Conor Maguire | Value Situations on X
After being quiet on X for some time, I'm pleased to return to public posting to highlight our thesis on $PRKS 👇 https://t.co/vjzhqA7Mx1
Sector
Travel & Leisure
Everything our editor has picked under this sector, best first.
199 stories
Core Memory
Airbnb Experiences faces a supply bottleneck from manual approvals, while a farm host raised her price from $15 to $25 after stronger…
Trip.com (TCOM US)
Trip.com dominates China’s online travel market with over 50% share and has grown international platform traffic from 1 million monthly…
Churchill Downs: Doubling Down
Churchill Downs is selling regional casinos to focus on horse racing and historical racing machines, where Exacta software and racetrack…
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al’s wartime near-monopoly has produced net cash, owned aircraft and a 2x EBITDA valuation, while regulatory obligations, customer float…
PTLO 2026-08-20 Portillo's: Guidance Cut Confirms It's Cheap For A Reason
Portillo's guidance cut followed a 1.2% same-restaurant-sales decline and 1.9% margin compression, while its $343 million TRA liability…
KC Research 2 clicks
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
Airbnb Model Update (2026)
Airbnb shares have risen about 50% since October 2025, prompting a revised 2026 model and return assumptions at the current price.
Ian Bezek on X
Corporacion America Airports $CAAP announces a 91 cent dividend, nearly a 4% yield on today's stock price, and 40% yield-on-cost for people that bought in 2020. The top complaint about CAAP had been it didn't pay a dividend, so that it is now resolved. ✈️
The Airbnb Blueprint
Airbnb’s Q3 guidance implies 17% TTM GBV growth, while World Cup-driven North American strength may create a difficult Q2 FY27 comparison.
HRBR · long Harbor Diversified INC
Harbor Diversified trades at about $0.65 per $1.00 of cash, with at least $150 million in cash as its sole asset.
Ian Bezek on X
@WaterworldCapi1 $jets Bad industry, oil might go up again, consumer spending may roll over, and the new "capacity discipline" is more lucky accident than strategic. Somebody, probably $aal will start dumping capacity on routes again and margins back to zero
Ian Bezek on X
@shortbus_ace @akeemcap @QuietProsperity Sheinbaum doesn't leave office until 2030 so that's a reasonable bet, though maybe you get clipped in 2029 once the pre-election hope cycle starts up. Underlying EBITDA will grow 12-15%/year like usual (faster at $ASR with the M&A) so stocks can still work in the interim.
Colin King on X
Mean reversion idea: $DIS super simple idea here… High quality business (parks, cruises, broadcast network, movies, ESPN, Disney+) Trading at a 25% discount to median earnings multiple while earnings recovery progressing nicely
Airbnb 2Q'26: Widening the Gap with Booking
Airbnb added 14 million booked nights and seats, up 10%, and guided low-double-digit third-quarter growth as North America and EMEA…
[scuttleslops] BKNG, ABNB, SHOP, LPX, TREX, XYZ
Booking Holdings beat Q2 guidance as room nights grew 5%; connected trips, merchant payments and Genius loyalty strengthened direct…
DoorDash 2Q'26: Growth Beyond the Restaurant
DoorDash’s 2Q 2026 orders rose 27% and marketplace GOV grew 36%, with DashPass driving a slight acceleration in U.S. restaurant demand.
Grab Q2'2026 Business Update - Preparing for AV
Grab reported 54 million monthly transacting users, up 16.7%, and $168 million of adjusted EBITDA, while autonomous driving threatens its…
Trading Post August 5, 2026 - One Buy, One Sale, One Reason
Flutter cut forecasts after U.S. gambling EBITDA fell 70% to $119 million, with prediction markets pressuring FanDuel as leverage rises to…
PAA Research on X
$WYNN shares are trading at January 2007 levels despite significant EBITDA growth. The stock has been rangebound for 7-8 years. Valuation compression has been monumental. We all miss Steve talking about his Lagoon and other matters. Perhaps the opening of the Al Marjan casino in about 13-months will be the catalyst for a massive breakout. I think they've set an extremely low bar for that property.
RSI · long Rush Street Interactive INC
Rush Street Interactive (RSI) is presented as a long investment idea.
Earnings Week in the Graveyard
Empire State Realty Trust cut Observatory NOI guidance to $55 million from $87 to $92 million after Q2 NOI fell roughly 50%, reducing Core…
Broken Moats on X
Oil up 7.5% and $EXPE continues its squeeze because it's simply the opposite end of the ai trade? How long can these on/off trades define every stock in the market? Crazy
