Lennar: Berkshire Owns 12%, And The Stock Trades At 0.83x Book
Lennar trades at 0.83 times book as Berkshire Hathaway builds a 12% stake, despite mortgage-rate pressure and a 15.8% Q3 gross margin.
Tim Travis Sector
Housing
Everything our editor has picked under this sector, best first.
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Tim Travis A Capital on X
@thecontracap What about FinTwit favorite $SNDA?
Capitol Federal Financial: Margin Expansion Supports The Bull Case
Capitol Federal Financial's 2.31% net interest margin and $23.6 million Q3 profit support its shift toward higher-yield commercial lending,…
Growth Stock Hunter kab60 on X
Would've been too easy, so I didn't buy. I prefer complicated roll-ups with excessive debt. Just hitching the wagon to a pair of founders who've compounded >17% for decades - below TBV and obvious catalyst NTM - would've been too easy. $LEGH https://t.co/Mg34NbtYsw https://t.co/Pirp5B179e
Asif Suria on X
That last line almost reads like a rallying cry to short sellers. No position but have been watching the founder/CEO fight his way back into the top role. Beyond company specific issues, this has been a tough space over the last year for $BETR, $OPEN, $Z and $CSGP https://t.co/lchEnZBDAh https://t.co/w0fwIoF1Vs
Weyerhaeuser: The Stock Prices Its Forest Below What Buyers Pay For The Acres
Weyerhaeuser trades below recent timberland transaction values, while adjusted FAD covers only 59% of its $0.84 base dividend.
Tim Travis 1 clickCalvin Blissett on X
$FSBW: Bought Pacific West Bank in August for 30m. Exp +7.5% EPS growth in 2027 due to this. PWBK has a 92% deposit mix NOT CDs. (attractive b/c lower cost). First Bancorp a bit cyclical due to home lending, consistent double digit ROE, conservative way to play eventual housing rebound. The problem was not that Pacific West had no franchise. It had a recognizable Portland commercial-banking niche, a relatively attractive deposit base, and specialized relationships with SMBs, nonprofits, professional-services businesses and digital partners. The problem was scale. Management acknowledged that Pacific West's size and market position made both organic and strategic growth difficult, while the cost and complexity of running a regulated community bank had risen materially after 2008 and 2020.
EXCLUSIVE: Lennar’s Big New Customer Is Its Own Spinoff, Millrose
Lennar is selling homes to former spinoff Millrose, whose revenue largely comes from Lennar and whose largest voting shareholder is…
Hunterbrook on X
Based on Hunterbrook Media’s reporting, at the time of publication Hunterbrook Capital is short $MRP, short $LEN, and long a basket of comparable securities. Positions may change at any time. This article is not investment advice or any recommendation. See full disclosures below.
Hunterbrook on X
Lennar is struggling to sell houses. So it found a buyer it knows well: Millrose, the REIT it spun off last year. We identified 700+ homes, roughly $200 million, sold to Millrose in about a month. $LEN $MRP https://t.co/CDD6NZ5Y2i
Calvin Blissett on X
@bull_moose26 @ConsensusGurus I'm saying to the GSEs, if there isn't differentiated pricing grid they don't need to use $FICO to sell $10m worth of loans to save say $300k due to pricing grids, its just parity now. No large incentive from that angle
Neighborhood Intelligence Is Starting To Look Like A Mess
Neighborhood Intelligence, NXH, faces a cash shortfall after failed and restructured acquisitions, as losses and limited financing options…
Vince Martin 1 clickCalvin Blissett on X
@_Housing_Guy_ Structural deficit in houses will need to balance eventually. Cycle will cycle eventually (rates, inflation economy ect). Company won’t go bankrupt and will chug along until then. Transition to capital light $NVR model not fully priced in.
Calvin Blissett on X
AI think it is more a question of pricing (LLPA grid) for a $FICO scored loan than predictive power and has been for some time. A FICO loan and a VS loan do not command the same price by mortgage buyers, resulting in absurd amounts of money left on the table for sellers of securitized mortgages, and a much higher mortgage for individual buyers
Single Stock Spotlight #15: Rocket Companies (RKT)
Rocket Companies combines Redfin, Rocket Mortgage and Mr. Cooper into an end-to-end homeownership platform, adding mortgage servicing fees…
Barbarian Capital on X
KB Home Cuts Margin Outlook as Housing Conditions Worsen $KBH https://t.co/OA4utledZC
INVH · long Invitation Homes INC
Invitation Homes owns more than 85,000 homes valued at $43 to $48 per share, versus a roughly $30 share price, with occupancy above 96%.
CPT · long Camden Property Trust
Camden Property Trust owns multifamily properties across the U.S. Southeast and Southwest.
Calvin Blissett on X
Nobert Lou crushed it on $NVR in the late 90s, his writeups under Charlie479 on VIC are mandatory reading. You will be a better investor after reading this and gain valuable mental models to overlay on interesting real life examples. Norbert invested in Burlington Northern before Buffett. Joel Greenblatt gave him money. His investment in Brahma profiled here is legendary and similar to Buffett with Coke. I lastly loved his mental models on TGS Nopec https://t.co/OZorTJIv9W
catechwilliams on X
$JELD 12x levered facing insurmountable near-term debt maturities. Engaged advisors to sell assets to stem insolvency. Longshot odds given accelerating deterioration in end-markets and rising input costs. Setting up for a Q4 bankruptcy.
Red Dog Capital on X
@breadcrumbsre $FERG is already what $QXO wants to be! $QXO…raise tons of equity at inflated values (while Brad buys stock for peanuts). Buy companies in auctions at high prices. Pitch magical synergies to double EBITDA to raise more equity at high valuation….profit?
SG on X
@scottfelsenthal thanks - bought $MRP a few months ago
A Capital on X
@Fwenen $QXO vs. $XHB 🤷♂️ https://t.co/ueiuutNvlX
Pool Corporation: A Rising Dividend At A Bargain Price
Pool Corporation trades at a claimed 33.8% discount to fair value, supported by a 64% recurring-revenue base, buybacks and a rising…
Mark Bern, CFA 4 clicks