition is a setup for a trainwreck.

@catechwilliams Mar 11 2 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$AVO calling out the fact that they have been overearning and margins reverting. “experienced normalization of our per unit avocado margins during in Q1.” Noted weak harvest anticipated in Mexcico. $CVGW will be even more adversely impacted by these factors.

@catechwilliams Mar 6

catechwilliams on X

$DAKT CEO departing, new high-quality CFO (temp) w very attractive secular tailwinds in digital display demand + activist involvement = increased likelihood of takeout. Optimal business for PE. Multiple logical strategics. +75% upside.

@rusholmecapital Mar 1

Rusholme Capital on X

I'm not finding much of interest in this market. Few notes to myself so that I can look back and see how wrong I was: - Software & semi are expensive, but always are. I'm watching $CDW which posted its first revenue growth in a long time - Not finding much of interest in healthcare. Medtech is ex-growth and expensive. Lot of names under pressure from Trump cost cutting - Valuations for financials have gotten stretched. I'm trimming some big winners here - High-ticket consumer goods are struggling, but travel remains strong. Seeing green shoots in Canadian housing. I'm careful with the Canadian cannabis renaissance - Canadian OFS is topping out and transport is getting killed. Several cheap packaging names, but no growth

Reddit: Rapid Earnings Growth With Room For An AI Expansion

Reddit's advertising automation, proprietary data and Reddit Max are driving rapid revenue growth and margin expansion, while AI licensing…

RDDT $30B

Krzysztof Bogdanski Sep 2 7 clicks

An ATM that starts to spit out cash

Andrada Mining’s Uis ore sorter targets higher tin grades and lower unit costs after FY26 operating cash flow reached £4.7 million, but…

ATMTF $185M

The Oak Bloke Sep 2 13 clicks

Tectonic Therapeutic: Competitor Data Strengthens The TX45 Bull Case

Tectonic Therapeutic's TX45 CpcPH-HFpEF program gains support from Merck's CADENCE data; Phase 1b hemodynamics and cash through Q1 2029 set…

TECX $601M

Equity Eagle Sep 2 4 clicks

EVC Update

EVC reported a solid second quarter and outlook.

EVC $772M

Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter Sep 1 25 clicks

$LMB: Limbach missed the data center boom. Is that the opportunity? | 1 Main Capital

Limbach's EBITDA fell 30% as organic revenue declined, but 1 Main Capital calls the weakness temporary and views CYMCOR as its first…

LMB $591M

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 1 19 clicks

The Bid Shading Threat to Amazon Advertising

Amazon’s $69 billion advertising business faces an FTC lawsuit over alleged bid shading, threatening a revenue stream that grew roughly…

AMZN $2.8T

MBI Deep Dives Sep 1 14 clicks

GoPro sold itself at 9:20 AM to get ahead of a meme stock

GoPro rushed out its Starman Optical merger after Markiplier-driven buying sent GPRO up roughly 90% premarket, offering shareholders $1.14…

GPRO $268M

Yet Another Value Blog Sep 1 13 clicks

[WAY – Waystar] Healthcare is a very complicated invoice

Waystar sells revenue-cycle software for a US claims process where roughly 18% of submitted claims are initially denied and healthcare…

WAY $4.8B

scuttleblurb Aug 31 15 clicks

Emerge Commerce ($ECOM.V) FINS Review

Emerge Commerce's $44 million COVID-era acquisitions produced losses and impairments, while modestly improved Q2 liquidity leaves its…

EMCMF $10M

Wolf's Substack Aug 30 18 clicks

FTRE 2026-08-30

Fortrea Holdings: The Turnaround Is Showing Up In Earnings Before Revenue

Fortrea’s adjusted EBITDA rose 24% in H1 as cost cuts outpaced a 3.4% revenue decline, while new business awards increased 19%.

