Wednesday, September 2, 2026

A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?

Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the category has reached a cyclical bottom.

SMPL $1BBRBR $1.2B

The Value Road Sep 2 22 clicks

Sep 2 DASH $96B

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

MBI Deep Dives 16 clicks

Sep 2 SGMO $71M

Sangamo Bankruptcy (SGMOQ)

Triple S Special Situations Investing 15 clicks

From X

@TimyanBankAlert May 19 1 click

Timyan Bank Alert on X

Home run merger for $PSBQ holders in sale to $BFC https://t.co/wujj6AML12

@marginofdanger May 19 1 click

marginofdanger on X

I don't know if I fully agree with that. $CBBI trades at 0.4x for two reasons: 1) OTC listing and 2) no buyback. If there was a company sponsored buyback, it would probably trade at 0.6-0.7x and therefore the buybacks would be less accretive. Also if you look at my numbers you'll see that the projected share price in the non-buyback scenario is $16.16 in five years plus $2.50 in dividends vs. $19.10 in the buyback scenario. Pretty close. If you're a short-term holder, you want the buyback to re-rate this to 0.6-0.7x. If you want to long-term compound, it's not clear the buyback is that much better to me.

@ToffCap May 19 1 click

ToffCap on X

$EVC might perhaps be your bias test of the year peeps. https://t.co/4CCScxnYUs

@marginofdanger May 19 1 click

marginofdanger on X

$CBBI followers- the tables below show two scenarios assuming a sale in 5 years at 100% of TBV: 1) Investor reinvests the .50/yr dividend into more shares 2) CBBI suspends dividend and instead does a share repurchase The analysis shows that the results are roughly the same (BEFORE TAXES). The point here is to show that if you reinvest your dividend you can somewhat replicate the economics of a buyback. One assumption that is likely optimistic in the company buyback scenario is that they'd continue to be able to buy back at 0.4x TBV. If you tinker with that, the buyback is less valuable. cc: @mwphnh

@TimyanBankAlert May 19 1 click

Timyan Bank Alert on X

Every bank should have a Chair like Charles Alan Williams of $NPB ⁦@NorthpointeBank⁩ https://t.co/WJNBIgvvAZ

@ToffCap May 19 2 clicks

ToffCap on X

What happened to Fitlife $FTLF ? https://t.co/d53wz8HS64

@mavix_leon May 18 1 click

mavix on X

Here it finally is! The BoD of Evolution $EVO has resolved on a EUR 2 billion share buyback program that will commence immediaely. https://t.co/I0bozM6WA2

@LittleOwlRes May 18 1 click

Little Owl Research on X

Either someone knows something the rest of us are oblivious to… or they’re playing Russian roulette. Tomorrow’s report should be interesting $LUXE https://t.co/al4P94Brcy

Reddit: Rapid Earnings Growth With Room For An AI Expansion

Reddit's advertising automation, proprietary data and Reddit Max are driving rapid revenue growth and margin expansion, while AI licensing…

RDDT $30B

Krzysztof Bogdanski Sep 2 6 clicks

An ATM that starts to spit out cash

Andrada Mining’s Uis ore sorter targets higher tin grades and lower unit costs after FY26 operating cash flow reached £4.7 million, but…

ATMTF $185M

The Oak Bloke Sep 2 13 clicks

Tectonic Therapeutic: Competitor Data Strengthens The TX45 Bull Case

Tectonic Therapeutic's TX45 CpcPH-HFpEF program gains support from Merck's CADENCE data; Phase 1b hemodynamics and cash through Q1 2029 set…

TECX $601M

Equity Eagle Sep 2 4 clicks

EVC Update

EVC reported a solid second quarter and outlook.

EVC $782M

Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter Sep 1 25 clicks

$LMB: Limbach missed the data center boom. Is that the opportunity? | 1 Main Capital

Limbach's EBITDA fell 30% as organic revenue declined, but 1 Main Capital calls the weakness temporary and views CYMCOR as its first…

LMB $591M

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 1 19 clicks

The Bid Shading Threat to Amazon Advertising

Amazon’s $69 billion advertising business faces an FTC lawsuit over alleged bid shading, threatening a revenue stream that grew roughly…

AMZN $2.8T

MBI Deep Dives Sep 1 14 clicks

GoPro sold itself at 9:20 AM to get ahead of a meme stock

GoPro rushed out its Starman Optical merger after Markiplier-driven buying sent GPRO up roughly 90% premarket, offering shareholders $1.14…

GPRO $256M

Yet Another Value Blog Sep 1 13 clicks

[WAY – Waystar] Healthcare is a very complicated invoice

Waystar sells revenue-cycle software for a US claims process where roughly 18% of submitted claims are initially denied and healthcare…

WAY $4.8B

scuttleblurb Aug 31 15 clicks

Emerge Commerce ($ECOM.V) FINS Review

Emerge Commerce's $44 million COVID-era acquisitions produced losses and impairments, while modestly improved Q2 liquidity leaves its…

EMCMF $10M

Wolf's Substack Aug 30 18 clicks

FTRE 2026-08-30

Fortrea Holdings: The Turnaround Is Showing Up In Earnings Before Revenue

Fortrea’s adjusted EBITDA rose 24% in H1 as cost cuts outpaced a 3.4% revenue decline, while new business awards increased 19%.

