Monday, August 31, 2026

[WAY – Waystar] Healthcare is a very complicated invoice

Waystar sells revenue-cycle software for a US claims process where roughly 18% of submitted claims are initially denied and healthcare administration consumes 15% to 25% of spending.

WAY $4.8B

scuttleblurb Aug 31 15 clicks

Aug 30 EMCMF $10M

Emerge Commerce ($ECOM.V) FINS Review

Wolf's Substack 18 clicks

Aug 29 VEEV $46B

Veeva 2Q’26: “SaaSpocalypse” Cancelled

MBI Deep Dives 20 clicks

From X

@catechwilliams Feb 28 4 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$FTDR Vol declining (existing home sales=driver). Pricing lagging inflation, massively over-earning. Problematic given 25% churn w aggressive new entrants. Dubious company overall. Investor day yesterday was comical, compared themselves to $NFLX. Earnings misses coming.

@catechwilliams Feb 12 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$AVO $CVGW 1) Retailers $CMG, etc sourcing elsewhere given MX tariff risk. 2) Avocado price spike during last year’s peak harvest season enabled distributors to realize outsized margins. 1-time benefit has reversed, significant earnings misses ahead for these commodity businesses

@catechwilliams Feb 11

catechwilliams on X

$NX Outlandishly guiding to flat 2025 sales, customers and channel -DD. Commodity window and door components facing pricing pressure from larger customers ($JELD, $OC). Now levered 4x, trading at a premium to higher value-add building products peers. Guide cut inevitable.

@catechwilliams Feb 5

catechwilliams on X

$J Beat earnings yesterday. Holding back detailed guidance for Investor Day (2/18)—likely raise ’25 #s, 4-year financial targets w significant upside on margins ($ACM and other peers +15% EBITDA margins). Record backlog and multi-year growth runway.

@catechwilliams Dec 19

catechwilliams on X

$NX Rapidly declining levered (4x) commodity biz. Q1’25 guide -12% sales, mgmt hoping for 2H’25 recovery. End-mkts deteriorating ($OC -20% Q4 guide, $JELD), customer losses, internal controls issues, integrating a large acq, 0 prior M&A experience. +30x P/E on best case 2025 #s

@catechwilliams Nov 26 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$CVGW Mexico tariffs likely a negotiating tactic but if enacted would be catastrophic for $CVGW which sources >90% of its avocados from MX. A 25% premium would render MX avocados uncompetitive, drive sourcing of the commodity to South American producers. $CVGW has 0 SA presence.

@catechwilliams Nov 15 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$CVGW. Another red flag. CFO departing after just 2 years w CEO's old buddy as replacement. Massively over-earnings w volumes continuing to decline from lost customers and margins reverting lower.

@catechwilliams Nov 13 2 clicks

catechwilliams on X

@StockJabber Thank you. As a read on $PLUS Q3 is tracking in October, $CSCO just reported -23% sales in networking (products account for ~50% of $PLUS revenue) for the Oct quarter-end. Further confirmation that PLUS Q3 is going to be ugly and no turnaround in sight.

Microsoft ($MSFT) - Deep Dive

Microsoft’s AI data-center buildout lifted annual CapEx from $5.5 billion in FY2014 to $115.9 billion in FY2026, resetting free-cash-flow…

MSFT $3.8T

Bearhold Research Aug 29 18 clicks

NTG Clarity Networks ($NCI.V) FINS Review

NTG Clarity’s $18.6M of Q2 service revenue sat in contract assets, while $4.6M cash burn cut cash to $2.85M and raises liquidity concerns.

NYWKF $17M

Wolf's Substack Aug 28 17 clicks

Meta Buys Away its Distraction at Minimal Cost

Meta’s $18 billion teen-addiction settlement makes $5.3 billion contingent on YouTube and TikTok adopting matching restrictions, while…

META $1.6TRBLX $31B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 28 15 clicks

MU 2026-08-28

SK Hynix: Higher Revenue Than Micron, Cheaper Than Micron (Initiating Buy)

SK Hynix posted record quarterly revenue of 79.32 trillion won and a 76% operating margin, while trading below Micron on forward sales and…

MU $1.1T

Prakhar Agarwal, CFA Aug 28 6 clicks

Making sense of Sandisk’s long-term financial model

Sandisk’s FY28-FY30 model relies on long-term NAND agreements holding near-80% gross-margin floors despite pricing 26-28% below current…