FTRE $1.7B

Manimala Misra Aug 30 5 clicks

Veeva 2Q’26: “SaaSpocalypse” Cancelled

Veeva beat its $905 million revenue guide with $928 million, up 17.6%, while subscription growth accelerated and GAAP EBIT margin reached…

VEEV $43B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 29 20 clicks

Microsoft ($MSFT) - Deep Dive

Microsoft’s AI data-center buildout lifted annual CapEx from $5.5 billion in FY2014 to $115.9 billion in FY2026, resetting free-cash-flow…

MSFT $3.8T

Bearhold Research Aug 29 18 clicks

BE 2026-08-29

Bloom Energy: 5 Links That Cannot Break

Bloom Energy’s 80x forward earnings valuation relies on concentrated megaprojects, sustained AI data-center power demand and continued…

BE $74B

Valuation Rewind Aug 29 6 clicks

NTG Clarity Networks ($NCI.V) FINS Review

NTG Clarity’s $18.6M of Q2 service revenue sat in contract assets, while $4.6M cash burn cut cash to $2.85M and raises liquidity concerns.

NYWKF $17M

Wolf's Substack Aug 28 17 clicks

Meta Buys Away its Distraction at Minimal Cost

Meta’s $18 billion teen-addiction settlement makes $5.3 billion contingent on YouTube and TikTok adopting matching restrictions, while…

META $1.6TRBLX $31B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 28 15 clicks

MU 2026-08-28

SK Hynix: Higher Revenue Than Micron, Cheaper Than Micron (Initiating Buy)

SK Hynix posted record quarterly revenue of 79.32 trillion won and a 76% operating margin, while trading below Micron on forward sales and…

MU $1.1T

Prakhar Agarwal, CFA Aug 28 6 clicks

Making sense of Sandisk’s long-term financial model

Sandisk’s FY28-FY30 model relies on long-term NAND agreements holding near-80% gross-margin floors despite pricing 26-28% below current…

SNDK $255B

Bristlemoon Capital Aug 28 19 clicks

CMCSA 2026-08-28

After A Decade Of Underperformance, Comcast Is Finally Ready To Rebound

Comcast's mobile growth, Verizon roaming agreement, NBCUniversal content and theme parks are positioned to offset broadband competition…

CMCSA $94B

Max Greve Aug 28 4 clicks

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…

UWMC $2.2BCCOI $494M

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 27 26 clicks

The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)

Verra Mobility renewed Hertz tolling management for five years. AutoKinex lets rental customers buy tolling, fuel and protection products…

VRRM $594M

The Oak Bloke Aug 27 12 clicks

Wednesday, September 2, 2026

A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

Sangamo Bankruptcy (SGMOQ)

From X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

Little Owl Research on X

Little Owl Research on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

Rusholme Capital on X

Investor Letters

Reddit: Rapid Earnings Growth With Room For An AI Expansion

An ATM that starts to spit out cash

Tectonic Therapeutic: Competitor Data Strengthens The TX45 Bull Case

EVC Update

$LMB: Limbach missed the data center boom. Is that the opportunity? | 1 Main Capital

The Bid Shading Threat to Amazon Advertising

GoPro sold itself at 9:20 AM to get ahead of a meme stock

[WAY – Waystar] Healthcare is a very complicated invoice

Emerge Commerce ($ECOM.V) FINS Review

Fortrea Holdings: The Turnaround Is Showing Up In Earnings Before Revenue

Veeva 2Q’26: “SaaSpocalypse” Cancelled

Microsoft ($MSFT) - Deep Dive

Bloom Energy: 5 Links That Cannot Break

NTG Clarity Networks ($NCI.V) FINS Review

Meta Buys Away its Distraction at Minimal Cost

SK Hynix: Higher Revenue Than Micron, Cheaper Than Micron (Initiating Buy)

Making sense of Sandisk’s long-term financial model

After A Decade Of Underperformance, Comcast Is Finally Ready To Rebound

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)

Publications we follow

YouTube 4

Blogs 11

Seeking Alpha 13 of 107

X accounts we follow

Sectors

Wednesday, September 2, 2026

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

Little Owl Research on X

Little Owl Research on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

Rusholme Capital on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 53

YouTube 4

Blogs 11

Seeking Alpha 13 of 107

X accounts we follow

Sectors