Wednesday, September 2, 2026

A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?

Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the category has reached a cyclical bottom.

SMPL $1BBRBR $1.2B

The Value Road Sep 2 22 clicks

Sep 2 DASH $96B

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

MBI Deep Dives 16 clicks

Sep 1 EVC $782M

EVC Update

Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter 25 clicks

From X

@BrokenMoats Jul 1 1 click

Broken Moats on X

$DVA not sure exactly whats behind the over 100% gain in shares this year, But at current levels near $230 a share the stock is almost 27x next years numbers (including net debt/per share basis). CMS initial rate for next year came in well below expectations at 1.1% (and while it can be moved higher that I still a considerable headwind). DVA still sits as one of the most negatively exposed to GLP1s and that should be a structural headwind that eats at volumes incrementally each year into the future Valuation and performance spread against their other public peer $FMS opened up significantly again (diverged at key points in recent years) -- FMS traded off 6% (after being weak for months) on the CMS announcement last week. DVA maybe because of the Buffett influence on float (high 40s% ownership) has traded very odd in recent years, but tends to ignore all news then violently reprice on earnings.

@mavix_leon Jul 1 2 clicks

mavix on X

Portfolio end of July '26: Centrotec $CEV.HM Toyokumo $4058 Evolution $EVO Leatt $LEAT BioRem $BRM.V Secunet Security Networks $YSN -undisclosed- Lindbergh $LDB.MI Shelly $SLYG Enogia $ALENO ErreDue $RDUE Circle Group $CIRC.MI -undisclosed- -undisclosed- Sold: $TRT.L https://t.co/uosmAMwiTH https://t.co/ZCsmkvYuTS

@mavix_leon Jul 1 1 click

mavix on X

I just published my Portfolio Update for June 2026. It includes: ▫️My current portfolio & position sizes ▫️Reasons why I sold Transense $TRT.L ▫️Earnings Updates: $TRT.L ▫️Recent news & Information about $SLYG, $CIRC.MI, -undisclosed- https://t.co/GQhcUJBwCS

@Seawolfcap Jun 30 3 clicks

Porter Collins on X

@MidwestHedgie @lurker8679 @PhilMickelson $PCT is certainly still a show me story. Both companies have certainly had terrible capital raises.

@BrokenMoats Jun 30

Broken Moats on X

CFO change and rapid insider selling at $CACC ....could not begin to understand why the stock is up 20% in the past two weeks and nearly 50% ytd. Tougher float dynamics then you would want to see for a short but sure is tempting up here

@mavix_leon Jun 30 2 clicks

mavix on X

Shelly Group $SLYG sees growing importance of intelligent building automation amid increasing summer heatwaves. Intelligent control of cooling, shading and energy consumption is becoming increasingly important. •Shelly sees attractive long-term growth opportunities. https://t.co/WmjPiUUf1Y

@RagingVentures Jun 29 1 click

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Bought a bunch of $CMCSA on this fade back to around $25. While it will take around a year to breakup the business (and they don’t plan to buyback stock during this time), separating media/theme parks from cable should be very accretive to the valuation.

@marginofdanger Jun 26 3 clicks

marginofdanger on X

@RealJimChanos When a 40 year old analyst at Pershing has a stake in $PS worth $1 bn, not only does it tell me that $PS is overvalued, but it also confirms how horrible Ackman's judgment is in allocating such a large percentage of the firm to a well coiffed colleague without any track record.

$LMB: Limbach missed the data center boom. Is that the opportunity? | 1 Main Capital

Limbach's EBITDA fell 30% as organic revenue declined, but 1 Main Capital calls the weakness temporary and views CYMCOR as its first…

LMB $591M

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 1 19 clicks

The Bid Shading Threat to Amazon Advertising

Amazon’s $69 billion advertising business faces an FTC lawsuit over alleged bid shading, threatening a revenue stream that grew roughly…

AMZN $2.8T

MBI Deep Dives Sep 1 14 clicks

Cleveland-Cliffs: 2027 Could Be A Very Big Year

Cleveland-Cliffs' 2027 upside depends on contract resets and Stelco earnings, while management directs free cash flow to deleveraging…

CLF $7B

The Bullionaire Sep 1 2 clicks

[WAY – Waystar] Healthcare is a very complicated invoice

Waystar sells revenue-cycle software for a US claims process where roughly 18% of submitted claims are initially denied and healthcare…

WAY $4.8B

scuttleblurb Aug 31 15 clicks

Here's Why You Should Buy Genius Sports Despite Rising Leverage

Genius Sports guided for $1.005–$1.025 billion of revenue and $285–$295 million of adjusted EBITDA despite higher leverage from the Legend…

