NASDAQ
META
218 stories
$1.6T Market cap · 2026-10-28
Irony to me at this point is that 1.) "frontier" LLMs will need to stay on the spend cycle to maintain frontier status but 2.) at the same time everything behind the frontier will get commoditized - and that will be like 99% of the applications. 3.) $META has a big advantage on consumer agentic bc they can scale it via their consumer app monopolies 4.) Here's where everyone might disagree but $SNAP actually is a more strategic asset thus.
Broadcom’s AI semiconductor revenue rose 221% year over year, reaching roughly 80% of $21 billion in Q3 Semiconductor Solutions sales as…
Just surfacing this one to demonstrate we are not and never were $snap absolutists. We will go long and short and when facts and circumstances change our opinion changes too. And NO - Specs will not be a mass market hit this holiday season. Too expensive and awk form. But here's the bull case from here: 1. FCF/Share is the metric mgmt now focused on. By definition that requires fresh cost and SBC discipline. 16% hc reduction and flat share count already in place. $500mn in opex savings about to flow through. 2. Ads biz stable enough. 9% growth in Q2. Guide implies so decel. But ad checks stable vs Q2. Decent enough. Some progress on ad tech. Only needs 5% growth next year to hit our numbs. 3. Sub biz $1.2B rr, growing 85%. Needs 50% growth next year to hit numbs. 25mn paid subs, still well below penetration threshold of 7-12%. 4. Specs tech is real. 7k+ patents. Real use cases. What's that worth? $META or $MSFT or $AMZN could buy Specs for the patents alone and pay $2B and it would be nothing to them but all the call optionality which could incubate until form factor is mass market. 5. Lets just say Specs is worth $2B to a strategic buyer or partner. That implies $snap 7.5B or $4.5/ share. In this scenario then FCF/share at SNAP goes to over $1/share, easily. So 4.5x FCF on a business still growing revenue mid teens. @evanspiegel Specs are cool. But can't keep spending $500mn a year on them. Bring in a minority investor please and lets make SNAP stock great again. @IrenicCap
4/X The Prime Power Endgame: Backup power is just the wedge. The prize is prime power. SemiAnalysis recently flagged $META and Anthropic deploying 300–500MW sites using 21.9L gas engines— the exact spec $PSIX supplies. As Weichai pushes its larger 12M55 and 20M55 gas engines through North American UL certification, $PSIX becomes the domestic vessel for low-cost, off-grid power generation.
Full disclosure: Have closed out the Kimi idea to concentrate LLM exposure in what we think is the most mispriced remaining proxy on the list: $META. The fact that someone could have identified the potential in any of these LLMs, yet still lost money investing in nearly all of them over the last few months shows how difficult the game is for secondary market investors. And as capital flows into the sector increase, the game will not be getting any easier from here.
@BlueDuckCap Long TF outta $META 🚀
Man - imagine if $meta is the one who comes out on top here. They certainly have that potential. If nothing else, Zuck does appear to be thinking about the opportunity and risks and even implications for humanity in a measured and rational way. Other CEOs should take notes. https://t.co/kf207XRCXR
$META is hilarious https://t.co/w6bXHnzhCV
*META INTRODUCES META ONE SUBSCRIPTION SERVICE While I like META, wherever your estimates are at for # of $META users to start paying for a META subscription for social media and expanded AI features, they’re probably too high https://t.co/pBGGaYcKix
*META TO ROLL OUT NEXT-GENERATION ASTRID CHIPS AT END OF 2027 $META says the Astrid chips will save money and energy compared to $NVDA chips But okay NVDA's gross margins will stay at 80% forever https://t.co/mKQgc7MZ2b
Meta’s AI-driven advertising gains face a $279 billion infrastructure bill, making capital efficiency and post-2028 free-cash-flow…
Delta Analyst 
Meta’s Muse strategy targets the consumer internet through a Trojan-horse product.
Meta Platforms’ Muse agent could shift monetization from ad impressions to transaction commissions, while automating campaign creation for…
“No one should be allowed to try and build better AI models than us” - Dario probably How come you never hear $META or $GOOG researchers crying wolf about the imminent dangers of AI? Or any open-sourced AI company? It’s seemingly always just Anthropic and OpenAI https://t.co/9UdFguBdPY
“No one should be allowed to try and build better AI models than us” - Dario probably How come you never hear $META or $GOOG researchers crying wolf about the imminent dangers of AI? Or any open-sourced AI company? It’s always just Anthropic and OpenAI, which don’t have nearly the cashflow to support their operations like Meta or Alphabet or Alibaba. Let AI defend against AI, not regulation
TSOH weekly roundup covers Meta’s child-safety settlement, Markel’s leadership transition, Peloton’s gym strategy and an upcoming Alarm.com…
Sure $META Muse is good. Really good even. I had it go through my entire email last night and unsubscribe me from dozens of promotions and it only used around 10% of the free token budget But Instinct is also really good and didn’t need to pay Alex Wang a billion dollars to get there. And what happens when $GOOG releases their version? Being the first mover isn’t much of an advantage anymore. Nonetheless Meta Connect will be exciting to see in 2 weeks and expectations are very high for Watermelon
Increasingly do tasks for us. The barriers to product development lowering making marketing the differentiator. Add on to this general economic growth driven by the AI boom. My current ways of expressing this in decreasing size order are $PUB.pa, $RDDT, $META, $SAX.de. $AMZN is
Meta’s Muse personal agent connects multiple Gmail accounts, automates recurring tasks and offers free usage capped at 100 million weekly…
Meta’s free model strategy lifted OpenCode token share from 25% to 40%, building coding-data feedback loops and reducing reliance on…
OpenAI's potential failure could expose the US economy's growing dependence on AI capital spending, according to Steve Eisman.
Open weight model to Nvidia ls kerosene lamp to Standard Oil. Free access to models = more demand for underlying infra. What's better is $NVDA can make this Lamp tailored and optimized for Nvidia stack such that users have to pick: Free model + $NVDA stack or Expensive model + Non-NVDA stack. The question is more about if $NVDA can deliver frontier open weight models or not. I am still a bit skeptical about it because it takes an elite dedicated team to do that and $META learned that hard lesson. And it also requires visionary mgt directly leading the elite team which $GOOG and $MSFT failed, while $SPCX realized it and back up again.
I'm long a bit of $META. The ads business is just so absurdly good right now. At current valuation I'm willing to put up with the AI infra exposure that I'm not super excited about.
Meta Platforms’ 7.1% long bonds set a high return hurdle for equity as user growth nears saturation and the stock trades at 6.5 times sales.
Tariq Dennison 2 clicksLetters that discuss META.
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