Raging Capital Ventures on X
OpenAI’s CFO Sarah Friar also on a media tour spreading the good cheer… bullish $ORCL https://t.co/oymK8c7nVc
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812 articles about companies over $10B
OpenAI’s CFO Sarah Friar also on a media tour spreading the good cheer… bullish $ORCL https://t.co/oymK8c7nVc
Sam Altman sounded a lot more at ease about his revenue ramp and was even bullish about his compute commitments (even saying they may have been too conservative) in this podcast. Given that he has been relatively quiet on the podcast circuit over the past year, I view this as a positive tell on OpenAI/$ORCL. https://t.co/yezInyb9XB
$MSFT print and call is the best thing that could have happened to the AI infra trade at this panic stage. Solid growth across the board with key KPI acceleration (Azure). At the same time, opex to grow slower than revenues, capex $ down due to accounting change (higher useful life estimate) but actual demand for "compute" up a bunch. Still generating FCF on back of accelerating OCF to over 30%+. AI bulls should be thanking $MSFT rn.
$MSFT is showing us how to have your AI cake and eat it too. Zuck should take notes
...."but we might not take the offer bc we have all these reasons to use the compute internally even though we missed ad revs" (basically) $meta https://t.co/ozJ63qcFIL
Thanks again to @realsteveeisman for having me on his podcast again. It's always fun chopping it up with Steve. We talked about a lot of things: the ever shifting dynamics of the residential real estate market ($Z/$ZG, $COMP $RKT, $CSGP etc.), structural problems in for-profit education (it's not just AI), and why I'm short $GOOG among other things. You can listen to the episode here! https://t.co/PdhE7ro93h
Majority of EPS growth is in tech. Rest of the market EPS growth is tepid. $QQQ imploding, $RSP ripped. Sustainable?
Well would you look at that. $COLO $EWY https://t.co/fIuPhTl9TI
Oil up 7.5% and $EXPE continues its squeeze because it's simply the opposite end of the ai trade? How long can these on/off trades define every stock in the market? Crazy
Friendly reminder that $MRK is well positioned and well incentivized to purchase $LQDA. Yutrepia fits very well with Merck's respiratory portfolio. https://t.co/JAdLguTw7D
Like $GLW, I wish margins/ROIC were higher and capital intensity were lower at $AMKR. Yet, with the stock now back around $46 (largely flat YTD and cut in half from its highs), the Amkor setup now seems pretty good over the next 3-4 years due to their scale, new capacity investments, and the increasing importance of advanced packaging capabilities.
Bloom Energy posted $1.065 billion in Q2 revenue, up 165.5%, as AI data-center demand lifted margins, operating income and full-year…
Despite my past skepticism, $GLW around its current $125 per share ($110 b cap) actually seems fairly compelling given the company’s scale, leading market position, and multi-year growth ramp.
@SowingAlphaSeed Of the US indexes, my personal holdings are now most correlated to $dia. Weird world.
Alphabet’s $132 billion AI capex produced an estimated 49% post-tax incremental ROIC once only in-service assets are counted, versus a…
Dispersion trade creating opportunities of fundamentals not matching price: $FDS now higher than the before SaaS (apocalypse) took off. Hard to argue they are not one of the most disrupted names across data services / software $PAYC $PCTY $WDAY - same challenges across software names and pricing / seat pressures. These names also face heavy increased competition from Rippling $EXPE - Hotels going direct has already started and OTAs should see supply pressure and take rate pressure $RNG - Does anyone legitimately believe they're an AI play? Agents don't need calls, don't need phones, and you don't need RNG to provide those agents - especially as every sb and up software provider and crm/erp Many others across software but also in financials, industrials and consumer
DoorDash built a last-mile logistics network around restaurant delivery, then extended it to groceries, convenience, and other local…
DoorDash positions itself as infrastructure for local commerce.
CME Group trades at 21.7 times trailing earnings versus a 25.1 times 12-month average, despite near-record futures volume and 94%…
I pitched $ORCL at $285 as a short last October at my conference. Now at $120 think it is intriguing as a long… https://t.co/8QB7O3VSoH
@retaox The $CHTR broadband offering is much more competitively priced today due to tech upgrades, limited pricing increases in recent years, aggressive retention incentives, and investments into the video/wireless bundle.
Shorted a bunch of $AAPL and bought puts over last few days. Seems very overbought (was it a funding short?) and at a good level to find resistance. Edge AI models should ultimately be good for $AAPL, but company still has grossly mismanaged the AI opp and memory is a headwind.
The capex spend is mind boggling, but I held my nose and bought $META today around $590-600 I don’t how the AI bet will shake out, but I do know that… - $META Reels is sucking up engagement share from everyone, even $NFLX - $GOOG search refers are in free fall, which should benefit $META’s ad network - Zuck is the best owner-operator in the business who is willing to pivot if necessary - There are tremendous AI cost efficiency opps in core $META operations (Note: I have a long and fruitful history with $META and my family members still own their shares going back to 2013, knock on wood)
I’m now very bullish on $CMCSA as well. In my view, Peacock/NBCU/theme parks are likely worth around the current market cap alone. Importantly, Peacock / NBC are now competitively advantaged in sports media thanks to a superior combination of reach with their NBC broadcast network and their scaled streaming platform. Comcast Cable is struggling, but they have frontloaded a lot of pain; wireless and the bundle is a growth engine; and the balance sheet is actually a strength (not a weakness). Plus, the 6% dividend pays you to wait for the spin in 2027.