GENI $2.1B

Mayank Marwah Aug 31 5 clicks

Veeva 2Q’26: “SaaSpocalypse” Cancelled

Veeva beat its $905 million revenue guide with $928 million, up 17.6%, while subscription growth accelerated and GAAP EBIT margin reached…

VEEV $46B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 29 20 clicks

Microsoft ($MSFT) - Deep Dive

Microsoft’s AI data-center buildout lifted annual CapEx from $5.5 billion in FY2014 to $115.9 billion in FY2026, resetting free-cash-flow…

MSFT $3.8T

Bearhold Research Aug 29 18 clicks

Making sense of Sandisk’s long-term financial model

Sandisk’s FY28-FY30 model relies on long-term NAND agreements holding near-80% gross-margin floors despite pricing 26-28% below current…

SNDK $227B

Bristlemoon Capital Aug 28 19 clicks

CMCSA 2026-08-28

After A Decade Of Underperformance, Comcast Is Finally Ready To Rebound

Comcast's mobile growth, Verizon roaming agreement, NBCUniversal content and theme parks are positioned to offset broadband competition…

CMCSA $95B

Max Greve Aug 28 3 clicks

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…

UWMC $2.4BCCOI $511M

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 27 26 clicks

Meta Buys Away its Distraction at Minimal Cost

Meta’s $18 billion teen-addiction settlement makes $5.3 billion contingent on YouTube and TikTok adopting matching restrictions, while…

META $1.6TRBLX $29B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 28 15 clicks

MU 2026-08-28

SK Hynix: Higher Revenue Than Micron, Cheaper Than Micron (Initiating Buy)

SK Hynix posted record quarterly revenue of 79.32 trillion won and a 76% operating margin, while trading below Micron on forward sales and…

MU $1.1T

Prakhar Agarwal, CFA Aug 28 6 clicks

The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)

Verra Mobility renewed Hertz tolling management for five years. AutoKinex lets rental customers buy tolling, fuel and protection products…

VRRM $638M

The Oak Bloke Aug 27 12 clicks

Nvidia Climbing the Wall of Worries

Nvidia guided FY2028 revenue toward $700 billion, roughly 70% growth, while supply constraints and neocloud demand face concerns over…

NVDA $5.5T

MBI Deep Dives Aug 27 9 clicks

BHVN 2026-08-27

Biohaven: Sale Of Opakalim Rights To SK Biopharmaceuticals Makes Sense On Many Levels

Biohaven’s $795 million global opakalim licensing deal with SK Biopharmaceuticals boosts cash, lowers R&D spending and extends its funding…

BHVN $2.4B

Edmund Ingham Aug 27 5 clicks

Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade

Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.

PRGS $2.1B

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 27 7 clicks

Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question

Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.

NVDA $5.5T

MBI Deep Dives Aug 26 8 clicks

[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX

AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.

AMZN $2.8T

scuttleblurb Aug 26 9 clicks

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…

ELALF $3.4B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 20 16 clicks

BAC 2026-08-20

Bank of America Preferreds: Better Propositions Available Than Series GG

Bank of America’s BAC.PR.B yields just over 6% near par, while discounted lower-coupon series such as BAC.PR.P offer better value despite…

BAC $433B

Prakhar Agarwal, CFA Aug 20 1 click

Wednesday, September 2, 2026

A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

EVC Update

From X

Broken Moats on X

mavix on X

mavix on X

Porter Collins on X

Broken Moats on X

mavix on X

Raging Capital Ventures on X

marginofdanger on X

Investor Letters

$LMB: Limbach missed the data center boom. Is that the opportunity? | 1 Main Capital

The Bid Shading Threat to Amazon Advertising

Cleveland-Cliffs: 2027 Could Be A Very Big Year

[WAY – Waystar] Healthcare is a very complicated invoice

Here's Why You Should Buy Genius Sports Despite Rising Leverage

Veeva 2Q’26: “SaaSpocalypse” Cancelled

Microsoft ($MSFT) - Deep Dive

Making sense of Sandisk’s long-term financial model

After A Decade Of Underperformance, Comcast Is Finally Ready To Rebound

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Meta Buys Away its Distraction at Minimal Cost

SK Hynix: Higher Revenue Than Micron, Cheaper Than Micron (Initiating Buy)

The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)

Nvidia Climbing the Wall of Worries

Biohaven: Sale Of Opakalim Rights To SK Biopharmaceuticals Makes Sense On Many Levels

Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade

Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question

[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

Bank of America Preferreds: Better Propositions Available Than Series GG

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