Adam D. Wyden on X
$DRVN So, $VVV will generate $130 mm FCF on a 4.2bn cap in '27 and $DRVN will generate $285 mm FCF (our estimate) in 27 and is a 2.2bn cap. Please explain?
Sector
Automotive
Everything our editor has picked under this sector, best first.
182 stories
GM 2026-08-27 General Motors: The Billion Mile Moat
General Motors trades at 8.2 times forward earnings as it targets $25 billion of software revenue by 2030 through OnStar, Super Cruise and…
Muhammad Cheema SG on X
@DeepSailCapital $FFAI deserves consideration for that title. Pivot from EV to crypto to web3 to AI to humanoid robots to.....
Broken Moats on X
Deliveries from a teetering on insolvency Lucid is the savior for $UBER? ill take the under 0, 100 or 500 lucid AVs for Uber will not change the incumbency problem for UBER. They will now have to share the market of ride share, and ultimately last mile delivery that they currently dominate with Waymo, Tesla, Zoom (Amazon) in addition to many other players. These are well financed players that can use their mobility solution as part of a broader consumer bundle (not uberone, but incorporated into Prime). Removing the cost of drivers in the equation will dramatically lower the cost and likely the gross profit dollars available to Uber in a now hyper competitive market with companies that dwarf their capital base to run them out with subsidies, bundling and marketing (the same tactics uber used a decade ago to squeeze out smaller players). Their advantage of mindshare currently will be eroded by price and Uber does not control their own tech (bad for their economic model v competitors), is behind and will remain behind in terms of tech due to their inability to fund AI/AV at the same level as their new competitors. The concept Uber will win from fragmentation of AVs and being the app consolidator is going to be very difficult to play out. The regulatory hurdles, and costs of being 6 months behind and almost as safe at a higher price is not going to be a collection of vehicles attractive to users overtime, nor will their privellaged position as the app you open with little consideration to book a ride. And in an agent world, you wont pull up an app you'll ask book me the cheapest ride to the airport (and Uber wont win that box as discussed, app mindshare and learned behavior is meaningless) Uber won't be able to invest or subsidize their rides to stay relevant with Waymo/Tesla/Amazon for very long. Uber and their management team missed the boat (ironically by winning short term profits and street fanfare in cutting all of their AV investments several years ago) and the risk is not they stay in second and you melt the ice cube of cash flows here, this is existential like the sony walkman when the iPod arrived. So keep hoping for Lucid and the Saudis to come, it won't matter in the end. There is a reason it has underperformed and now trades in line with Software (recent move lines up with squeeze in SMH).
NIU 2026-08-22 Niu Technologies: A Disappointing Report Comes With A Silver Lining
Niu Technologies’ Q2 FY2026 earnings worsened despite putting the electric scooter maker on track for record annual results; revenue growth…
MarketGyrations 2 clicks OPLN 2026-08-22 Private Equity Exit Offers Opportunity At Openlane
OPENLANE trades near $34 after Apax Partners’ exit, with a $25 million buyback and FY2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance raised to $385–$400…
Mike Arnold 1 clickCharles Frischer on X
@oscarazocar50 $KWY KSX EBITDA of $4.3 million and warranty modified cash EBITDA of $2.9 million. The modified cash number for warranty is really the proper metric. Those numbers were in press release.
SG on X
Worst analyst piece I have seen in years: Litchfield Hills Research puts a 12-month price target of $66 on $FFAI You will be shocked to learn that the small type says: "Litchfield Hills Research LLC has received compensation from the company for distribution and investor targeting services."
kab60 on X
@Adam17609412325 @BillRoman15 Earnings quality legit? Say what? Doing $40/share isn't a high hurdle for $GPI to clear next year (even if they stumbled on the used car side in Q2 and might have a bit of a rebranding headwind in H2 '26).
indie Semiconductor Deep Dive
Indie Semiconductor’s automotive sensing chips are finding robotics demand, while industrial, navigation and quantum businesses sit inside…
kab60 on X
@BillRoman15 Yes, I broadly agree. $ABG and $LAD went big on M&A, now switched to buybacks. $GPI was more flexible, now a pretty sizeable deal. $AN and $SAH both with failed used dealership investments. As for $AN, you mean buying CIG Financial to launch their own DFC initiative?
kab60 on X
@BillRoman15 It looks rich vs. the stock today, but I think $GPI mngmt has done a great job clustering stores and balancing M&A with buybacks. Don't agree on empire building - they divested stores worth almost 400m in H1.
kab60 on X
@B_Archibald I think that's a personal thing. I don't mind having 25-30% in a single sector, so I'm >20% in $GPI and $ABG currently. I find them easy to average down into given how resilient they are + few Q's around terminal value (imo), but again, miles vary (widely).
kab60 on X
I'm fishing but also tend to be early! At 6x earnings for the best store footprint+brand mix, $GPI looks dirt cheap to me. As does $ABG after change of CEO and change in capital allocation. $PAG launching a take-private & $LAD & $ABG hitting buybacks suggest ok outlook. https://t.co/nKPTwKHuDY
kab60 on X
Anyone seen any transcripts from JPM Automotive? $GPI $ABG or other dealership notes?
NXPI · long Nxp Semiconductors NV
NXP Semiconductors, the global automotive-chip leader, has delivered 12.5% compounded EPS growth and is presented as a long investment.
Deep Dive: Uber ($UBER)
Uber generated $52 billion of FY25 revenue and $10 billion of free cash flow as investors weigh whether autonomous vehicles can erode its…
SG on X
Did $FFAI just post the worst gross margins of any EV shitco? $1.35m revenue / $11.54m cost of revenue https://t.co/8quolRi1gN
Lee Roach on X
Me seeing $HOG up 5% after a massive insider buy the market missed. https://t.co/PaS59DADNh
The Impact of Autonomous Vehicles on Copart, A Timeline-Based Assessment - ($CPRT)
Copart faces a near-term lift from pricier AV repairs and total losses, but shrinking accident volumes could eventually force its…
Lee Roach on X
The CEO of $HOG bought $250k of shares in the open market yesterday and you morons are selling it off today? https://t.co/gjtDirn6Hp
SG on X
$FF results looked good to me. I remain long and may add. https://t.co/GHDH7wjRX9
The Hardest Computing Problem Ever, According to Arm's Physical AI Chief
Arm’s Drew Henry says physical AI will drive custom silicon for robots and autonomous vehicles, constrained by edge latency, power and…
Maj Soueidan on X
$MPAA - Dud Q1, but reaffirmed guidance. Most interested in seeing how long it will take to realize benefits from comp bankruptcy. The call might give clues. I’m still on the fence given mgmt. spotty track record. Worth noting that they’re buying stock. https://t.co/JYNccc6yM5 https://t.co/mwNrHQkxkT
