Emerge Commerce ($ECOM.V) FINS Review
Emerge Commerce's $44 million COVID-era acquisitions produced losses and impairments, while modestly improved Q2 liquidity leaves its balance sheet and capital needs under scrutiny.
Sunday, August 30, 2026
From X
Little Owl Research on X
@marginofdanger @BillAckman Additionally, $HHH as a pure play MPC is much more valuable than the sum of its parts. Though the market doesn't understand it well at the moment it will likely come to appreciate it more as it grows and produces substantial FCF. Patience is key here.
catechwilliams on X
$DTC Market awakening to strat alts noted yesterday. “We are currently undergoing a full strategic review of every key facet of our company...have engaged a leading strategic firm.” Multiple assets to sell. New CEO from $VSTO. 7x EPS, high SI. Large upside on any favorable news.
catechwilliams on X
$GMS Ray Jay Conf right now. Tracking well ahead of recent guide—new larger wins, wallboard prices +MSD last 2 wks, accel share gains, hi margin complimentary biz organically 2x in 3 yrs. 10x P/E vs peers at 15-20x (BLDR, BLD, IBP). Long runway for growth w strong balance sheet.
catechwilliams on X
$CVGW It appears DOJ and SEC are investigating for Foreign Corrupt Practices Act violations in Mexico. Could result in fines, revocation of FDA license to distribute in US. Shocking no one is considering this existential risk. https://t.co/Icgbfgjn4a
catechwilliams on X
$CART Moved forward its lock-up expiration date to 2/16 (Thursday) from the original 3/19. >65% of the shares will be eligible for sale. COO leaving, just announced a restructuring w ambitious guidance. Almost certainly did so to support the stock in advance of a secondary.
catechwilliams on X
$DAKT Est $50-70M revenue project. 4 jumbotrons, 5 ribbons + software contract for 2 stadiums. https://t.co/ANVOiAiZHn
catechwilliams on X
$CVGW Announced expanded FCPA investigation by DOJ SEC related to Mexico ops (ie. cartel dealings). Likely large fines, potentially criminal charges. Customer losses almost certain, big grocers, restaurant chains want no association. Unclear how it isn’t down >50% on this news. https://t.co/KnTFnsTbcs
catechwilliams on X
$YOU Delta just significantly expanded its Digital ID program. This service is free, more efficient than Clear and now available in Clear's core markets. Other majors will have to follow in order to compete on service. Seems like this could kill $YOU in pretty short order. https://t.co/tgfebZZCWK
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 064850 $131M082920 $890M
- Protean Funds July 2026 DVYSR $103MEVGGF $17B
- Alluvial Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ZEG $5BDGXX $372M
- Sequoia Fund First Half of 2026
- Hayden Capital Q2 2026 AMZN $2.8TGOOGL $4.1T
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 AAP $2.6BBRSL $2B
- Maran Capital Management second quarter SPCX
- Intrepid Capital 2Q 2026
BE 2026-08-29 Bloom Energy: 5 Links That Cannot Break
Valuation Rewind 5 clicks
NTG Clarity Networks ($NCI.V) FINS Review
NTG Clarity’s $18.6M of Q2 service revenue sat in contract assets, while $4.6M cash burn cut cash to $2.85M and raises liquidity concerns.
Meta Buys Away its Distraction at Minimal Cost
Meta’s $18 billion teen-addiction settlement makes $5.3 billion contingent on YouTube and TikTok adopting matching restrictions, while…
Making sense of Sandisk’s long-term financial model
Sandisk’s FY28-FY30 model relies on long-term NAND agreements holding near-80% gross-margin floors despite pricing 26-28% below current…
CMCSA 2026-08-28 After A Decade Of Underperformance, Comcast Is Finally Ready To Rebound
Max Greve 3 clicks
Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…
The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)
Verra Mobility renewed Hertz tolling management for five years. AutoKinex lets rental customers buy tolling, fuel and protection products…
Nvidia Climbing the Wall of Worries
Nvidia guided FY2028 revenue toward $700 billion, roughly 70% growth, while supply constraints and neocloud demand face concerns over…
BHVN 2026-08-27 Biohaven: Sale Of Opakalim Rights To SK Biopharmaceuticals Makes Sense On Many Levels
Edmund Ingham 5 clicks
Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question
Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.
[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX
AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.
KMI 2026-08-26 Kinder Morgan: The Consolidation Is An Opportunity Before The Next Leg Higher
Steven Fiorillo 3 clicks
Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling…
Atlas Engineered Products ($AEP.V) FINS Review
Atlas Engineered Products reported Q2 revenue up 19% to $16.2 million, but ended cashless on its credit line as inventory rose 47% and…
STNE 2026-08-25 StoneCo: Deep Value Hiding Behind Brazil's Rate Fears - For Now
IWA Research 7 clicks
Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen
Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including…
The Junk (Mail) Merger Arb
Star Equity’s $5 per-share Harte-Hanks acquisition offers $2.50 cash plus 0.25 STRRP per share after proration, against a $2 break price.
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
BAC 2026-08-20 Bank of America Preferreds: Better Propositions Available Than Series GG
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