FTRE $1.7B

Manimala Misra Aug 30 5 clicks

Veeva 2Q’26: “SaaSpocalypse” Cancelled

Veeva beat its $905 million revenue guide with $928 million, up 17.6%, while subscription growth accelerated and GAAP EBIT margin reached…

VEEV $46B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 29 20 clicks

Microsoft ($MSFT) - Deep Dive

Microsoft’s AI data-center buildout lifted annual CapEx from $5.5 billion in FY2014 to $115.9 billion in FY2026, resetting free-cash-flow…

MSFT $3.8T

Bearhold Research Aug 29 18 clicks

BE 2026-08-29

Bloom Energy: 5 Links That Cannot Break

Bloom Energy’s 80x forward earnings valuation relies on concentrated megaprojects, sustained AI data-center power demand and continued…

BE $64B

Valuation Rewind Aug 29 6 clicks

NTG Clarity Networks ($NCI.V) FINS Review

NTG Clarity’s $18.6M of Q2 service revenue sat in contract assets, while $4.6M cash burn cut cash to $2.85M and raises liquidity concerns.

NYWKF $17M

Wolf's Substack Aug 28 17 clicks

Meta Buys Away its Distraction at Minimal Cost

Meta’s $18 billion teen-addiction settlement makes $5.3 billion contingent on YouTube and TikTok adopting matching restrictions, while…

META $1.6TRBLX $31B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 28 15 clicks

MU 2026-08-28

SK Hynix: Higher Revenue Than Micron, Cheaper Than Micron (Initiating Buy)

SK Hynix posted record quarterly revenue of 79.32 trillion won and a 76% operating margin, while trading below Micron on forward sales and…

MU $1.1T

Prakhar Agarwal, CFA Aug 28 6 clicks

Making sense of Sandisk’s long-term financial model

Sandisk’s FY28-FY30 model relies on long-term NAND agreements holding near-80% gross-margin floors despite pricing 26-28% below current…

SNDK $227B

Bristlemoon Capital Aug 28 19 clicks

CMCSA 2026-08-28

After A Decade Of Underperformance, Comcast Is Finally Ready To Rebound

Comcast's mobile growth, Verizon roaming agreement, NBCUniversal content and theme parks are positioned to offset broadband competition…

CMCSA $95B

Max Greve Aug 28 3 clicks

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…

UWMC $2.4BCCOI $511M

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 27 26 clicks

The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)

Verra Mobility renewed Hertz tolling management for five years. AutoKinex lets rental customers buy tolling, fuel and protection products…

VRRM $638M

The Oak Bloke Aug 27 12 clicks

Wednesday, September 2, 2026

A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

Sangamo Bankruptcy (SGMOQ)

From X

Timyan Bank Alert on X

marginofdanger on X

ToffCap on X

marginofdanger on X

Timyan Bank Alert on X

ToffCap on X

mavix on X

Little Owl Research on X

Investor Letters

Reddit: Rapid Earnings Growth With Room For An AI Expansion

An ATM that starts to spit out cash

Tectonic Therapeutic: Competitor Data Strengthens The TX45 Bull Case

EVC Update

$LMB: Limbach missed the data center boom. Is that the opportunity? | 1 Main Capital

The Bid Shading Threat to Amazon Advertising

GoPro sold itself at 9:20 AM to get ahead of a meme stock

[WAY – Waystar] Healthcare is a very complicated invoice

Emerge Commerce ($ECOM.V) FINS Review

Fortrea Holdings: The Turnaround Is Showing Up In Earnings Before Revenue

Veeva 2Q’26: “SaaSpocalypse” Cancelled

Microsoft ($MSFT) - Deep Dive

Bloom Energy: 5 Links That Cannot Break

NTG Clarity Networks ($NCI.V) FINS Review

Meta Buys Away its Distraction at Minimal Cost

SK Hynix: Higher Revenue Than Micron, Cheaper Than Micron (Initiating Buy)

Making sense of Sandisk’s long-term financial model

After A Decade Of Underperformance, Comcast Is Finally Ready To Rebound

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)

Publications we follow

YouTube 4

Blogs 11

Seeking Alpha 12 of 105

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Sectors

Wednesday, September 2, 2026

Timyan Bank Alert on X

marginofdanger on X

ToffCap on X

marginofdanger on X

Timyan Bank Alert on X

ToffCap on X

mavix on X

Little Owl Research on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 53

YouTube 4

Blogs 11

Seeking Alpha 12 of 105

X accounts we follow

Sectors