NASDAQ
MU
66 stories
$969B Market cap · 2026-10-22
@Gubben89 Replacement cost for $MU production capacity is probably $100-150B today. Why doesn’t @elonmusk announce that he is going to spend $50-100B building DRAM/HBM in US? A pittance for $SPCX and resolves the bottleneck? Even if it takes years, it helps alleviate current price gouging?
Week of August 10 brings CPI, PPI and retail-sales data after the S&P 500 rose 3.0% and Nasdaq 4.73%; Bitcoin remains below its 200-day…
I don’t have differentiated alpha on the memory bubble debate, but one important perspective: Sell side reports projecting the memory supply/demand imbalance to peak in the next few quarters are number crunchers modeling today’s known AI use cases. The problem is AI’s biggest use cases may not exist yet. I’d rather bet on AI creating unforeseen demand than on a spreadsheet correctly predicting its known memory needs two years from now. $SNDK $MU
Various parts of the AI CAPEX trade ($MU, $SNDK, $COHR, $MRVL are down (-30%)-(-40%) in the past month, in what inning are we in for this sell-off?
Samsung, SK Hynix and Micron face an antitrust suit alleging coordinated memory supply cuts drove contract prices up 697% since late 2024…
AI semiconductor stocks sold off as Meta’s planned compute business revived overcapacity fears, sending SOXX down 13% in two sessions and…
OpenAI and Anthropic's IPO ambitions collide with AI-driven memory shortages that Apple says are forcing product price increases.
Micron's $41.5 billion fiscal Q3 revenue and 84.9% gross margin fuel a memory supercycle case, with AI-driven DRAM and NAND shortages…
How strong is the momentum factor? Maybe more than you think. This post was prompted by a data point referenced by Sebastian Page at @TRowePrice this AM on @BloombergTV. Sebastian pointed out that if you simply bought the TEN best performing stocks from the previous 12-months at the start of each month and repeated that process every month, you would have outperformed the market by 40% ANNUALLY for the past 3-years. That's stunning. Here's a visual that underscores the point. Since September 2023, the @InvescoUS S&P 500 momentum ETF ($SPMO) has outperformed the S&P 500 by 100%! That has NEVER happened before. The $SPMO is only recalibrated TWICE a year and has 100 positions, but it still has captured the momentum factor driving price action in this market. Today the $SPMO is up 3%+ in large part because of its 11% weighting in $MU. One thing is clear: these "alligator jaws" in the chart below WILL close. For now as @todd_harrison says, you don't get to trade the market you want, just the one you have....
Micron’s record Q3 revenue, margins and earnings beat estimates, with guidance for another record quarter challenging the view that memory…
If you're wondering just how unusual this year has been, here's yet another way to look at it. TWENTY THREE S&P 500 stocks have increased 100%+ this year. That's by far the highest number for at least the past FORTY years (maybe all-time). The stocks that have doubled have contributed roughly 5-6% of the overall 8% gain YTD for the S&P 500. It is highly unusual for an S&P 500 stock to double. In most years, there are at most a few stocks that double. Of course the last time we saw a surge in the number of S&P 500 stocks that doubled was in 1999..... History suggests this type of unrelenting bid will not be sustained. As you look at the list below, you'll notice the only non-AI/semis/data center stock in the S&P 500 that has doubled is $MRNA, which was down (-90%+) from its COVID19 highs. If you're looking for doubles or 10-baggers going forward, perhaps it's time to look outside of the data center trade... $SNDK $WDC $STX $MU $INTC $DELL $MRVL $FLEX $AMD $AMAT $LITE $GLW $LRCX $TER $ON $COHR $MRNA $FIX $HPE $GNRC $KLAC $Q
Micron’s $1.37 trillion valuation prices in durable HBM and AI-driven memory profits, despite Q3 guidance for $33.5 billion revenue and an…
$FIS I appreciate the ai narrative and stable coins narrative for broad payment sector names...but $FIS at current prices seems like a good Depp value opportunity. In general the rubber band seems very far stretched between the momentum names in semi capX and the ai "losers" and mega cap tech. Whether its sell the news on $MU earnings, end of quarter rebalancing etc, seems we are on the cusp of a rotation. (even if its only short lasting, should be quite volatile as we say several weeks ago). [going long Amzn, select software, fis, select med tech to play that versus short the SOXX, some derivative names like $CAT]
Question for anyone buying $MU or $SNDK or the like at these levels......how long can these stocks continue to be financed by large tech without large stocks going up in tandem? At some point if you don't buy $AMZN etc alongside $MU the math game, and incentive for large cap tech to continue to finance MU will change.....this part of the dispersion trade not only is difficult to comprehend it actually creates negative fundamentals for the semi complex if it continues to stretch. Fears of equity dilution rightfully sidelines large cap tech buying, but only a matter of time it bleeds into actual CapX if the currency to support spending stops supporting the circular spending
HBM’s economic, thermal and power costs will drive a 90% volume drop from peak within 7-10 years, while DRAM stocks remain cyclical.
This is why I don't short hype. $MU was already up +250% in 2025. Added another 200% ytd https://t.co/4h9dttAk7K
As it pops 10% on a solid quarter and guide, I find myself trying to remind the young ones that just THREE YEARS AGO, $ANF was the $MU/$SNDK of its time. Yes, it's true. The stock went up 10x in 18-months.... Now they continue to hammer away at the sharecount at a 7-10% annual rate, manage inventory levels tightly, and hope that teenagers can still find jobs this summer to buy low rise baggy jeans at #hollister
Imagine going to a cocktail party and being the only person there who doesn't own a single share of $MU You can't
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