Charles Frischer on X
$NN While there have been delays in approval, the value of the spectrum continues to rise everyday. NN owns a valuable asset and shareholders should likely be very happy at the end of the process.
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Charles Frischer on X
$NN The FCC yesterday issued an NPRM to allow Part 15 devices to use the 900 Mhz band in space. Capstone claims this is bad news for NN. I think this is actually great news for NN. The FCC is looking to have an active 900 MHz band, including the NN spectrum.
Charles Frischer on X
$NN I suggest folks read the NPRM. It provides the same protections to Part 15 as they already have for terrestrial spectrum, no more, no less. NN is absolutely confident through the testing done to date that we don't create harmful interference. And we won't with satellite uses.
Charles Frischer on X
@sScCrRaAbBLLeE @snack8812 $NN Dell, I am still long and strong on NN. Clearly I wish we had made the blog this week, but I think we are still a priority of the FCC. Based upon what I know right now, I think we should be on the blog in the next month or two. I agree it has taken longer than we would like.
BDC on X
$NFLX incremental margins are 28%, down from 36% in Q1. Tech spend up 22%. Fastest growth in that opex line in many quarters. Incremental margins will improve in 2h, but beyond that, with more live events (expensive sports rights) and investment in short-form, on top of the usual long form scripted, I think there's risk to the pace of operating leverage going forward and thus investors will have less confidence in what has historically been a solid margin expansion story.
PAA Research on X
Various parts of the AI CAPEX trade ($MU, $SNDK, $COHR, $MRVL are down (-30%)-(-40%) in the past month, in what inning are we in for this sell-off?
Broken Moats on X
Exceptional idiosyncratic short opportunities emerging from the on/off semi trade that is largely indiscriminately moving the markets and sectors each day. (been long opportunities that emerged too) Private credit exposed names have ripped off financial sector rotation and likely some short squeeze in heavily exposed names - names like $FG $MET $MFC (continue to tout these until their exposure is recognized by the market) Software - each name needs to be looked at on its own accord, the broad software is dead or alive from ai does not work. Big rally across the board has left more disrupted names like $PCTY and $PAYC up for the year now. Plenty of others that look good to build sort positions against (especially if you have long software/dats service provider exposure) Dispersion past quarter should set up some very interesting opportunities that should have to stand on their own fundamentals when earnings come
ASML 2Q'26: Time to Flex Pricing Power
ASML’s 2Q’26 commentary signals a shift from measured pricing toward flexing its chip-equipment pricing power.
PAA Research on X
Alpha where you least expect it... Over the past 3-months the FURNITURE space has delivered monster upside relative to the indices. Many of these legacy companies have pristine balance sheets, generate cash, and continue to modestly grow their order books despite the ongoing weakness in housing. These stocks in some cases were trading at close to zero EV ($BSET, $ETD) when including their real estate holdings. They remain cheap and have tons of earnings leverage to a housing upturn. 3-month returns: $BSET 47.7% $BOBS 30.8% $HOFT 17.5% $WSM 17.2% $LZB 14.7% $HVT 13.3% $SPX 6.4%
Ian Bezek on X
@Merridew__ $SOXL down 52% $KORU down 69% Nature is healing.
[scuttleslops] CDNS, SNPS, TREX, WISE, Class I Rails, China
Synopsys and Cadence retain EDA pricing power through entrenched design flows, foundry relationships and high switching costs; AI-driven…
Ian Bezek on X
@VolteFaceInvest $CBL is even more egregious than $SPG. At least SPG has the best tier of malls.
Thoughts on PayPal Buyout Offer
PayPal faces a $60.50-per-share buyout offer from Stripe and Advent, with a rejection or counteroffer above $80 viewed as more likely.
BDC on X
I remember the days when these 4 stocks going up by this much meant the $SPY was +2% on the day (at least). Says a lot. https://t.co/aLdbQlfL7W
PAA Research on X
Pretty violent breakdown in the $MTUM and $SPMO ETFs. As you would expect they are now memory heavy indices and won't see a reset of their holding for a while (3rd/4th week of september for both ETFs). Momentum is having a historical selloff which of course was preceded by an unprecedented run (100% outperformance for the $SPMO over the past 3-years relative to the $SPY - never happened before). The charts look awful and the 50-day moving average has been breached. Not good for momentum of the momentum....
Ian Bezek on X
@b20220803 @OddStats $soxl dropped 90% during the 2024-25 dip. This one will be worse.
Rebound Watchlist: July 2026
Rebound Capital's July 2026 watchlist puts AeroVironment and Coinbase under review after UnitedHealth rose more than 70% from its low.
Broken Moats on X
Someone really going to need to explain how Stripe buying $PYPL is also bullish for $XYZ? Venmo now gets unlimited funding, a direct consumer facing application for the biggest player in payments, and the optionality of their checkout/pos business if they want to scale and invest aggressively their for that (like pushing their stable coin initiative that would be well received by retailers). Would think the correct framework for this deal is it is net negative the entire payment space as a new entrant has new pathways to compete and disrupt ($TOST, $STNE $FOUR etc included)
Airbnb’s Cost of Market Creation and Regulatory Survival
Airbnb spent 1.1% of 2025 GBV on field operations and policy as regulatory costs persisted; New York’s short-term-rental crackdown cut…
$CBZ: stop the buybacks and restart the M&A flywheel? | Reference Equity
CBIZ activist Ryan Bunn urges ending buybacks, issuing equity and resuming bolt-on acquisitions to delever after the $2.3 billion Marcum…
Laughing Water Capital on X
@thecontracap also worth noting that if $ANAB loses, maybe the stock goes down but future cash flows do not. Plan B is prob just sell the royalty stream, which is why the former CFO of $RPRX was added to the BOD 4 months ago. Heads win a ton. Tails you don't lose (if you can handle the vol)
PAA Research on X
In light of this blow up at $PNR, it's kind of remarkable to me that $HAYW hasn't cracked at any point in the past 3-years. The stock trades in this slowly ascending channel between $12 and $16. Maybe that changes. I recognize it's a business people "want to own", but it's held a healthy multiple for a long time.
New Position: Volatility Merchant
A digital market-infrastructure platform dominant in rates and expanding in credit trades at 22 times free cash flow, with 45%+ FCF margins…
Timyan Bank Alert on X
Big banks get second-quarter rocket fuel from SpaceX IPO $JPM $GS $BAC https://t.co/9HCoab65LR
