EVC Update
EVC reported a solid second quarter and outlook.
EVC reported a solid second quarter and outlook.
$ACA Levered roll-up (4x levered) hodgepodge of low-quality cap intensive commodity businesses w struggling end-markets (sub-scale aggregates, building products, ag). Negative organic growth w unrealistic guidance. Forced to sell an asset to avoid covenant breach. 30x P/E
$DAKT Just won the massive jumbotron project for the new Titans stadium. Estimated to be $180M. Will be the largest set of displays in the NFL. Bills, Browns stadiums to be announced soon. Wouldn’t be surprised if Mitsubishi acquires them given interest in the category.
With contract disputes and litigation set to surge, I believe Burford is well positioned to benefit. Struggling firms will increasingly look to shore up capital—Many cannot afford to wait 2+ years to see the case through. $BUR
Burford’s value prop is high to these firms, and the significant supply spike puts them in a fantastic position to capitalize on the demand for cash. Additionally settlement with Argentine government seems highly likely at this point. Long $BUR
$NX 5% of COGS/ direct input costs sourced from China. Tariffs + zero pricing power, high fixed cost structure + only 30% GMs = 25-30% hit to EBIT. Add 4x leverage, declining volumes, ambitious mgmt guidance while integrating a large acquisition is a setup for a trainwreck.
$AVO calling out the fact that they have been overearning and margins reverting. “experienced normalization of our per unit avocado margins during in Q1.” Noted weak harvest anticipated in Mexcico. $CVGW will be even more adversely impacted by these factors.
$DAKT CEO departing, new high-quality CFO (temp) w very attractive secular tailwinds in digital display demand + activist involvement = increased likelihood of takeout. Optimal business for PE. Multiple logical strategics. +75% upside.
GoPro rushed out its Starman Optical merger after Markiplier-driven buying sent GPRO up roughly 90% premarket, offering shareholders $1.14…
Cleveland-Cliffs' 2027 upside depends on contract resets and Stelco earnings, while management directs free cash flow to deleveraging…
KRYS · short Krystal Biotech is a profitable commercial-stage biotech with an $8.7 billion enterprise value and one FDA-approved topical gene therapy,…
LWAY · long Lifeway Foods holds 95% market share in kefir, is growing 20% to 35%, and trades at 12 times projected 2027 earnings as its capex cycle…
YOU · short Clear Secure's Clear Plus subscription business is nearing maturity despite recent bookings strength, supporting a short thesis on YOU.
Aurora Innovation targets 200 driverless trucks by Q4 2026 and FCF breakeven in 2028; 0.6% of US combination trucks by 2030 supports 20%…
Waystar sells revenue-cycle software for a US claims process where roughly 18% of submitted claims are initially denied and healthcare…
Emerge Commerce's $44 million COVID-era acquisitions produced losses and impairments, while modestly improved Q2 liquidity leaves its…
Fortrea’s adjusted EBITDA rose 24% in H1 as cost cuts outpaced a 3.4% revenue decline, while new business awards increased 19%.
Veeva beat its $905 million revenue guide with $928 million, up 17.6%, while subscription growth accelerated and GAAP EBIT margin reached…
GRLRF · long Greenland Resources, a Canadian-listed miner valued near US$140 million, is developing the Malmbjerg molybdenum project in eastern…
COCO · short Vita Coco, COCO, is pitched short after a 45% monthly rally, arguing investors are overextrapolating coconut water category growth.
SIRI · long SiriusXM, SIRI, combines a 32% EBITDA margin with 3.6x net leverage and a 16% free-cash-flow margin despite elevated capex.
Microsoft’s Azure surpassed $100 billion in annual revenue as growth accelerated to 43%, while AI infrastructure spending compressed cloud…
Microsoft’s AI data-center buildout lifted annual CapEx from $5.5 billion in FY2014 to $115.9 billion in FY2026, resetting free-cash-flow…
Bloom Energy’s 80x forward earnings valuation relies on concentrated megaprojects, sustained AI data-center power demand and continued…
NTG Clarity’s $18.6M of Q2 service revenue sat in contract assets, while $4.6M cash burn cut cash to $2.85M and raises liquidity concerns.
Meta’s $18 billion teen-addiction settlement makes $5.3 billion contingent on YouTube and TikTok adopting matching restrictions, while…
Sandisk’s FY28-FY30 model relies on long-term NAND agreements holding near-80% gross-margin floors despite pricing 26-28% below current…
Comcast's mobile growth, Verizon roaming agreement, NBCUniversal content and theme parks are positioned to offset broadband competition…
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Every account on this site, hand-picked.
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.