Airbnb 2Q'26: Widening the Gap with Booking
Airbnb added 14 million booked nights and seats, up 10%, and guided low-double-digit third-quarter growth as North America and EMEA…
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Airbnb added 14 million booked nights and seats, up 10%, and guided low-double-digit third-quarter growth as North America and EMEA…
Strategy ($MSTR) has $15bn of preferreds, all yielding 10%+ Here's a quick summary of the situation > ~$22bn of debt + preferred vs. ~$54bn of BTC > Current interest/dividend obligation is now $1.75bn+ per year > $6bn+ of converts (1st tranche putable beginning in '27); all busted > Saylor beginning to sell $BTC and has a $4bn USD reserve which funds 2+ years of fixed obligations > Most junior preferred, $STRD, trading at 64 cents / 15.8% > Most senior preferred, $STRF, trading at 96 cents / 10.6% Is there a relative value trade here? My thoughts below
Kurian laid out the GCP margin expansion playbook a few years ago $GOOGL https://t.co/bsk7XfK4Ym
The problem for $SNDK here is more setup than fundamentals. Longs were and are not playing for beats and inline guidance. They are in it for juice. The LTAs smooth out the revenues and mitigate the cycle severity (positive) but also take away a lot of the juice (negative) and its a name owned for juice.
Booking Holdings beat Q2 guidance as room nights grew 5%; connected trips, merchant payments and Genius loyalty strengthened direct…
I don't know what people expected for the $RKT print and guide. Always puts and takes, but this was a solid print in this environment. $UWMC just went through the windshield and my guess is that $RKT has some share gains to be had there. Gain on sale in the Pro channel was tight in the quarter so perhaps that reflects some of that.
DoorDash’s 2Q 2026 orders rose 27% and marketplace GOV grew 36%, with DashPass driving a slight acceleration in U.S. restaurant demand.
@Tintincapital @29374736ahshsv @flippyfloppy52 @smurfkonto1 Ha, no worries. There were some real concerns around resource nationalism in Chile recently, especially with $SQM so that's understandable.
Megachips Corp 6875.T looking interesting given the +30% move on $SITM after earnings+forecast. Megachips owns more than its marketcap worth of SITM. (no debt, net cash). They've done some real buybacks recently too! Core biz is meh. Megachips is about ~¥140bn mcap.
@puppyeh1 It’s dumb to buyback $SNDK stock. Dividends a good idea, or even better just sit on the cash for the next 18 months and see how things develop.
Coupang’s product-commerce revenue rose 8% in constant currency as data-leak churn lingered, while promotions and underused logistics…
Spotify reached 300 million Premium subscribers in 2Q26 and is increasing free-service friction in emerging markets to lift conversion and…
Mark Barrocas: “Q2 was a blowout quarter for SharkNinja. We delivered our 13th consecutive quarter of double-digit net sales growth. And we didn't just sustain our pace, we accelerated to over 22% growth year-over-year. This is our fastest growth rate since Q4 2024.” $SN https://t.co/IPqHNlNfKJ
ESPN remains a disaster for $DIS https://t.co/IHc4sav9Et
Genius Sports’ $1.2 billion Legend acquisition adds direct bettor monetization, while its exclusive NFL data rights could supply prediction…
FICO's fiscal third-quarter 2026 revenue rose 26% year over year but missed consensus, and shares fell about 24% after earnings.
Big gap higher pre-mkt for $W. Furniture names in general have been ripping the past 3-months. QUIETLY. 4+ years of brutal housing market headwinds and these businesses have been grinding away, generating cash, buying back stock, preserving margins. Easy comps + the potential of an upturn in housing velocity make it a good recipe for longs with valuations that remain notably cheap relative to mid-cycle EBITDA. Look at some of these 3-month returns: $BOBS: 64.8% $W: 35.8% $BSET: 34.1% $WSM: 33.2% $HOFT: 21.4% $LZB: 18.5% $ETD 12.2% There's plenty of juice in the group with a sustained upturn in home furnishings spend after the post-COVID19 crash. $WSM is on our Buyback Outliers list. I own $BSET, $ETD, $BBBY
Good numbers from Broadridge $BR. Stock was stupid cheap a few weeks ago, hit 14x trailing eps for a capital light monopoly
Interesting look at who made money on $BSP's take out of #airtable. Some people didn't do great here, but a return of funds is always better than nothing in VC land. I'd love to see the original deck on Airtable from 2013 and what this business has morphed into.... https://t.co/D5PMxk25bF
@pradeeepk $AMD + ASICs will eat $NVDA margins
Finally got a chance to go through the $UMG earnings... Obviously, a disappointment on revenue growth and margins, which saw the stock drop like 20%. Subscription revenue was 6.7% organically, and the street was looking for >9%. So, a big miss. Still, I think things should improve. Apple, Spotify, Amazon, and YouTube music have all raised prices this year, and a portion of that will go to UMG. CFO Matt Ellis said on the call that these prices and "better market share to start the third quarter" make them "cautiously optimistic" (really sticking his neck out there!!) that growth will improve in H2 of 2026. Interestingly, Warner Music $WMG managed to grow revenue 12% in CC and adjusted OIBDA by 24%, so clearly this is a UMG-only problem, at least for this quarter. $UMG trades at 14x earnings on a NTM basis now... this seems pretty reasonable if not downright cheap for a company that has grown EBIT from EUR 1b in 2019 to around 2b today (11% organic EBITDA CAGR). We own this through Bollore, which currently has an NAV of just above 11 EUR by my calculation vs a last price of under 4 EUR. Notably, JPM thinks new AI tiers in Spotify and Apple Music will drive ARPU growth of 300 bps per year. Their price target was 48 EUR prior to the recent earnings release...
Meta’s adjusted LTM ROIC is in the mid-50s after excluding $80 billion of construction in progress; that capacity will lower returns as AI…
It's not THAT clear Citadel made a good bet. Probably good. But it could be losing. Three buckets: 1. Citadel brand buying the block creates a lot of buyers short term, letting them get out. A counter to this is: how many other funds/players blew up at the same time, with how much more stock still needing to be sold at any price by brokers? And redemptions. 2. The $SOXX drop was mostly just technical and will keep going up again after this. In which case Citadel will kill it. 3. The $SOXX drop was on real fundamentals, like the market knows the trade is over. In that case, Citadel stands to get slaughtered if the move continues down. Nobody really knows. Memory seems very questionable, though. I follow $TSM well and that seems merely fairly priced here, not a screamin' buy. $NVDA seems hard today, with all this chatter of competing chips / AI getting so powerful the software moat seems like probable junk in a few years.
Semrush found that Reddit citations collapsed in ChatGPT through 2025. And in AI responses in general. Different reasons have been proffered, but I for one am glad SEO spam and human-generated nonsense is being weighted less $RDDT https://t.co/J1qIjVsvlO