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Friday, September 25

Friday, September 25, 2026

Everything we published on this day.

61 stories — the front page that day →

The Week That Was

Long Treasury yields hit 2007 highs after a weak $70 billion five-year auction, even as the Nasdaq set records and Meta detailed its Muse…

META $1.6TQCOM $180B
CV's Substack

Is The Bond Market Running On Empty?

U.S. Treasury yields are testing credit and equity markets, while the discussion also targets recent changes at Glass House (GLAS).

GLAS $229M
WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 1 click
@calvinblissett

Calvin Blissett on X

$BBGI

Reddit: DCF Valuation

Reddit’s DCF values shares at $225, driven by international ARPU expansion from $2.2 to $8.3 by 2035 and 38% operating margins.

RDDT $18B
Hated Moats 5 clicks
@RagingVentures 1 click

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Caught a nice move in $META as they have executed nicely on Muse. However, I’m curious to see Muse’s retention stats. Muse’s agentic capabilities still seem like a bit of a novelty to me, and sometimes more of a hassle to use than a value-add. $META has also aggressively re-targeted me with ads on my feed based on my Muse activity. While impressive from a business monetization point of view, it makes me leery to connect my email and other sensitive accounts.

Updates

FGPR remains on track, PRTH's management buyout is set at $8.05, and microcap RAVE is described as cheap.

FGPR $210MPRTH $649M
Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter 9 clicks
@KEDM_COM

KEDM.com on X

Turtle Creek tripled its shares in Colliers $CIGI, its largest detractor of 2026, taking it from a below-average weight to a top-five holding after a near-50% fall. It blames multiple compression rather than earnings, and the AI-disruption trade rather than the business: brokers still meet clients about office space, and human engineers still visit buildings and construction sites. Founder-CEO Jay Hennick, already a 12%+ owner, bought over $55m of stock on the open market during the decline.
@leevalueroach 1 click

Lee Roach on X

$EVC

The Agents Revolt

Meta’s Muse reached 2.8 million downloads in two weeks, using AI agents to automate insurance shopping and erode customer inertia that…

META $1.6T
Net Interest 3 clicks
@RagingVentures 1 click

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Along with our great guest speakers (outlined below), our Ideas & Networking Conference next Thursday, October 1st in NYC will feature a few investment ideas from yours truly. Over the years, we’ve highlighted some good ones, including: 2023 — $EFXT below $6, now $23+; $FPH below $3, now $4.65 2024 — Alphawave Semiconductor, subsequently acquired by $QCOM at a 70% premium; $MRAM below $6, now $18; $WBD below $9, now $30 2025 — Short $ORCL at $285 Plus, many more ideas along the way. We’re down to just a handful of seats for next week. Click below to register:
@BillAckman 1 click

Bill Ackman on X

The Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. ($HHH) 2026 Shareholder Meeting will take place next Wednesday September 30th at The Auditorium at 787 Seventh Ave in New York City. At the meeting, among other topics, we will discuss how we intend to accelerate the transformation of HHH to an insurance holding company by dramatically reducing the capital intensity of our Howard Hughes Communities real estate subsidiary, freeing up capital to be invested in Vantage, our insurance subsidiary. HHH CEO David O'Reilly, Ryan Israel CIO, Marc Grandisson Executive Chairman of Vantage, and I will make a presentation and address audience Q&A. Advanced registration for the meeting is required with priority given to HHH stockholders. To register, visit:
@convequity 1 click

Convequity on X

We’ve been mega-bullish on $PLTR since late 2020. We expected it to come out on top of our SaaS Survival Scorecard. It did. Most software will sit under someone else’s AI window. Palantir is one of the few that can reasonably be that window — the place where work, decisions, and data meet. The edge is breadth plus depth. Breadth: hundreds of kinds of operational work on one substrate, not one app. Depth: it reaches down into the source data layer. A lot of the records still live in old ERP and CRM systems. Palantir doesn’t have to own those databases. It normalizes the mess, puts a shared map on top — objects, relationships, allowed actions — and that map becomes the ground truth. Think of SAP and Salesforce as the ground floor. Palantir is floor 1: where the business actually runs. That creates data gravity and speed. Once decisions live on floor 1, going around Palantir is the hard path. One thing that is not a proven Palantir product yet is refining models on the customer’s own missions — post-training and reinforcement learning on their data, with the customer keeping the weights. That is the NVIDIA Nemotron work. Until recently it was a partnership. Two weeks ago at AIPCon 11, NVIDIA showed it live in its own supply chain. That’s the first public install. Not a general customer rollout. A few months ago the stock was subdued even after strong results, on the fear that model labs would expand into Palantir’s territory. A working Nemotron collaboration takes some of that risk off the table. The risk now is different: Nemotron has to become a frontier-quality model. If it does, Palantir is the best — and probably the only — company positioned to deliver true sovereignty over enterprise intelligence. If it isn’t smart enough, post-training and RL on Palantir’s stack may still not be good enough for enterprises. Watch two windows for Nemotron progress. The nearer one is Q3 earnings commentary — Palantir usually reports that quarter in early November. Management may say more there. The other is the next AIPCon, Palantir’s customer case-study day, roughly every quarter - possibly early December. That’s where live customer proof will show up.