Laughing Water Capital on X
@darkstarsats 7/x $NN) happy to have flaws in my logic exposed, but the real point is that the nuance is such that making declarative statements without working through the logic chain is IMHO not additive to the debate.
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Laughing Water Capital on X
@darkstarsats 6/x $NN) thus, as you agreed, mid-band is more valuable if it has low-band to support it. Thus, the FCC is incentivized to support $NN, which we know they are doing b/c they issued a draft NPRM, which is admittedly stuck in OIRA review. For now.
Laughing Water Capital on X
@darkstarsats 5/x $NN) This is what customers actually care about. You can get around this by building more towers and hanging more radios and using midband for control, but that is less efficient and more expensive.
Laughing Water Capital on X
@darkstarsats 4/x $NN) Low band carries the control signal that a tells a phone what to do. When to transmit data. When to switch towers etc. B/c low band travels farther than mid band, low band is needed to stitch together the network and make sure calls are not dropped / garbled etc.
Laughing Water Capital on X
@darkstarsats 3/x $NN) so while you are calling $NN's 15 MHz of low a "small slice" in reality it is not much smaller than what $T bought, and it could be multiples of what they have AVAILABLE
Laughing Water Capital on X
@darkstarsats 2/x $NN) This why $T bought 20 mhz of low band from $ECHO. $VZ and $TMUS have more subs than $T and about the same amount of low band. Logically, $VZ and $TMUS must also be dealing with low band congestion.
Laughing Water Capital on X
@darkstarsats 1/x $NN) you note that carriers "control" ~50 mhz of low-band each. respectfully, "control" is clearly not the relevant variable. how much they have AVAILALBLE is what matters. $T commented that they were capacity constrained on low band.
Laughing Water Capital on X
To get max $$ from C Band FCC needs more low band. This is bc low band carries the control signal that tells a phone how to actually operate (when to burst packets & switch towers etc). C Band w/o low band support just isnt as valuable. This is part of why the FCC supports $NN. https://t.co/tIgJPCHheP
kab60 on X
It's always weird when analysts don't address the elephant in the room - you'd think things were going splendid at $CHTR and they were running with net cash: https://t.co/NPBWGrKxuQ
CCOI · long Cogent Communications Hldgs
Cogent Communications (CCOI) is presented as a long investment idea, revisiting prior bull cases from 2022 and 2025.
Trevor Scott on X
@KoyfinCharts $CHTR buybacks
Maj Soueidan on X
Absolutely right. And here’s why I like the CEO of $RFIL. He’s not touting “hypescalers” in his major TAM. He thinks some benefit will partly arise from the need for edge solutions because of data centers. He’s very quick to say that the opportunities are big in other areas. In my interview with him at the @MSmicrocaps 2026 virtual, I made sure to ask him how penetrated the telecom DAC opportunity was. He said barely. Will be interesting to fact check that, but that means the opportunity is pretty big and wide open. Back on the subject of data centers, I’m also hearing that modular data centers are finally gaining momentum. So, even though RFIL would not have a solution for hyperscalers, I’d presume they can have some presence in the modular business.
Maj Soueidan on X
This thread on $RFIL should help you understand their turnaround journey. It’s not really a data center cooling play. It’s much more: •Diversification of legacy telecom biz, so it’s less cyclical •Cooling solution at the edge for anything that houses electronics & components https://t.co/hj0TNHzR1P
A Capital on X
Working with Belarus? Interesting. $KYIV https://t.co/VnIEmBNVjw
Negligible Capital on X
$TMUS, $VZ, $T, teleco's continuing underperformance today after getting sold hard last week. GS last week blamed Instinct and Muse for the selloff given their ability to negotiate and cancel bills: "While US telcos traded down (TMUS -5.5%; AT&T-2% & VZ -3%) on concerns on X chatter around Meta’s Muse and rival AI agent Instinct has focused on their new ability to make outbound calls to U.S. businesses, including negotiating phone and cable bills on behalf of users. This could become a risk for telcos because AI agents can wait on hold, escalate with support teams, switch users to cheaper plans, remove add-ons and claim credits at scale—potentially increasing pressure on ARPU, retention economics and customer-service costs. The same risk applies to European names as these AI assistant role out. But its NOT just telcos as other industries could also face pressure -industries most at risk are those with recurring bills, negotiable pricing, confusing add-ons, high churn incentives and customer-service friction—including cable/broadband, insurance, utilities, banks/credit cards, subscriptions, travel, healthcare billing, retail returns, auto leasing and gyms. If AI agents can persistently call, wait on hold, compare offers, cancel services, claim credits and renegotiate terms on behalf of customers, companies that rely on inertia or under-claimed discounts could face higher retention discounts, lower add-on revenue, more support volume and weaker pricing power. PS – have been using Instinct for a week of so – its pretty impressive once you get past the hesitance of giving access to parts of your life (not brave enough on a bank account) – book restaurants, tennis courts, highlight must read emails – its also picks up inaccuracies of emails and sources what is inaccurate." - GS Sean Johnstone
MSI · long Motorola Solutions INC
Motorola Solutions’ core value proposition remains intact after business changes since 2022, supporting a growth-at-a-reasonable-price…
A Capital on X
$KYIV < $13 is a gift if Jared and Trump are going to push a Russia-Ukraine deal through, especially before the midterms. The equity is basically an option on normalization. It’s a great company, it just trades with a massive “Ukraine discount.”
kab60 on X
$CCOI DAVE HAS SOMETHING TO SELL https://t.co/Spe7p6acF3
Anterix: The Spectrum Case Is Real, But The Chart And The Insiders Say Wait
Anterix’s 900 MHz spectrum could be worth $2.5–$7 billion, versus a $1.41 billion enterprise value, but insider selling and lumpy…
The Market Auditor 2 clicksRaging Capital Ventures on X
But if returns on capital are declining for everyone, the choice is whether to eat or to be eaten? $T is willing to subsidize fiber as a loss leader to protect their wireless margins. $CHTR / $CMCSA are likewise willing to give away wireless to protect their broadband margins… which comes back to the question: which is stickier, your phone or broadband line? I think $CMCSA works because of the spin unlock and sheer strength of their balance sheet. $CHTR is a very long dated call option with more risk, but much more upside if broadband losses attenuate and/or they allocate capital intelligently (although $CHTR’s balance sheet is more levered, there is tremendous optionality in its duration, cost and structure).
Trevor Scott on X
@patientinvestor $CHTR too! ;)
BDC on X
Wow - kinda nailed the need for cellular partner except the partner is VZ, not $SPCX. Good, regardless. $SNAP https://t.co/SaiRhAUmRr
BDC on X
Good luck today Evan. Ultimately, a home run partnership could be made with $SPCX. Give XAI distribution on SNAP, replacing Perplexity. Offer a bundled Spec's price with Starlink cellular connections. Specs will need direct cellular connections to truly become untethered to Wifi/Phone so as to maximize the human connection without reliance on the other two. Make Specs a potential phone replacement even - not a total replacement as everyone still needs a phone - but give people the ability to go out and about with just their Specs and have all the functionality needed to go about modern life. SPCX has the spectrum needed to make this work.
Raging Capital Ventures on X
@BigIdeasCapital I agree with the logic and own both $CHTR and $CMCSA, but what if cell phones are stickier than broadband lines? $T’s fiber “loss leader” offering might be more attractive than cable’s cheap wireless service?
