Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.
@lindenstcapital $NN In the last 12 OIRA actions at the FCC, it looks like approval was received the same day as the blog was posted in 6 cases. Tomorrow is still possible. We will find out by around 2:30 PM on Wednesday. If not, April 28th is only 21 days away.
@lindenstcapital $NN Shares were lower today on 1.7 million in volume. Investors were concerned that OIRA hasn't approved the NPRM as of today. Also, airline groups filed objection based upon interference. I still think we have a reasonable chance for tomorrow and if not, then April 28th.
@MLedrappier @CalgaryLeveen No doubt a sale of Globalstar to Amazon or SpaceX would be great news for $NN. Especially at the valuations being cited. I am long a small position in $GSAT. This would be an incredible day for NN. Validates spectrum valuations
@Nishtu Excellent point. I should have added this objection as another item which spooked investors. Overall, $NN has seen solid bipartisan report due to the strong need for alternative GPS. This is a national concern and non-partisan issue to most. People understand this is important.
$GPGI Stagnating credit card manufacturer (fka CompoSecure). Levered up 4x to acquire commodity plastic injection molding company Husky. Last month CEO departed, this week CEO and CFO of Husky left. Now rudderless with very ambitious guidance almost certain to get revised lower.
$ANDG. Resurrected Arthur Andersen of Enron fame. Provides small business valuation and tax services—being disintermediated by AI, highly competitive. Ironically reported a material weakness in internal controls. Aggressive growth and valuation. Multiple other red flags.
@cfrischer1 validation of what $NN CFO Tim Gray said at Seaport a few weeks back: https://t.co/OT4MFWbPxQ
$NN https://t.co/q3EOINP0pt
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.
AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling…
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…
Higher rates threaten equity multiples and AI data-center economics, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital…
Royal Gold, a $19 billion precious-metals royalty and streaming company, benefits from mine production without operating mines directly.
Chemours (CC) is presented as a long investment in its three-segment specialty chemicals business.
Hilton Grand Vacations faces an inflection point in profitability growth and free cash flow generation.
Nexi, continental Europe’s largest merchant acquirer, is presented as a long investment using normalized EPS and EBIT that exclude…
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