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NYSEARCA

Invesco S&P 500® Momentum ETF

SPMO

2 stories

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PAA Research on X

Pretty violent breakdown in the $MTUM and $SPMO ETFs. As you would expect they are now memory heavy indices and won't see a reset of their holding for a while (3rd/4th week of september for both ETFs). Momentum is having a historical selloff which of course was preceded by an unprecedented run (100% outperformance for the $SPMO over the past 3-years relative to the $SPY - never happened before). The charts look awful and the 50-day moving average has been breached. Not good for momentum of the momentum....
@ActAccordingly

PAA Research on X

How strong is the momentum factor? Maybe more than you think. This post was prompted by a data point referenced by Sebastian Page at @TRowePrice this AM on @BloombergTV. Sebastian pointed out that if you simply bought the TEN best performing stocks from the previous 12-months at the start of each month and repeated that process every month, you would have outperformed the market by 40% ANNUALLY for the past 3-years. That's stunning. Here's a visual that underscores the point. Since September 2023, the @InvescoUS S&P 500 momentum ETF ($SPMO) has outperformed the S&P 500 by 100%! That has NEVER happened before. The $SPMO is only recalibrated TWICE a year and has 100 positions, but it still has captured the momentum factor driving price action in this market. Today the $SPMO is up 3%+ in large part because of its 11% weighting in $MU. One thing is clear: these "alligator jaws" in the chart below WILL close. For now as @todd_harrison says, you don't get to trade the market you want, just the one you have....

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