SNDK $227B

Bristlemoon Capital Aug 28 19 clicks

CMCSA 2026-08-28

After A Decade Of Underperformance, Comcast Is Finally Ready To Rebound

Comcast's mobile growth, Verizon roaming agreement, NBCUniversal content and theme parks are positioned to offset broadband competition…

CMCSA $95B

Max Greve Aug 28 4 clicks

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…

UWMC $2.4BCCOI $511M

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 27 26 clicks

The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)

Verra Mobility renewed Hertz tolling management for five years. AutoKinex lets rental customers buy tolling, fuel and protection products…

VRRM $594M

The Oak Bloke Aug 27 12 clicks

Nvidia Climbing the Wall of Worries

Nvidia guided FY2028 revenue toward $700 billion, roughly 70% growth, while supply constraints and neocloud demand face concerns over…

NVDA $5.5T

MBI Deep Dives Aug 27 9 clicks

BHVN 2026-08-27

Biohaven: Sale Of Opakalim Rights To SK Biopharmaceuticals Makes Sense On Many Levels

Biohaven’s $795 million global opakalim licensing deal with SK Biopharmaceuticals boosts cash, lowers R&D spending and extends its funding…

BHVN $2.4B

Edmund Ingham Aug 27 5 clicks

Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade

Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.

DOMO $185MPRGS $2.1B

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 27 7 clicks

Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question

Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.

NVDA $5.5T

MBI Deep Dives Aug 26 8 clicks

[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX

AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.

AMZN $2.8T

scuttleblurb Aug 26 9 clicks

KMI 2026-08-26

Kinder Morgan: The Consolidation Is An Opportunity Before The Next Leg Higher

Kinder Morgan raised 2026 guidance after record Q2 results, supported by a $9.6 billion backlog and growing U.S.

KMI $70B

Steven Fiorillo Aug 26 3 clicks

Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns

Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling…

AMZN $2.8T

MBI Deep Dives Aug 25 9 clicks

Atlas Engineered Products ($AEP.V) FINS Review

Atlas Engineered Products reported Q2 revenue up 19% to $16.2 million, but ended cashless on its credit line as inventory rose 47% and…

APEUF $34M

Wolf's Substack Aug 25 18 clicks

STNE 2026-08-25

StoneCo: Deep Value Hiding Behind Brazil's Rate Fears - For Now

StoneCo's buybacks and special dividend produced roughly 39% H1 shareholder yield as Brazil's rate cuts slow and competition persists.

STNE $2.3B

IWA Research Aug 25 7 clicks

Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen

Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including…

ADYEY $38B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 24 8 clicks

The Junk (Mail) Merger Arb

Star Equity’s $5 per-share Harte-Hanks acquisition offers $2.50 cash plus 0.25 STRRP per share after proration, against a $2 break price.

STRR $39MHHS $31M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 24 11 clicks

RCEL 2026-08-24

AVITA Medical: Favorable Reimbursements For Skin Wound Care

AVITA Medical’s more predictable reimbursement, RECELL GO rollout and PermeaDerm economics support adoption, with cash flow breakeven…

RCEL $346M

Myriam Alvarez Aug 24 4 clicks

[WAY – Waystar] Healthcare is a very complicated invoice

Emerge Commerce ($ECOM.V) FINS Review

Veeva 2Q’26: “SaaSpocalypse” Cancelled

From X

catechwilliams on X

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Investor Letters

Microsoft ($MSFT) - Deep Dive

NTG Clarity Networks ($NCI.V) FINS Review

Meta Buys Away its Distraction at Minimal Cost

SK Hynix: Higher Revenue Than Micron, Cheaper Than Micron (Initiating Buy)

Making sense of Sandisk’s long-term financial model

After A Decade Of Underperformance, Comcast Is Finally Ready To Rebound

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)

Nvidia Climbing the Wall of Worries

Biohaven: Sale Of Opakalim Rights To SK Biopharmaceuticals Makes Sense On Many Levels

Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade

Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question

[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX

Kinder Morgan: The Consolidation Is An Opportunity Before The Next Leg Higher

Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns

Atlas Engineered Products ($AEP.V) FINS Review

StoneCo: Deep Value Hiding Behind Brazil's Rate Fears - For Now

Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen

The Junk (Mail) Merger Arb

AVITA Medical: Favorable Reimbursements For Skin Wound Care

Publications we follow

YouTube 4

Blogs 11

Seeking Alpha 13 of 107

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Sectors

Monday, August 31, 2026

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

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catechwilliams on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 53

YouTube 4

Blogs 11

Seeking Alpha 13 of 107

X accounts we follow

Sectors