Clark Square Capital on X
Interesting development at $GRVY https://t.co/xvjalTHgN7
Friday, August 28
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Interesting development at $GRVY https://t.co/xvjalTHgN7
@PostmodernRogue @fkon1u @DumbMoneyTV what exactly do you think is priced in? >37M launch-quarter units? >45M? >50M? what ARPU? “priced in” isn’t an argument without numbers. There is upside and downside. Been crushing $TTWO GTA trades since ’99. Always happy to compare notes.
Stilwell’s shareholder proposal for $CPBI overwhelmingly passed. I’m not the only one who found it brilliant. https://t.co/5ysX64Oj6T
On the daily chart, $SB #sugar looks like it ran too far too fast. Zoom out though and you get a better picture of exactly how far the commodity can move in an uptrend. Staying long. https://t.co/31XQLMRcCZ
Man in just 48 hours we went from the $DRAM bulls tap-dancing and high fiving on the "incredible" $160B Q/Q (it is crazy) increase in supply and purchase agreements from $NVDA to: "The memory names have held up well on a relative basis the past two days".... Two golden rules apply here: 1) The market will pick the path of the most pain 2) Karma has everyone's address so please stop with your victory laps, lectures, and bear trouncing. This game is hard and unforgiving.
I know one company that won't be sad August is coming to an end $BURL https://t.co/uOtSFz7nCf
Market already confirming this idea. $GOOG $AMZN $MSFT up since that beat. "Neoclouds" should be big winners too. I prefer to bet on the proven big, scale advantaged operators. But if the neoclouds are much cheaper per unit of compute, they could be the better risk adjusted return.
$SOXX $NVDA down since the big beat... sure looks like a news failure event. I think it'll be electricity bottlenecks that kill the AI hardware bubble. The hyperscalers controlling that bottleneck should be the biggest winner.
@Kcon2026 didn’t miss that. i was long calls going into $NVDA earnings. my comment was about other investors making outsized bets long or short based mostly on vibes.
@taobanker $LULU's quality drop was like a bit worse every year, kind of hard to notice. And then all of a sudden...
$MNTN long here. Thanks to @hedgeye for sharing this presentation and deck. https://t.co/fXrKWKpryo
NTG Clarity’s $18.6M of Q2 service revenue sat in contract assets, while $4.6M cash burn cut cash to $2.85M and raises liquidity concerns.
Meta’s $18 billion teen-addiction settlement makes $5.3 billion contingent on YouTube and TikTok adopting matching restrictions, while…
$FLR share count reduction is impressive. Another year or two at this clip could really transform the capital structure. https://t.co/H0a7syQHHb
Pending Boom in brain medicine? Can buy $STIM today and get the clinic piece for free https://t.co/D0U2Qyriyo
Well looks like I’m going to get another chance to buy PayPal $PYPL as the market losses its entire ass because the buy out fell through. Back of envelope math here is $42.6 billion EV on $6 billion of free cash flow is a 14% free cash flow yield. Not bad! Growth hogs will piss their pants and cry about how there’s little growth.
Sandisk’s FY28-FY30 model relies on long-term NAND agreements holding near-80% gross-margin floors despite pricing 26-28% below current…
There’s some concern that $FSI recently filed shelf and ATM vehicle are going to be a precursor to dilution. Well, if you believe the verbiage on the Q2 Earnings Call, they’re not👇 “is intended to remain unused unless an unusually compelling acquisition appears, reducing one potential overhang.” The CEO was pretty adamant about this. My “Spidey radar senses” put that statement at about an 85% credibility reading. We have to remember that the company has an idle pharmacy packaging asset that needs some investment to bring it up to par. I believe they had bought the asset out of a distressed asset sale.
@SkillJoyed you have any idea how much money that would’ve cost me, having capital sitting in $TTWO since $100! in ‘22?
@SiltasInvest been trading GTA releases and $TTWO since ‘99