[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA
Veeva targets CRM share gains from Salesforce migration delays while Falcon agentic labor expands its reach into life-sciences safety, clinical and regulatory work.
Thursday, September 3, 2026
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catechwilliams on X
$YOU sales growth in light blue, Members in orange vs QTD web traffic. Dotted section is Q4 w consensus sales and member growth. https://t.co/NcihE7pbyD
catechwilliams on X
$YOU Clear supervisor at JFK said they’ve experienced “a surge in new sign-ups from pre-Thanksgiving through the Christmas travel period.” Similarweb web traffic to their site shows a large acceleration in visits as well suggesting a potentially large Q4 earnings beat.
catechwilliams on X
$OXM Very strong holiday selling season based on credit card data & other trackers for core Tommy Bahama and Lilly Pulitzer brands w very minimal promotion or discounts vs modest consensus growth expectations. Stock at 9x EPS, will be providing prelim numbers at ICR in 2 weeks.
catechwilliams on X
$DAKT Just announced a substantial new project win. Estimated to be $25M in revenue to Daktronics. Yankees, Dodgers, Cubs are among those exploring potential upgrades for next season, all of which are exisiting customers. https://t.co/dcn6TcQNr4
catechwilliams on X
$CVGW Just delayed earnings release and 10K filing date 1 month, changed filing status. Note the ongoing dispute w Mexican authorities for tax underpayments. That liability is nearly the size of $CVGW mkt cap. The jig may be up.
catechwilliams on X
$DAKT Another strong result: sales grew 6%, $0.27 EPS (ex non-cash convert expense) brings LTM to nearly $1.40 or 8x EPS. Don't see a lot of growing, industry leaders w strong FCF profiles at that multiple. No banks cover it, that will change soon. CFO at 2 conferences this week.
catechwilliams on X
$DKNG Basically just said at the Craig Hallum Conference they are going to miss Q4 guidance. CEO: "literally had the worst stretch of the year, the last few weeks...sometimes that happens where you issue your guidance...So we'll see."
catechwilliams on X
$DAKT Perhaps the most attractive long I’ve seen in years. Dominant \position in a category growing >20%. Major business overhaul taking hold after years of underperformance. Stock trades at 7x EPS/ 13% FCF yield due to low awareness of these structural improvements (see below)..
Investor Letters
All letters- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.4BSUSRF $272M
- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 064850 $152M082920 $925M
- Protean Funds July 2026 DVYSR $98MEVGGF $17B
- Royce Investment Partners year-to-date period ended 6/30/26 BLBD $2BMMS $3B
- Alluvial Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ZEG $5.2BDGXX $375M
- Hayden Capital Q2 2026 AMZN $2.7TGOOGL $4T
- Intrepid Capital 2Q26 GOOGL $4T
ENS · short Enersys
EnerSys faces a short thesis as data-center and warehouse vehicle customers shift from lead-acid batteries to lithium-ion.
CDNL · short Cardinal Infrastru Group INC
Cardinal Infrastructure Group faces an IPO lockup expiration amid stretched valuation and reported metrics, with an Up-C structure…
A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?
Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the…
Chevron Stock Is A Bargain Amid Venezuela Deal
Chevron committed $7 billion to expand Venezuelan output as record U.S. production and elevated oil prices lifted Q2 earnings.
Bay Area Ideas 6 clicks
Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future
DoorDash’s delivery economics rely on customer tips and flexible labor, while rising courier costs make autonomous delivery central to…
IREN's Customers Are Starting To Fund The Build
IREN’s AI contracts now include customer prepayments covering 45% to 55% of GPU CapEx, while three-year pricing has risen 125% since…
Quantryon Capital 11 clicks
Sangamo Bankruptcy (SGMOQ)
Sangamo Therapeutics’ Chapter 11 asset sales leave common equity tied to $100 million in PTC Fabry therapy approval milestones and a…
Amazon $AMZN: The Company That Became Impossible to Ignore — and Finally Possible to Model
Amazon reported $200.6 billion in quarterly revenue and $27.5 billion in operating income as AWS grew 36.7% and advertising 26%, making its…
An ATM that starts to spit out cash
Andrada Mining’s Uis ore sorter targets higher tin grades and lower unit costs after FY26 operating cash flow reached £4.7 million, but…
Tectonic Therapeutic: Competitor Data Strengthens The TX45 Bull Case
Tectonic Therapeutic's TX45 CpcPH-HFpEF program gains support from Merck's CADENCE data; Phase 1b hemodynamics and cash through Q1 2029 set…
Equity Eagle 4 clicks
QTWO · long Q2 Holdings INC (qtwo)
Q2 Holdings sells banking software to more than 1,200 financial institutions and 27.8 million registered users, after selling off with…
OKLO · short Oklo INC
Oklo is framed as a portfolio basket short and a concept company that could become a compounding short.
LULU · long Lululemon Athletica INC
Lululemon Athletica, a high-end women’s sportswear retailer, is presented as a long investment.
EVC Update
EVC reported a solid second quarter and outlook.
$LMB: Limbach missed the data center boom. Is that the opportunity? | 1 Main Capital
Limbach's EBITDA fell 30% as organic revenue declined, but 1 Main Capital calls the weakness temporary and views CYMCOR as its first…
MDA Space: Houston, We Have a New Position
MDA Space is added to the Aurelion Index after hiring engineers, signing large contracts and expanding facilities; the thesis cites…
The Bid Shading Threat to Amazon Advertising
Amazon’s $69 billion advertising business faces an FTC lawsuit over alleged bid shading, threatening a revenue stream that grew roughly…
GoPro sold itself at 9:20 AM to get ahead of a meme stock
GoPro rushed out its Starman Optical merger after Markiplier-driven buying sent GPRO up roughly 90% premarket, offering shareholders $1.14…
[WAY – Waystar] Healthcare is a very complicated invoice
Waystar sells revenue-cycle software for a US claims process where roughly 18% of submitted claims are initially denied and healthcare…
Here's Why You Should Buy Genius Sports Despite Rising Leverage
Genius Sports guided for $1.005–$1.025 billion of revenue and $285–$295 million of adjusted EBITDA despite higher leverage from the Legend…
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